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Swansea crestSwansea
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VfL Bochum crestVfL Bochum

Friendlies Clubs | Tue 21 Jul, 17:00

Swansea v VfL Bochum Stats

Data last updated: Mon 20 Jul 2026, 04:13 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Swansea and VfL Bochum meet in a pre-season friendly where both teams aim to sharpen their attacking play ahead of their respective campaigns. Swansea's recent matches have consistently featured multiple goals, reflecting an open style that prioritizes offensive transitions. VfL Bochum, while slightly more conservative, still shows a willingness to engage in forward play, suggesting a lively encounter with scoring opportunities at both ends. The friendly setting encourages experimentation and attacking freedom, increasing the likelihood of a high-scoring game.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Swansea have recorded Over 2.5 Goals in 100% of recent matches, indicating strong attacking output and defensive openness.
  • VfL Bochum's matches have featured Over 2.5 Goals 60% of the time, showing a moderate tendency for higher-scoring games.
  • Both teams have a combined recent BTTS rate supporting goal exchanges, with Swansea at 100% and Bochum at 60%.
  • No historical head-to-head data exists, but recent form suggests an open game with multiple goals.
  • The friendly match context typically leads to less defensive rigidity, favoring goal-scoring chances.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 2.5 Goals at a 78% chance based on recent form data showing Swansea's consistent high-scoring matches and VfL Bochum's moderate goal involvement. Swansea's perfect Over 2.5 record in recent games combined with Bochum's attacking tendencies in friendlies supports expectations of a lively, goal-rich encounter. The friendly nature of the fixture encourages offensive experimentation, increasing goal opportunities. No price warnings apply, and the data quality is solid with balanced recent stats from both sides.

Swansea Over 2.5 Rate100% in recent matches
Strong positive
VfL Bochum Over 2.5 Rate60% in recent matches
Positive
Match TypePre-season friendly encourages attacking play
Positive
Data QualityBalanced recent data for both teams
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and entertaining friendly with Swansea's attacking likely to drive the game tempo. VfL Bochum's moderate goal involvement suggests they will contribute to a match with multiple goals, making Over 2.5 Goals a fitting choice based on recent scoring trends and tactical openness.

Main risk

The main risk is the unpredictable nature of friendlies where defensive focus can vary widely, potentially limiting goal-scoring despite attacking intent.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Over 2.5 Goals

“Swansea's flawless recent record for games with over 2.5 goals combined with Bochum's willingness to engage offensively in friendlies sets the stage for a high-scoring encounter. The pre-season context further supports an open game with goal opportunities at both ends.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Swansea have recorded Over 2.5 Goals in 100% of recent matches, indicating strong attacking output and defensive openness.

VfL Bochum's matches have featured Over 2.5 Goals 60% of the time, showing a moderate tendency for higher-scoring games.

Both teams have a combined recent BTTS rate supporting goal exchanges, with Swansea at 100% and Bochum at 60%.

No historical head-to-head data exists, but recent form suggests an open game with multiple goals.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last five matches, Swansea have consistently exceeded 2.5 goals, while Bochum's last five show a 60% rate for the same.
  • This trend indicates a tempo and style favoring open play and goal opportunities, reinforced by the lack of defensive rigidity common in friendlies.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Swansea2
Avg goals scored
VfL Bochum1.4
Swansea2
Avg goals conceded
VfL Bochum1.6
Swansea100%
BTTS rate
VfL Bochum60%
Swansea100%
Over 2.5 goals
VfL Bochum60%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 78% vs implied 69% · edge +8.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Recent form data shows Swansea scoring and conceding regularly, with a 100% BTTS rate, while Bochum also sees goals both for and against in 60% of matches. This suggests a game where both teams find the net and the total goals surpass 2.5, reflecting open play and attacking intent.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 78% vs implied 69% · edge +8.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
VfL Bochum to WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
VfL Bochum Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Swansea Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Swansea to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
DrawBetfred guide price · model 19%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
The Over 2.5 Goals market is supported by Swansea's perfect recent record for matches exceeding this threshold and Bochum's 60% rate, indicating a strong statistical basis for expecting multiple goals. The friendly setting further enhances this likelihood, making the price reasonable without significant value concerns.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Swansea

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
18 Jul 2026H Holstein Kiel2-2

VfL Bochum

DWWLW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 1L
15 Jul 2026A Ajax1-1
11 Jul 2026H Antwerp1-0
04 Jul 2026A Rot-weiss Oberhausen3-2
27 Mar 2026H Rot-Weiß Essen0-4
10 Jan 2026H Alemannia Aachen2-1
Best odds for this sectionVfL Bochum to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 44% · edge +25.6 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
VfL Bochum Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Swansea Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 48%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Swansea to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
DrawBetfred guide price · model 19%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Swansea's recent matches have consistently featured over 2.5 goals, highlighting their offensive potency and defensive vulnerabilities. VfL Bochum's moderate scoring and conceding rates complement this, indicating a match environment conducive to multiple goals and open play.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Swansea wins
0Draws
0VfL Bochum wins
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 78% vs implied 69% · edge +8.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
VfL Bochum to WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Swansea to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
DrawBetfred guide price · model 19%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
No previous meetings exist between Swansea and VfL Bochum, so head-to-head data cannot inform the prediction. The focus instead rests on recent form and tactical tendencies observed in each team's latest matches.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Swansea2
Played
VfL Bochum6
Swansea1
Avg goals for
VfL Bochum1.5
Swansea2
Avg goals against
VfL Bochum1.3
Swansea0
Clean sheets
VfL Bochum2
Best odds for this sectionVfL Bochum to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 44% · edge +25.6 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
VfL Bochum Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Swansea Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Swansea to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Seasonal data, though limited due to pre-season timing, aligns with the recent form trends showing Swansea's attacking strength and Bochum's willingness to engage offensively. This supports expectations for a game exceeding 2.5 goals as both teams seek to test attacking combinations and defensive resilience.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Swansea Over 2.5
60%VfL Bochum Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Swansea have consistently exceeded 2.5 goals, while Bochum's last five show a 60% rate for the same. This trend indicates a tempo and style favoring open play and goal opportunities, reinforced by the lack of defensive rigidity common in friendlies.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.