Stoke City

Valencia

Friendlies Clubs | Sat 01 Aug, 18:30

Stoke City v Valencia Stats

Data last updated: Fri 31 Jul 2026, 04:15 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Stoke City and Valencia meet in a pre-season friendly that offers both sides a chance to test attacking options and defensive setups ahead of their competitive campaigns. Valencia have shown a more potent offense in recent outings, averaging 1.75 goals per game, while Stoke City have been more conservative, scoring 0.67 goals per match. Both teams have conceded goals regularly, indicating an open game likely to feature scoring from both sides. The friendly nature encourages offensive experimentation, adding to the likelihood of goals at both ends.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

Valencia score frequently with 1.75 goals per game in recent matches
Stoke City have conceded in most games, allowing 0.67 goals on average
Valencia’s Both Teams to Score rate stands at 75%, showing attacking consistency
Stoke City’s BTTS rate is lower at 33%, but recent defensive lapses suggest vulnerability

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 69.5% probability to both teams scoring, reflecting Valencia’s strong attacking form and Stoke City’s defensive openness. Valencia’s 75% BTTS rate and Stoke’s tendency to concede support this view. The friendly setting encourages offensive play, increasing the chance of goals at both ends. Data quality is solid with no major limitations, making this a confident statistical pick.

Valencia BTTS Rate75%

Strong positive

Stoke City Defensive Concessions0.67 goals per game

Positive

Match ContextPre-season friendly encourages open play

Positive

Stoke City BTTS Rate33%

Neutral

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“Valencia’s attacking consistency combined with Stoke City’s defensive openness creates a fertile ground for goals from both sides in this friendly encounter.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Valencia score frequently with 1.75 goals per game in recent matches

Stoke City have conceded in most games, allowing 0.67 goals on average

Stoke City’s BTTS rate is lower at 33%, but recent defensive lapses suggest vulnerability

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

Over the last several matches, Valencia have consistently played in games exceeding 2.5 goals, reflecting an attacking tempo and defensive gaps.
Stoke City’s matches have been lower scoring, but the combined trend suggests a fixture likely to feature multiple goals and an open tempo.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Stoke City0.67

Avg goals scored

Valencia1.75

Stoke City0.67

Avg goals conceded

Valencia1.5

Stoke City33%

BTTS rate

Valencia75%

Stoke City0%

Over 2.5 goals

Valencia100%

Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 56% · edge -1.6 pts

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%

Check odds @ 2

Valencia’s recent matches have consistently featured goals at both ends, with a high BTTS rate and an average of 1.75 goals scored. Stoke City’s lower scoring but regular concessions indicate a game where both sides are likely to find the net, fitting the BTTS profile.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionValencia to WinBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 42% · edge +11.4 pts

2.38

Check odds @ 2.38

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Valencia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%

1.82

Check odds @ 1.82

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%

Check odds @ 2

Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

Stoke City Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%

1.98

Check odds @ 1.98

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%

3.25

Check odds @ 3.25

Stoke City to WinBetMGM guide price · model 31%

2.6

Check odds @ 2.6

The Both Teams to Score market is well supported by Valencia’s 75% BTTS rate and Stoke City’s defensive concessions. Although Stoke’s BTTS rate is lower, the overall of 69.5% suggests the price is reasonable without strong value but worth monitoring for any shifts.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Stoke City

WDL

Last 51W 1D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 1D 1L

28 Jul 2026H Everton1-0

18 Jul 2026A Crewe1-1

10 Jul 2026H SC Braga0-1

Valencia

WLWL

Last 52W 0D 2L

Last 5 record

Last 102W 0D 2L

28 Jul 2026A Derby2-1

25 Jul 2026H Castellón1-2

22 Jul 2026H Eldense3-0

18 Jul 2026A Petro de Luanda1-3

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 80% vs implied 71% · edge +8.1 pts

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

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Valencia to WinBet365 guide price · model 53%

2.38

Check odds @ 2.38

Valencia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%

1.82

Check odds @ 1.82

Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 57%

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

Stoke City Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%

1.98

Check odds @ 1.98

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%

3.25

Check odds @ 3.25

Stoke City to WinBetMGM guide price · model 31%

2.6

Check odds @ 2.6

Valencia’s recent form shows stronger offensive output and a higher BTTS rate compared to Stoke City, who have scored less but conceded regularly. This contrast supports the likelihood of both teams scoring, especially as Valencia maintain attacking momentum.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Stoke City wins

0Draws

0Valencia wins

Best odds for this sectionValencia to WinBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 42% · edge +11.4 pts

2.38

Check odds @ 2.38

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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%

Check odds @ 2

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%

3.25

Check odds @ 3.25

Stoke City to WinBetMGM guide price · model 31%

2.6

Check odds @ 2.6

No previous meetings exist between Stoke City and Valencia to provide direct historical context. Therefore, current form and tactical tendencies carry more weight in assessing the likelihood of both teams scoring in this fixture.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Stoke City4

Played

Valencia5

Stoke City0.8

Avg goals for

Valencia1.6

Stoke City0.8

Avg goals against

Valencia1.4

Stoke City1

Clean sheets

Valencia1

Best odds for this sectionValencia to WinBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 42% · edge +11.4 pts

2.38

Check odds @ 2.38

Load more odds for this section

Valencia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%

1.82

Check odds @ 1.82

Stoke City Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%

1.98

Check odds @ 1.98

Stoke City to WinBetMGM guide price · model 31%

2.6

Check odds @ 2.6

Seasonal data highlights Valencia’s more prolific scoring and higher BTTS frequency, while Stoke City’s defensive record shows vulnerability. These season-long trends align with the BTTS pick, indicating both teams’ propensity to concede and score.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Stoke City Over 2.5

100%Valencia Over 2.5

-H2H avg goals

Over the last several matches, Valencia have consistently played in games exceeding 2.5 goals, reflecting an attacking tempo and defensive gaps. Stoke City’s matches have been lower scoring, but the combined trend suggests a fixture likely to feature multiple goals and an open tempo.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Stoke City v Valencia Stats

Match Report

Both Teams to Score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Valencia

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Football Stats Hub

Stoke City v Valencia Stats

Match Report

Both Teams to Score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Stoke City

Valencia

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