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Strasbourg crestStrasbourg
v
Toulouse crestToulouse

Ligue 1 | Sun 03 May, 16:15

Strasbourg v Toulouse Stats

BT4Y best bet

Strasbourg to Win

  • At 2.88, Strasbourg to Win is priced at roughly 35% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 74%, so the current line is showing a +39.3-point value edge.
  • Strasbourg have a recent record of 3W-1D-1L, while Toulouse come in at 1W-1D-3L across the same last-five lens.
  • The result profile supports the Strasbourg to Win angle: Strasbourg have taken 3 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
  • The result profile supports the Strasbourg to Win angle: Toulouse have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 60% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 2.88, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionHome WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 35% · edge +39.3 pts
2.88
Bet HERE @ 2.88
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 70%
3
Bet HERE @ 3
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.75
Bet HERE @ 1.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

80%Strasbourg Over 2.5
80%Toulouse Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Strasbourg

WLWWD
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
26 Apr 2026A Lorient3-2
19 Apr 2026H Rennes0-3
04 Apr 2026H Nice3-1
22 Mar 2026A Nantes3-2
15 Mar 2026H Paris FC0-0

Toulouse

DLLLW
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
25 Apr 2026H Monaco2-2
17 Apr 2026A Lens2-3
12 Apr 2026H Lille0-4
03 Apr 2026A Paris Saint Germain1-3
21 Mar 2026H Lorient1-0
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 35% · edge +39.3 pts
2.88
Bet HERE @ 2.88
Load more odds for this section
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.4
Bet HERE @ 1.4
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.75
Bet HERE @ 1.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
2.35
Bet HERE @ 2.35
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.3
Bet HERE @ 1.3
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Strasbourg1.8
Avg goals scored
Toulouse1.2
Strasbourg1.6
Avg goals conceded
Toulouse2.4
Strasbourg60%
BTTS rate
Toulouse60%
Strasbourg80%
Over 2.5 goals
Toulouse80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 33% · edge +36.7 pts
3
Bet HERE @ 3
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.25
Bet HERE @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
3
Bet HERE @ 3
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 36%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.36
Bet HERE @ 1.36
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

6Strasbourg wins
2Draws
2Toulouse wins
06 Dec 2025Toulouse v Strasbourg1-0
16 Mar 2025Strasbourg v Toulouse2-1
12 Jan 2025Toulouse v Strasbourg1-2
07 Apr 2024Toulouse v Strasbourg0-0
27 Aug 2023Strasbourg v Toulouse2-0
29 Jan 2023Strasbourg v Toulouse1-2
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 35% · edge +39.3 pts
2.88
Bet HERE @ 2.88
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 70%
3
Bet HERE @ 3
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
2.35
Bet HERE @ 2.35
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Strasbourg6.2
Avg corners for
Toulouse2.4
Strasbourg13.2
Avg total corners
Toulouse7.8
Strasbourg1.2
Avg yellow cards
Toulouse1.8
Strasbourg12.2
Avg shots
Toulouse9.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 51% · edge +9.5 pts
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleE. Emegha Anytime GoalscorerE. Emegha · 4 goals · 1.6 SOT/90
82/100
Bet HERE
Load more player angles
E. Emegha 1+ Shot On TargetE. Emegha · 1.6 shots on target/90
80/100
Bet HERE
E. Emegha 2+ ShotsE. Emegha · 2.59 shots/90
75/100
Bet HERE
D. Bakwa To Assist / Key Pass AngleD. Bakwa · 2 assists · 2.57 key passes/90
76/100
Bet HERE
Y. Gboho To Be FouledY. Gboho · 2.39 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Yaya Diémé Card RiskYaya Diémé · 1 yellows · 2.5 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
E. Emegha
E. EmeghaStrasbourg · Attacker
Goal threat82/100
Shots /902.59
SOT /901.6
J. Panichelli
J. PanichelliStrasbourg · Attacker
Goal threat80/100
Shots /902.09
SOT /901.27
Emersonn
EmersonnToulouse · Attacker
Goal threat65/100
Shots /902.56
SOT /901.16
Yaya Diémé
Yaya DiéméStrasbourg · Attacker
Goal threat18/100
Shots /901.25
SOT /901.25
J. Russell-Rowe
J. Russell-RoweToulouse · Attacker
Goal threat33/100
Shots /902.18
SOT /900.87
D. Methalie
D. MethalieToulouse · Midfielder
Goal threat21/100
Shots /900.54
SOT /900.3
Season team stats

Ligue 1

Strasbourg31
Played
Toulouse32
Strasbourg1.6
Avg goals for
Toulouse1.4
Strasbourg1.3
Avg goals against
Toulouse1.4
Strasbourg9
Clean sheets
Toulouse9
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 35% · edge +39.3 pts
2.88
Bet HERE @ 2.88
Load more odds for this section
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.75
Bet HERE @ 1.75
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
2.35
Bet HERE @ 2.35
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
8Strasbourg4631137119
10Toulouse4132118130

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.