Football Stats Hub

Torino crestTorino
v
Juventus crestJuventus

Serie A | Sun 24 May, 19:45

Torino v Juventus Stats

Data last updated: Wed 10 Jun 2026, 07:26 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Torino face Juventus in Serie A on Sun 24 May, 19:45. Form Splitting: Recent Home vs Away Streaks Juventus struggle for attacking fluency on the road, while Torino's defensive vulnerability makes keeping a clean sheet difficult despite their resilient home structure.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Torino Double Chance Torino enter this derby in fantastic form on home soil

  • At 13/8, Draw implies roughly 38%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 25%.
  • Torino have conceded 61 goals this season, which highlights their heavy defensive vulnerability against top-tier Italian attacking forces.
  • Juventus have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 5 for Torino.
  • Juventus have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Draw angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Torino sit 12 in the table, while Juventus sit 6, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Price warning

Torino Double Chance Torino enter this derby in fantastic form on home soil is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 38% while the model sits nearer 25% (-12.8 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Under 2.5 Goals shows a +18.4 pts edge at 2.1.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 25% for Draw sits against roughly 38% implied by the current price. Juventus have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 5 for Torino. Torino have conceded that scoring level this season, which highlights their heavy defensive vulnerability against top-tier Italian attacking forces.

Model chance vs price25% model chance against roughly 38% implied
Negative
Juventus have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points.Visible data support
Positive
Juventus have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Torino have conceded 61 goals this season, which highlights.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Draw is the preferred angle because torino have conceded that scoring level this season, which highlights their heavy defensive vulnerability against top-tier Italian attacking forces. Juventus have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 5 for Torino. Torino have not always dazzled, but they have become stubborn, emotionally charged and increasingly difficult to break down in front of their own supporters.

Main risk

Torino have not always dazzled, but they have become stubborn, emotionally charged and increasingly difficult to break down in front of their own supporters.

Key Data Signals

Draw evidence

Torino have conceded 61 goals this season, which highlights their heavy defensive vulnerability against top-tier Italian attacking forces.

Juventus have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 5 for Torino.

Juventus have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Draw angle more than a raw possession edge.

Torino sit 12 in the table, while Juventus sit 6, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Draw notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Torino3.2
    Avg corners for
    Juventus7.2
    Torino8.4
    Avg total corners
    Juventus8.4
    Torino2
    Avg yellow cards
    Juventus1.4
    Torino11
    Avg shots
    Juventus18.8
    Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 51% · edge +9.6 pts
    1.98
    Check odds @ 1.98
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 38%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 44%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Torino1
    Avg goals scored
    Juventus0.8
    Torino1.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Juventus0.6
    Torino60%
    BTTS rate
    Juventus20%
    Torino60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Juventus0%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 48% · edge +18.4 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 51%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 38%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 22%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickDrawBetUK guide price · Model 25% vs implied 23% · edge +2.2 pts
    4.33
    Check odds @ 4.33
    Load more odds for this section
    Torino Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
    3.9
    Check odds @ 3.9
    Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 60%
    1.98
    Check odds @ 1.98
    Torino to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
    7
    Check odds @ 7
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Juventus Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 65%
    1.24
    Check odds @ 1.24
    Juventus to WinBet365 guide price · model 56%
    1.45
    Check odds @ 1.45
    Draw is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Torino

    LWLDD
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 2D 4L
    17 May 2026A Cagliari1-2
    08 May 2026H Sassuolo2-1
    02 May 2026A Udinese0-2
    26 Apr 2026H Inter2-2
    19 Apr 2026A Cremonese0-0

    Juventus

    LWDDW
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 106W 3D 1L
    17 May 2026H Fiorentina0-2
    09 May 2026A Lecce1-0
    03 May 2026H Hellas Verona1-1
    26 Apr 2026A AC Milan0-0
    19 Apr 2026H Bologna2-0
    Market aligned with main pickDrawBetUK guide price · Model 25% vs implied 23% · edge +2.2 pts
    4.33
    Check odds @ 4.33
    Load more odds for this section
    Torino Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
    3.9
    Check odds @ 3.9
    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 53%
    2.68
    Check odds @ 2.68
    Torino to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
    7
    Check odds @ 7
    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 81%
    1.1
    Check odds @ 1.1
    Juventus Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 65%
    1.24
    Check odds @ 1.24
    Juventus to WinBet365 guide price · model 56%
    1.45
    Check odds @ 1.45
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Torino wins
    5Draws
    5Juventus wins
    08 Nov 2025Juventus v Torino0-0
    11 Jan 2025Torino v Juventus1-1
    09 Nov 2024Juventus v Torino2-0
    13 Apr 2024Torino v Juventus0-0
    07 Oct 2023Juventus v Torino2-0
    28 Feb 2023Juventus v Torino4-2
    Market aligned with main pickDrawBetUK guide price · Model 25% vs implied 23% · edge +2.2 pts
    4.33
    Check odds @ 4.33
    Load more odds for this section
    Torino to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
    7
    Check odds @ 7
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Juventus to WinBet365 guide price · model 56%
    1.45
    Check odds @ 1.45
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 38%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Draw, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Serie A

    Torino38
    Played
    Juventus38
    Torino1.2
    Avg goals for
    Juventus1.6
    Torino1.7
    Avg goals against
    Juventus0.9
    Torino12
    Clean sheets
    Juventus16
    Best odds for this sectionTorino Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 45% vs implied 26% · edge +19.4 pts
    3.9
    Check odds @ 3.9
    Load more odds for this section
    Torino to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
    7
    Check odds @ 7
    Juventus Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 65%
    1.24
    Check odds @ 1.24
    Juventus to WinBet365 guide price · model 56%
    1.45
    Check odds @ 1.45
    Season data supports Torino Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    6Juventus69381912727
    12Torino453812917-19
    Torino sit in position 12, while Juventus sit in position 6, so table pressure belongs in the Draw assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Torino Over 2.5
    0%Juventus Over 2.5
    2H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Torino sit at 60% and Juventus sit at 0% with the H2H average at 2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.