Football Stats Hub

Tigres UANL crestTigres UANL
v
Cruz Azul crestCruz Azul

Liga MX | Sun 08 Nov, 01:00

Tigres UANL v Cruz Azul Stats

Data last updated: Sat 07 Nov 2026, 04:44 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Liga MX clash features Cruz Azul, currently third in the standings with strong recent form, visiting Tigres UANL, who sit 15th and have struggled for consistency. Cruz Azul's attacking momentum and defensive solidity contrast with Tigres' lower goal output and higher goals conceded. The visitors' ability to create and convert chances, combined with Tigres' defensive vulnerabilities, sets up an intriguing contest where Cruz Azul's and tactical discipline could prove decisive.

BT4Y best bet

Cruz Azul to Win

  • Cruz Azul ranks 3rd with 29 points; Tigres UANL is 15th with 15 points.
  • Cruz Azul averages 3 goals for and concedes 1.2 per game; Tigres scores 1 and concedes 1.8.
  • Cruz Azul has a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate recently; Tigres has 40%.
  • Cruz Azul averages 17 shots and 6.4 shots on target per game, showing offensive pressure.
  • Tigres UANL concedes more and has a lower recent points tally (5 vs 13).

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Cruz Azul to win with a 70% chance, reflecting their superior recent form, higher league position, and stronger attacking and defensive stats. Cruz Azul's consistent goal threat, combined with Tigres UANL's defensive frailties and lower scoring output, supports this selection. The offer positive value with a 22.4% edge, indicating the market underestimates Cruz Azul's chances. No data limitations affect , making this a solid pick based on form and statistical profiles.

Model Win Probability70%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance62.6% model chance vs 47.6% implied (+15 pts)
Positive
Value Edge62.6% model chance vs 47.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Recent Form PointsCruz Azul 13 vs Tigres 5
Strong positive
Goals For/AgainstCruz Azul 3/1.2 vs Tigres 1/1.8
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Cruz Azul's superior league position and recent form give them a tactical and statistical edge over Tigres UANL. Their higher shot volume and goal conversion rates suggest they can break down Tigres' defense effectively. This combination of form and attacking potency makes Cruz Azul the favored side to secure victory in this matchup.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Cruz Azul's attacking efficiency and defensive stability position them well to exploit Tigres UANL's vulnerabilities, making them the logical choice for a win in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Cruz Azul to Win evidence

Cruz Azul ranks 3rd with 29 points; Tigres UANL is 15th with 15 points.

Cruz Azul averages 3 goals for and concedes 1.2 per game; Tigres scores 1 and concedes 1.8.

Cruz Azul has a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate recently; Tigres has 40%.

Cruz Azul averages 17 shots and 6.4 shots on target per game, showing offensive pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Cruz Azul to Win notes

  • Over the last ten matches, the average goals per game between these teams is 2.1, with Cruz Azul's recent games showing a 100% Over 2.5 rate.
  • This trend suggests a faster tempo and more open play, increasing the likelihood of multiple goals in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Tigres UANL1
Avg goals scored
Cruz Azul3
Tigres UANL1.8
Avg goals conceded
Cruz Azul1.2
Tigres UANL60%
BTTS rate
Cruz Azul80%
Tigres UANL40%
Over 2.5 goals
Cruz Azul100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Cruz Azul's 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate contrasts with Tigres UANL's 40%, indicating Cruz Azul's matches tend to be higher scoring. Both teams have relatively high BTTS rates (Cruz Azul 80%, Tigres 60%), suggesting goal opportunities exist for both sides, supporting an open game scenario.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickCruz Azul to WinBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Cruz Azul Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
The 62.6% for Cruz Azul to Win sits against roughly 47.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Cruz Azul have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 5 for Tigres UANL.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Tigres UANL

LDLDW
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 5D 3L
31 Oct 2026A CF Pachuca0-3
25 Oct 2026A U.N.A.M. - Pumas1-1
21 Oct 2026H Leon0-2
18 Oct 2026A Guadalajara Chivas1-1
10 Oct 2026H Toluca3-2

Cruz Azul

WWWWD
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 2D 1L
02 Nov 2026H Leon2-1
26 Oct 2026A Club Queretaro3-1
22 Oct 2026A CF Pachuca2-1
18 Oct 2026H FC Juarez5-0
12 Oct 2026A U.N.A.M. - Pumas3-3
Market aligned with main pickCruz Azul to WinBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Cruz Azul Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Cruz Azul's recent form is strong, earning 13 points with a solid goal difference, while Tigres UANL has struggled, gaining only 5 points and scoring fewer goals. This contrast in momentum favors Cruz Azul's and tactical execution heading into the match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Tigres UANL Over 2.5
100%Cruz Azul Over 2.5
2.1H2H avg goals
Over the last ten matches, the average goals per game between these teams is 2.1, with Cruz Azul's recent games showing a 100% Over 2.5 rate. This trend suggests a faster tempo and more open play, increasing the likelihood of multiple goals in this fixture.

Loading deeper match data…