Football Stats Hub

Tamworth crestTamworth
v
Woking crestWoking

National League | Sat 31 Oct, 15:00

Tamworth v Woking Stats

Data last updated: Fri 30 Oct 2026, 15:29 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Tamworth and Woking meet in a National League clash where attacking intent is likely to shape the game. Both teams have shown a tendency for open play, with Tamworth scoring an average of 1.8 goals per match and conceding 1.6, while Woking matches that scoring rate but concedes slightly more at 2 goals per game. Recent form data highlights a strong inclination towards high-scoring encounters, suggesting a match where defenses may be tested and goal opportunities plentiful. This fixture promises an engaging contest with potential for multiple goals given the offensive profiles and defensive vulnerabilities.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Tamworth averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game this season.
  • Woking also scores 1.8 goals per game but concedes 2, indicating defensive frailty.
  • Tamworth has a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, Woking an even higher 80%.
  • Their recent matches have frequently featured multiple goals, supporting a high-scoring outlook.
  • Head-to-head meetings average 3.75 goals per game, reinforcing the likelihood of a goal-rich encounter.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 3.5 Goals as a positive value bet with a 54.4% chance against an implied market chance of 45.5%, reflecting an 8.9% . Both teams exhibit attacking strengths and defensive weaknesses that contribute to frequent high-scoring matches. Tamworth and Woking's recent form and head-to-head history support a scenario where four or more goals are plausible. The absence of data limitations adds to this selection, making it a compelling pick for bettors seeking a goal-laden game.

Model Chance54.4% model chance vs 45.5% implied (+8.9 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance54.4% model chance vs 45.5% implied (+8.9 pts)
Strong positive
Value Edge54.4% model chance vs 45.5% implied (+8.9 pts)
Strong positive
Tamworth Over 2.5 Rate60%
Positive
Woking Over 2.5 Rate80%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game given both teams' scoring records and defensive vulnerabilities. Tamworth's and Woking's recent matches have often featured multiple goals, making Over 3.5 Goals a sensible choice. The combination of offensive intent and defensive lapses suggests a lively encounter with several scoring chances.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential

“This fixture's attacking tendencies and defensive gaps create a fertile ground for a high-scoring match, making Over 3.5 Goals a logical and data-backed selection.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Tamworth averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game this season.

Woking also scores 1.8 goals per game but concedes 2, indicating defensive frailty.

Tamworth has a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, Woking an even higher 80%.

Their recent matches have frequently featured multiple goals, supporting a high-scoring outlook.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • The last eight head-to-head meetings average 3.75 goals per match, indicating a historical trend towards high-scoring games between these teams.
  • This trend, combined with recent form over the last five matches for each side, suggests a fast tempo and attacking openness that favors Over 2.5 Goals and by extension supports the Over 3.5 Goals selection.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Tamworth1.8
Avg goals scored
Woking1.8
Tamworth1.6
Avg goals conceded
Woking2
Tamworth60%
BTTS rate
Woking80%
Tamworth60%
Over 2.5 goals
Woking80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 54% vs implied 46% · edge +8.9 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 72%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Both teams have shown a strong propensity for matches with multiple goals and both teams scoring. Tamworth's 60% and Woking's 80% over 2.5 goals rates, combined with their offensive and defensive stats, indicate a game likely to feature several goals and BTTS scenarios, supporting the Over 3.5 Goals angle.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 69% · edge +6.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Tamworth Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Tamworth to WinBetfred guide price · model 58%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 72%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Woking Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Woking to WinBetMGM guide price · model 26%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
The 54.4% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 45.5% implied by the current price (+8.9 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Tamworth and 80% for Woking, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

player stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Tamworth

WLWWL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 5L
27 Oct 2026H Scunthorpe4-1
10 Oct 2026H Barrow1-2
03 Oct 2026A Hartlepool1-0
30 Sep 2026H Sutton Utd2-0
26 Sep 2026A Aldershot Town1-5

Woking

LWLWL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
27 Oct 2026H Boreham Wood1-2
24 Oct 2026A Scunthorpe3-2
10 Oct 2026H Harrogate Town0-1
03 Oct 2026A Eastleigh3-1
29 Sep 2026H Solihull Moors2-4
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 83% vs implied 71% · edge +11.7 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Load more odds for this section
Tamworth Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Tamworth to WinBetfred guide price · model 58%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 52%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Woking Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Woking to WinBetMGM guide price · model 26%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Recent form highlights both teams' tendency towards high-scoring matches. Tamworth has accumulated 9 points with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, while Woking has 6 points with similar scoring but slightly weaker defense. This form supports an expectation of an open game with multiple goals.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Tamworth Over 2.5
80%Woking Over 2.5
3.75H2H avg goals
The last eight head-to-head meetings average 3.75 goals per match, indicating a historical trend towards high-scoring games between these teams. This trend, combined with recent form over the last five matches for each side, suggests a fast tempo and attacking openness that favors Over 2.5 Goals and by extension supports the Over 3.5 Goals selection.

Loading deeper match data…