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Stockport County crestStockport County
v
Blackpool crestBlackpool

League One | Sat 22 Aug, 15:00

Stockport County v Blackpool Stats

Data last updated: Fri 21 Aug 2026, 07:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Stockport County face Blackpool in League One on Sat 22 Aug, 15:00. Blackpool’s urgent need for points will likely result in a competitive but balanced affair, mirroring Stockport’s resilience in remaining unbeaten in 14 of their last 17 away league matches. Ashley Fletcher is in elite form with 15 goals in 18 games.

BT4Y match pick

Stockport County Win

  • At 1.6, Stockport County Win implies roughly 63%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 58%.
  • Blackpool’s offensive resurgence at home meets a Stockport side that averages over 105 attacks per match.
  • Stockport County have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 1 for Blackpool.
  • Stockport County have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Stockport County Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Stockport County sit 5 in the table, while Blackpool sit 15, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 58% for Stockport County Win sits against roughly 63% implied by the current price. Stockport County have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 1 for Blackpool. Blackpool’s offensive resurgence at home meets a Stockport side that averages over 105 attacks per match.

Model chance vs price58% model chance against roughly 63% implied
Negative
Stockport County have the stronger recent points return, taking 3.Visible data support
Positive
Stockport County have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
Blackpool’s offensive resurgence at home meets a Stockport side.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Stockport County Win is the preferred angle because blackpool’s offensive resurgence at home meets a Stockport side that averages over 105 attacks per match. Stockport County have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 1 for Blackpool. Stockport County provide a stern test but remain vulnerable to high-volume attacks.

Main risk

Stockport County provide a stern test but remain vulnerable to high-volume attacks.

Key Data Signals

Stockport County Win evidence

Blackpool’s offensive resurgence at home meets a Stockport side that averages over 105 attacks per match.

Stockport County have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 1 for Blackpool.

Stockport County have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Stockport County Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Stockport County sit 5 in the table, while Blackpool sit 15, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Stockport County Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Stockport County3
    Avg goals scored
    Blackpool1
    Stockport County1
    Avg goals conceded
    Blackpool1
    Stockport County100%
    BTTS rate
    Blackpool100%
    Stockport County100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Blackpool0%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
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    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 70%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 34%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickStockport County to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 63% · edge -4.2 pts
    1.6
    Check odds @ 1.6
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    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 71%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Stockport County Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.32
    Check odds @ 1.32
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 55%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Stockport County to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Stockport County

    W
    Last 51W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 0L
    15 Aug 2026A Plymouth3-1

    Blackpool

    D
    Last 50W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 1D 0L
    15 Aug 2026H Wycombe1-1
    Market aligned with main pickStockport County to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 63% · edge -4.2 pts
    1.6
    Check odds @ 1.6
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    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 82%
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Stockport County Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.32
    Check odds @ 1.32
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Stockport County Over 2.5
    0%Blackpool Over 2.5
    2.5H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Stockport County sit at 100% and Blackpool sit at 0% with the H2H average at 2.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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