Stevenage
Stockport CountyLeague One | Sat 12 Dec, 12:30
Stevenage v Stockport County Stats
Data last updated: Wed 28 Oct 2026, 18:16 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Stevenage face Stockport County in League One on Sat 12 Dec, 12:30. Ben Osborn’s stoppage-time winner in the first meeting changed the entire mood of this tie.
Stevenage Win
- At 8/1, Stevenage Win implies roughly 11%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 26%.
- Stevenage's struggle for away goals suggests a lower scoring affair as Stockport look to manage their aggregate lead carefully.
- Stockport County have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 6 for Stevenage.
- Stockport County have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Stevenage Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
- Stevenage sit 13 in the table, while Stockport County sit 2, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The 26% for Stevenage Win sits against roughly 11% implied by the current price. Stockport County have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 6 for Stevenage. Stevenage's struggle for away goals suggests a lower scoring affair as Stockport look to manage their aggregate lead carefully.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Stevenage Win is the preferred angle because stevenage's struggle for away goals suggests a lower scoring affair as Stockport look to manage their aggregate lead carefully. Stockport County have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 6 for Stevenage. There is quality on both sides, but the details separating them are small.
There is quality on both sides, but the details separating them are small.
Key Data Signals
Stevenage Win evidence
Stevenage's struggle for away goals suggests a lower scoring affair as Stockport look to manage their aggregate lead.
Stockport County have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 6 for Stevenage.
Stockport County have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Stevenage Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Stevenage sit 13 in the table, while Stockport County sit 2, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
What To Watch In The Data
Stevenage Win notes
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
No priced odds are available for this section yet.
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Useful next reads
Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Stevenage
Stockport County
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Market odds
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
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