Football Stats Hub

Tasmania Berlin crestTasmania Berlin
v
BFC Preussen crestBFC Preussen

Friendlies Clubs | Wed 24 Jun, 18:00

Tasmania Berlin v BFC Preussen Stats

Data last updated: Tue 23 Jun 2026, 02:45 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Tasmania Berlin and BFC Preussen meet in a friendly fixture where both sides have shown a tendency for open play and goal-scoring opportunities. Recent form data indicates that both teams have experienced matches with multiple goals, suggesting an attacking approach rather than defensive caution. With no league pressure and the experimental nature of friendlies, this game is likely to feature offensive intent and less conservative tactics, setting the stage for a potentially high-scoring encounter.

BT4Y match pick

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Both teams have a 67% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals recently.
  • Head-to-head meetings average 2.67 goals per game, indicating a history of multiple goals.
  • Tasmania Berlin concedes 2 goals per game on average, showing defensive vulnerability.
  • BFC Preussen concedes 2.67 goals per game, suggesting defensive frailties.
  • Both teams have similar goal-scoring rates, supporting balanced attacking play.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model estimates a 64.5% chance for over 2.5 goals, supported by both teams' recent matches frequently exceeding this threshold. The head-to-head average of 2.67 goals per game reinforces the likelihood of multiple goals. Defensive records for both sides indicate susceptibility to conceding, while their attacking outputs are sufficient to produce a high-scoring game. The friendly nature of the fixture encourages offensive play, aligning well with the over 2.5 goals prediction.

Model Probability64.5% chance of over 2.5 goals
Strong positive
Recent Over 2.5 Rate67% for both teams
Strong positive
Head-to-Head Goals Average2.67 goals per match
Positive
Defensive Concession Rate2.0 and 2.67 goals against per game
Positive
Friendly Match ContextEncourages open, attacking play
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game between Tasmania Berlin and BFC Preussen, with both sides showing recent tendencies for matches with multiple goals. Defensive vulnerabilities on both teams and their history of high-scoring encounters suggest that over 2.5 goals is a plausible outcome in this friendly fixture.

Main risk

The main risk is the limited competitive pressure in a friendly match, which can lead to unpredictable line-ups and tactical experimentation that might reduce scoring intensity.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match scoring potential

“This fixture's attacking tendencies and defensive lapses on both sides make over 2.5 goals a logical expectation, especially given the open nature of friendly matches.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Both teams have a 67% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals recently.

Head-to-head meetings average 2.67 goals per game, indicating a history of multiple goals.

Tasmania Berlin concedes 2 goals per game on average, showing defensive vulnerability.

BFC Preussen concedes 2.67 goals per game, suggesting defensive frailties.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last three head-to-head matches average 2.67 goals, indicating a trend towards open, goal-rich encounters.
  • This sample suggests that both teams tend to engage in games with multiple goals, supporting the over 2.5 goals trend for this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Tasmania Berlin0.67
Avg goals scored
BFC Preussen0.67
Tasmania Berlin2
Avg goals conceded
BFC Preussen2.67
Tasmania Berlin33%
BTTS rate
BFC Preussen67%
Tasmania Berlin67%
Over 2.5 goals
BFC Preussen67%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 69% · edge -4.5 pts
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 83%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 40%
2.68
Check odds @ 2.68
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 47%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Both teams have shown a 67% rate of over 2.5 goals in recent matches, with BFC Preussen also having a 67% BTTS rate, suggesting both sides contribute to goal-scoring. The head-to-head average of 2.67 goals further supports the expectation of multiple goals and goal involvement from both teams.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 69% · edge -4.5 pts
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Load more odds for this section
Tasmania Berlin Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 68%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Tasmania Berlin to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
3
Check odds @ 3
DrawBetUK guide price · model 25%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
BFC Preussen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
BFC Preussen to WinBetUK guide price · model 25%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The over 2.5 goals market aligns well with the model's 64.5% probability, indicating a solid chance rather than a speculative pick. Without explicit , the market appears balanced and reflects the statistical likelihood of a high-scoring game based on recent data and match context.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Tasmania Berlin

LLW
Last 51W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 2L
24 Jan 2026H Hallescher FC0-4
18 Jan 2026H Polonia Słubice1-2
17 Jan 2026H BFC Dynamo1-0

BFC Preussen

LLL
Last 50W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 3L
21 Jun 2026A RSV Eintracht0-1
25 Jan 2026A Altglienicke1-4
10 Jan 2026A Hansa Rostock1-3
Best odds for this sectionTasmania Berlin Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 68% vs implied 35% · edge +32.6 pts
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Load more odds for this section
Tasmania Berlin to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
3
Check odds @ 3
DrawBetUK guide price · model 25%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
BFC Preussen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
BFC Preussen to WinBetUK guide price · model 25%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Recent form shows both teams averaging 0.67 goals scored per game but conceding 2 or more goals, indicating matches with multiple goals and defensive openness. Tasmania Berlin has secured 3 points recently, while BFC Preussen has yet to earn points, possibly motivating more aggressive play from both sides.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Tasmania Berlin wins
1Draws
1BFC Preussen wins
12 Apr 2025BFC Preussen v Tasmania Berlin1-0
18 Oct 2024Tasmania Berlin v BFC Preussen3-2
06 Jul 2023Tasmania Berlin v BFC Preussen1-1
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 69% · edge -4.5 pts
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Load more odds for this section
Tasmania Berlin to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
3
Check odds @ 3
DrawBetUK guide price · model 25%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
BFC Preussen to WinBetUK guide price · model 25%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The limited head-to-head sample of three matches shows an average of 2.67 goals per game, indicating a consistent pattern of multiple goals when these teams meet. While the sample is small, it provides a meaningful background that supports the expectation of a high-scoring game in this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Tasmania Berlin4
Played
BFC Preussen4
Tasmania Berlin0.8
Avg goals for
BFC Preussen1.5
Tasmania Berlin2.5
Avg goals against
BFC Preussen2.3
Tasmania Berlin1
Clean sheets
BFC Preussen0
Best odds for this sectionTasmania Berlin Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 68% vs implied 35% · edge +32.6 pts
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Load more odds for this section
Tasmania Berlin to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
3
Check odds @ 3
BFC Preussen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
BFC Preussen to WinBetUK guide price · model 25%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Season-long defensive records reveal that Tasmania Berlin concedes 2 goals per game and BFC Preussen concedes 2.67, highlighting defensive fragility. Their moderate scoring rates combined with these concession levels support the likelihood of a match exceeding 2.5 goals.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

67%Tasmania Berlin Over 2.5
67%BFC Preussen Over 2.5
2.67H2H avg goals
The last three head-to-head matches average 2.67 goals, indicating a trend towards open, goal-rich encounters. This sample suggests that both teams tend to engage in games with multiple goals, supporting the over 2.5 goals trend for this fixture.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.