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Sunderland crestSunderland
v
Manchester United crestManchester United

Premier League | Sat 09 May, 15:00

Sunderland v Manchester United Stats

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 1.67, Both Teams to Score is priced at roughly 60% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 76%, so the current line is showing a +16.1-point value edge.
  • Sunderland have scored in 80% of the recent sample and Manchester United have scored in 100%, with BTTS rates of 60% and 80%.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Sunderland have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Manchester United have taken 3 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 80% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 1.67, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 60% · edge +16.1 pts
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.5
Bet HERE @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.5
Bet HERE @ 2.5
Home WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.9
Bet HERE @ 3.9
DrawBetUK guide price · model 24%
3.75
Bet HERE @ 3.75
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

60%Sunderland Over 2.5
80%Manchester United Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Sunderland

DLLWW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
02 May 2026A Wolves1-1
24 Apr 2026H Nottingham Forest0-5
19 Apr 2026A Aston Villa3-4
12 Apr 2026H Tottenham1-0
22 Mar 2026A Newcastle2-1

Manchester United

WWWLD
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 2D 2L
03 May 2026H Liverpool3-2
27 Apr 2026H Brentford2-1
18 Apr 2026A Chelsea1-0
13 Apr 2026H Leeds1-2
20 Mar 2026A Bournemouth2-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 84% vs implied 83% · edge +0.7 pts
1.2
Bet HERE @ 1.2
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.5
Bet HERE @ 1.5
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.5
Bet HERE @ 2.5
Home WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.9
Bet HERE @ 3.9
DrawBetUK guide price · model 24%
3.75
Bet HERE @ 3.75
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.53
Bet HERE @ 1.53
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Sunderland1.4
Avg goals scored
Manchester United1.8
Sunderland2.2
Avg goals conceded
Manchester United1.4
Sunderland60%
BTTS rate
Manchester United80%
Sunderland60%
Over 2.5 goals
Manchester United80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 60% · edge +16.1 pts
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 80%
1.22
Bet HERE @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 44%
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

3Sunderland wins
1Draws
6Manchester United wins
04 Oct 2025Manchester United v Sunderland2-0
09 Apr 2017Sunderland v Manchester United0-3
26 Dec 2016Manchester United v Sunderland3-1
13 Feb 2016Sunderland v Manchester United2-1
26 Sep 2015Manchester United v Sunderland3-0
28 Feb 2015Manchester United v Sunderland2-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 60% · edge +16.1 pts
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Home WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.9
Bet HERE @ 3.9
DrawBetUK guide price · model 24%
3.75
Bet HERE @ 3.75
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Sunderland3.6
Avg corners for
Manchester United6
Sunderland9.8
Avg total corners
Manchester United11.4
Sunderland3.6
Avg yellow cards
Manchester United2.4
Sunderland12.8
Avg shots
Manchester United13.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBetfred guide price · Model 68% vs implied 55% · edge +13.4 pts
1.83
Bet HERE @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.82
Bet HERE @ 1.82
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleM. Rashford Anytime GoalscorerM. Rashford · 2 goals · 2.2 SOT/90
86/100
Bet HERE
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A. Garnacho 1+ Shot On TargetA. Garnacho · 4.09 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
S. Lacey 2+ ShotsS. Lacey · 11.74 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
Bruno Fernandes To Assist / Key Pass AngleBruno Fernandes · 19 assists · 3.89 key passes/90
78/100
Bet HERE
P. Dorgu To Be FouledP. Dorgu · 2.77 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Reinildo Card RiskReinildo · 7 yellows · 1.54 fouls/90
77/100
Bet HERE
M. Rashford
M. RashfordManchester United · Attacker
Goal threat100/100
Shots /904.39
SOT /902.2
B. Šeško
B. ŠeškoManchester United · Attacker
Goal threat91/100
Shots /902.81
SOT /901.87
S. Lacey
S. LaceyManchester United · Attacker
Goal threat86/100
Shots /9011.74
SOT /903.91
A. Garnacho
A. GarnachoManchester United · Attacker
Goal threat57/100
Shots /904.09
SOT /904.09
Reinildo
ReinildoSunderland · Defender
Goal threat11/100
Shots /900.11
SOT /900
Casemiro
CasemiroManchester United · Midfielder
Goal threat49/100
Shots /901.25
SOT /900.64
S. Adingra
S. AdingraSunderland · Attacker
Goal threat19/100
Shots /900.54
SOT /900.27
Season team stats

Premier League

Sunderland35
Played
Manchester United35
Sunderland1.1
Avg goals for
Manchester United1.8
Sunderland1.3
Avg goals against
Manchester United1.4
Sunderland10
Clean sheets
Manchester United6
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 54% · edge +6.6 pts
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.5
Bet HERE @ 1.5
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.5
Bet HERE @ 2.5
Home WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.9
Bet HERE @ 3.9
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Manchester United64351810715
12Sunderland4735121112-9

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.