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Switzerland crestSwitzerland
v
Colombia crestColombia

World Cup | Tue 07 Jul, 21:00

Switzerland v Colombia Stats

Data last updated: Mon 27 Jul 2026, 04:57 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Switzerland face Colombia in World Cup on Tue 07 Jul, 21:00. Their group-stage numbers support that sense of stability. Colombia enter this knockout tie in exceptional form, keeping three consecutive clean sheets. Colombia's exceptional defensive structure and unbeaten tournament run see them positioned with prominent coverage in the full-time result market.

BT4Y best bet

Chances, making a solitary clinical action from Colombia's dangerous attackers the defining feature

  • At 5/1, Chances, making a solitary clinical action from Colombia's dangerous attackers the defining feature implies roughly 17%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 32%.
  • The statistical contrast in direct offensive efforts shows Colombia engaging in more frequent attempts on goal during their campaign.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for Switzerland and 25% for Colombia, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Switzerland are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.25 goals per match, with Colombia at 1.25.
  • BTTS rates of 75% for Switzerland and 25% for Colombia show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 32% for Chances, making a solitary clinical action from Colombia's dangerous attackers the defining feature sits against roughly 17% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for Switzerland and 25% for Colombia, so the goals angle is not just a price call. The statistical contrast in direct offensive efforts shows Colombia engaging in more frequent attempts on goal during their campaign.

Model chance vs price32% model chance against roughly 17% implied
Strong positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for Switzerland and 25%.Visible data support
Positive
Switzerland are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.25.Visible data support
Positive
The statistical contrast in direct offensive efforts shows Colombia.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because their last three tournament matches have all finished under 2.5 goals, which says plenty about how they manage game state: score, squeeze, survive, repeat. Switzerland are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Colombia at 1.25. Colombia, however, can disrupt that rhythm with Jefferson Lerma, Gustavo Puerta and Jhon Arias working around James Rodriguez.

Main risk

Colombia, however, can disrupt that rhythm with Jefferson Lerma, Gustavo Puerta and Jhon Arias working around James Rodriguez.

Key Data Signals

Chances, making a solitary clinical action from Colombia's dangerous attackers the defining feature evidence

Their last three tournament matches have all finished under 2.

Switzerland are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.25 goals per match, with Colombia at 1.25.

BTTS rates of 75% for Switzerland and 25% for Colombia show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Chances, making a solitary clinical action from Colombia's dangerous attackers the defining feature notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Switzerland5.75
Avg corners for
Colombia4.25
Switzerland9.5
Avg total corners
Colombia7
Switzerland0.75
Avg yellow cards
Colombia1.5
Switzerland14
Avg shots
Colombia19.75
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 46% · edge +7.1 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Switzerland2.25
Avg goals scored
Colombia1.25
Switzerland0.75
Avg goals conceded
Colombia0.25
Switzerland75%
BTTS rate
Colombia25%
Switzerland50%
Over 2.5 goals
Colombia25%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 62% · edge +4.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 63%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 22%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 50% for Switzerland and 25% for Colombia, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 51% · edge +11.2 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Switzerland to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Switzerland Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Colombia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Switzerland

WWWD
Last 53W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 0L
03 Jul 2026H Algeria2-0
24 Jun 2026H Canada2-1
18 Jun 2026H Bosnia & Herzegovina4-1
13 Jun 2026A Qatar1-1

Colombia

WDWW
Last 53W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 0L
04 Jul 2026H Ghana1-0
28 Jun 2026H Portugal0-0
24 Jun 2026H Congo DR1-0
18 Jun 2026A Uzbekistan3-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 77% vs implied 62% · edge +14.8 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Switzerland to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Switzerland Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 64%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Colombia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Colombia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Switzerland wins
0Draws
0Colombia wins
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 51% · edge +11.2 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Switzerland to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Colombia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for BTTS Yes, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Season team stats

World Cup

Switzerland6
Played
Colombia5
Switzerland1.7
Avg goals for
Colombia1
Switzerland1
Avg goals against
Colombia0.2
Switzerland2
Clean sheets
Colombia4
Best odds for this sectionSwitzerland to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
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Switzerland Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Colombia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Colombia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Season data supports Switzerland to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Switzerland732104
1Colombia732103
World Cup standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Switzerland Over 2.5
25%Colombia Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Switzerland sit at 50% and Colombia sit at 25%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.