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Sunderland crestSunderland
v
Hull City crestHull City

Premier League | Sat 02 Jan, 15:00

Sunderland v Hull City Stats

Data last updated: Thu 22 Oct 2026, 22:23 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sunderland face Hull City in Premier League on Sat 02 Jan, 15:00. Sunderland have already recovered from losing positions and took four points from their opening three league matches, while Hull have built their seven-point start around an exceptionally stubborn defence.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2

  • At 9/10, Under 2 implies roughly 53%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 62%.
  • Against Aston Villa they had only 27% of the ball, yet restricted their opponents to one shot on target in a 0-0 draw.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 20% for Sunderland and 60% for Hull City, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Hull City are carrying more of the scoring load at 1 goals per match, with Sunderland at 0.8.
  • BTTS rates of 40% for Sunderland and 60% for Hull City show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 62% for Under 2 sits against roughly 53% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 20% for Sunderland and 60% for Hull City, so the goals angle is not just a price call. Against Aston Villa they had only 27% of the ball, yet restricted their opponents to one shot on target in a 0-0 draw.

Model chance vs price62% model chance against roughly 53% implied
Positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 20% for Sunderland and 60%.Visible data support
Positive
Hull City are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive
Against Aston Villa they had only 27% of the.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because selection: Under 2.5 Goals. Hull City are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Sunderland at 0.8. However, with Hull drawing 1-1 at Stoke and Sunderland drawing 1-1 at Brentford recently, a 1-1 scoreline carries strong match-specific precedent, even if exact-score selections remain inherently fragile to a single late.

Main risk

However, with Hull drawing 1-1 at Stoke and Sunderland drawing 1-1 at Brentford recently, a 1-1 scoreline carries strong match-specific precedent, even if exact-score selections remain inherently fragile to a single late.

Key Data Signals

Under 2 evidence

Selection: Under 2.5 Goals.

Hull City are carrying more of the scoring load at 1 goals per match, with Sunderland at 0.8.

BTTS rates of 40% for Sunderland and 60% for Hull City show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2 notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sunderland0.8
Avg goals scored
Hull City1
Sunderland2.4
Avg goals conceded
Hull City1.4
Sunderland40%
BTTS rate
Hull City60%
Sunderland20%
Over 2.5 goals
Hull City60%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sunderland

LLLLD
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 5L
18 Oct 2026A Bournemouth0-2
10 Oct 2026H Brighton0-2
20 Sep 2026A Manchester City3-5
12 Sep 2026H Arsenal0-2
05 Sep 2026A Brentford1-1

Hull City

LDLDD
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 2L
17 Oct 2026A Fulham0-1
11 Oct 2026H Everton2-2
19 Sep 2026A Newcastle1-2
12 Sep 2026A Chelsea2-2
05 Sep 2026H Aston Villa0-0

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Sunderland Over 2.5
60%Hull City Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Sunderland sit at 20% and Hull City sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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