Football Stats Hub

Telstar crestTelstar
v
Feyenoord crestFeyenoord

Eredivisie | Sat 17 Oct, 19:00

Telstar v Feyenoord Stats

Data last updated: Fri 16 Oct 2026, 09:48 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Eredivisie fixture sees Telstar hosting league leaders Feyenoord, a clash that pits a struggling side against the top team in the division. Telstar have managed just 6 points and are 15th in the table, while Feyenoord boast 20 points and the top spot. Despite the gulf in form and quality, Telstar's home advantage and Feyenoord's high-tempo attacking style set up an intriguing contest with potential for tight moments. The match carries importance for Telstar to halt their poor run and for Feyenoord to maintain their lead, creating tactical tension and uncertainty in the outcome.

BT4Y best bet

Telstar Draw No Bet

  • Telstar have earned only 3 points in recent matches, showing limited form.
  • Feyenoord lead the league with 20 points and average 3.8 goals per game, indicating strong attack.
  • Telstar's goals conceded average is 1.2 per game, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Feyenoord average 21.6 shots and 9.2 shots on target per game, dominating offensive metrics.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies strong value in the Telstar Draw No Bet market with a 45% chance versus a 22.7% implied probability from the 4.4 . Despite Feyenoord's control in league position and attacking stats, Telstar's home resilience and the risk of Feyenoord failing to secure a win justify backing Telstar with a safety net. The model is high at 70%, reflecting the balance between Feyenoord's firepower and Telstar's defensive efforts. No price warnings apply, making this a standard stake opportunity.

Model Chance37.7% model chance vs 22.7% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Chance37.7% model chance vs 22.7% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Value Edge37.7% model chance vs 22.7% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Confidence Level70%
Positive
Feyenoord Attack StrengthHigh (3.8 goals/game)
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Telstar's home resilience combined with Feyenoord's attacking control creates a balanced tactical battle. The draw no bet option offers a prudent way to back Telstar, reflecting their potential to avoid defeat despite the visitors' offensive threat. This market captures the uncertainty and competitive edge of the fixture well.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and tactical balance

“Backing Telstar Draw No Bet acknowledges the visitors' attacking firepower while protecting against an upset, making it a sensible choice in a fixture where home resilience could frustrate the league leaders.”

Key Data Signals

Telstar Draw No Bet evidence

Telstar have earned only 3 points in recent matches, showing limited form.

Feyenoord lead the league with 20 points and average 3.8 goals per game, indicating strong attack.

Telstar's goals conceded average is 1.2 per game, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities.

Feyenoord average 21.6 shots and 9.2 shots on target per game, dominating offensive metrics.

What To Watch In The Data

Telstar Draw No Bet notes

  • In the last two meetings, the average goals scored were 3 per game, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend.
  • Feyenoord's matches have an 80% over 2.5 goals rate this season, suggesting attacking tempo and defensive gaps.
  • This trend points to potential goal-scoring opportunities but also the possibility of Telstar containing the visitors to keep the scoreline manageable.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Telstar0.8
Avg goals scored
Feyenoord3.8
Telstar1.2
Avg goals conceded
Feyenoord0.6
Telstar40%
BTTS rate
Feyenoord40%
Telstar40%
Over 2.5 goals
Feyenoord80%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 39% vs implied 29% · edge +9.7 pts
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 83%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 65%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Feyenoord's matches have an 80% rate of over 2.5 goals, reflecting their attacking prowess, while Telstar's matches reach this mark only 40% of the time. Both teams have a 40% BTTS rate, indicating moderate likelihood of both sides scoring. This suggests a game with potential for goals but also defensive solidity from Telstar, aligning with a cautious approach on match outcome.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Eredivisie hubcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickTelstar Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 38% vs implied 23% · edge +15 pts
4.4
Check odds @ 4.4
Load more odds for this section
Telstar to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 65%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The 37.7% for Telstar Draw No Bet sits against roughly 22.7% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Feyenoord have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 3 for Telstar.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Telstar

DLDLD
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 4L
11 Oct 2026H ADO Den Haag2-2
20 Sep 2026A AZ Alkmaar0-1
13 Sep 2026A Heerenveen0-0
09 Sep 2026A Twente0-1
06 Sep 2026H Cambuur2-2

Feyenoord

WWWWD
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 2D 0L
10 Oct 2026H AZ Alkmaar2-0
20 Sep 2026H Utrecht5-0
13 Sep 2026A PEC Zwolle7-0
05 Sep 2026A NEC Nijmegen3-1
30 Aug 2026H ADO Den Haag2-2
Market aligned with main pickTelstar Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 38% vs implied 23% · edge +15 pts
4.4
Check odds @ 4.4
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 46%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Telstar to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Telstar have collected only 3 points recently, struggling to convert chances and maintain defensive solidity. Feyenoord's recent form is excellent, with 13 points and prolific scoring at 3.8 goals per game. This contrast in momentum underlines the challenge for Telstar but also suggests motivation to resist defeat at home, supporting the draw no bet stance.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Telstar Over 2.5
80%Feyenoord Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
In the last two meetings, the average goals scored were 3 per game, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend. Feyenoord's matches have an 80% over 2.5 goals rate this season, suggesting attacking tempo and defensive gaps. This trend points to potential goal-scoring opportunities but also the possibility of Telstar containing the visitors to keep the scoreline manageable.

Loading deeper match data…