Football Stats Hub

Stockport County crestStockport County
v
Stevenage crestStevenage

League One | Sat 10 Apr, 15:00

Stockport County v Stevenage Stats

Data last updated: Thu 29 Oct 2026, 22:12 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Stockport County face Stevenage in League One on Sat 10 Apr, 15:00. Ben Osborn’s stoppage-time winner in the first meeting changed the entire mood of this tie.

BT4Y best bet

Stockport County Win

  • At 21/20, Stockport County Win implies roughly 49%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 64%.
  • Stevenage's struggle for away goals suggests a lower scoring affair as Stockport look to manage their aggregate lead carefully.
  • Stockport County have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 6 for Stevenage.
  • Stockport County have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Stockport County Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Stockport County sit 2 in the table, while Stevenage sit 13, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 64% for Stockport County Win sits against roughly 49% implied by the current price. Stockport County have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 6 for Stevenage. Stevenage's struggle for away goals suggests a lower scoring affair as Stockport look to manage their aggregate lead carefully.

Model chance vs price64% model chance against roughly 49% implied
Strong positive
Stockport County have the stronger recent points return, taking 10.Visible data support
Positive
Stockport County have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
Stevenage's struggle for away goals suggests a lower scoring.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Stockport County Win is the preferred angle because stevenage's struggle for away goals suggests a lower scoring affair as Stockport look to manage their aggregate lead carefully. Stockport County have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 6 for Stevenage. There is quality on both sides, but the details separating them are small.

Main risk

There is quality on both sides, but the details separating them are small.

Key Data Signals

Stockport County Win evidence

Stevenage's struggle for away goals suggests a lower scoring affair as Stockport look to manage their aggregate lead.

Stockport County have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 6 for Stevenage.

Stockport County have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Stockport County Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Stockport County sit 2 in the table, while Stevenage sit 13, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Stockport County Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Stockport County1.4
    Avg goals scored
    Stevenage0.8
    Stockport County0.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Stevenage0.8
    Stockport County40%
    BTTS rate
    Stevenage0%
    Stockport County20%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Stevenage20%

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

    Check odds

    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Stockport County

    LDWWW
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 2D 3L
    27 Oct 2026A Oxford United0-1
    24 Oct 2026A Notts County1-1
    20 Oct 2026A Doncaster2-0
    17 Oct 2026H Bromley1-0
    10 Oct 2026H Barnsley3-1

    Stevenage

    LWLWL
    Last 52W 0D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 2D 4L
    24 Oct 2026H Milton Keynes Dons0-1
    20 Oct 2026H Plymouth3-0
    17 Oct 2026A Bradford0-2
    10 Oct 2026H Wigan1-0
    19 Sep 2026A Leyton Orient0-1

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

    Check odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

    Check odds

    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    20%Stockport County Over 2.5
    20%Stevenage Over 2.5
    2.63H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Stockport County sit at 20% and Stevenage sit at 20% with the H2H average at 2.63 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Loading deeper match data…