Football Stats Hub

Start crestStart
v
Valerenga crestValerenga

Eliteserien | Mon 25 May, 13:30

Start v Valerenga Stats

Data last updated: Wed 10 Jun 2026, 08:49 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Start face Valerenga in Eliteserien on Mon 25 May, 13:30. Start come in with 1 recent points and 1.2 goals per match, while Valerenga have 4 points and 1.2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Valerenga to Win

  • At 2.15, Valerenga Win implies roughly 47%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 60%.
  • Valerenga have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 1 for Start.
  • Valerenga have the cleaner defensive sample at 2.4 conceded per match, which helps the Valerenga Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Start sit 16 in the table, while Valerenga sit 9, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 60% for Valerenga Win sits against roughly 47% implied by the current price. Valerenga have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 1 for Start.

Model chance vs price60% model chance against roughly 47% implied
Positive
Valerenga have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points.Visible data support
Positive
Valerenga have the cleaner defensive sample at 2.4 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Valerenga Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Valerenga have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 1 for Start. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Valerenga Win evidence

Valerenga have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 1 for Start.

Valerenga have the cleaner defensive sample at 2.4 conceded per match, which helps the Valerenga Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Start sit 16 in the table, while Valerenga sit 9, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Valerenga Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Start2.2
    Avg corners for
    Valerenga8.4
    Start9.6
    Avg total corners
    Valerenga10.8
    Start2
    Avg yellow cards
    Valerenga3
    Start11.4
    Avg shots
    Valerenga15.4
    Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    1.92
    Check odds @ 1.92
    Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Start1.2
    Avg goals scored
    Valerenga1.2
    Start3.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Valerenga2.4
    Start80%
    BTTS rate
    Valerenga60%
    Start80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Valerenga60%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +9.3 pts
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 80%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
    1.6
    Check odds @ 1.6
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 44%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickValerenga to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 47% · edge +13.1 pts
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Load more odds for this section
    Valerenga Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.98
    Check odds @ 1.98
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
    1.6
    Check odds @ 1.6
    Valerenga to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Start

    LLDLL
    Last 50W 1D 4L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 4D 6L
    20 May 2026H Bodo/Glimt1-4
    16 May 2026A Viking3-6
    03 May 2026H Tromso1-1
    30 Apr 2026A Bodo/Glimt0-5
    26 Apr 2026A Ham-Kam1-2

    Valerenga

    WLDLL
    Last 51W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 2D 4L
    16 May 2026H Sarpsborg 08 FF3-2
    08 May 2026A Ham-Kam0-1
    03 May 2026H KFUM Oslo2-2
    26 Apr 2026A Molde1-5
    19 Apr 2026H Lillestrom0-2
    Market aligned with main pickValerenga to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 47% · edge +13.1 pts
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Load more odds for this section
    Valerenga Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.98
    Check odds @ 1.98
    Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    1Start wins
    1Draws
    7Valerenga wins
    02 Nov 2024Valerenga v Start1-1
    20 Jul 2024Start v Valerenga1-2
    01 Mar 2022Valerenga v Start3-1
    22 Dec 2020Valerenga v Start4-0
    17 Aug 2020Start v Valerenga2-1
    30 Sep 2018Valerenga v Start3-2
    Market aligned with main pickValerenga to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 47% · edge +13.1 pts
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
    1.6
    Check odds @ 1.6
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Valerenga to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Eliteserien

    Start12
    Played
    Valerenga11
    Start1.1
    Avg goals for
    Valerenga1.2
    Start2.3
    Avg goals against
    Valerenga1.5
    Start1
    Clean sheets
    Valerenga2
    Market aligned with main pickValerenga to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 47% · edge +13.1 pts
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Load more odds for this section
    Valerenga Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.98
    Check odds @ 1.98
    Season data supports Valerenga to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    9Valerenga1411425-4
    16Start712147-15
    Start sit in position 16, while Valerenga sit in position 9, so table pressure belongs in the Valerenga Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Start Over 2.5
    60%Valerenga Over 2.5
    4H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Start sit at 80% and Valerenga sit at 60% with the H2H average at 4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Football predictions hub

    Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

    More stats pages

    Browse football stats pages

    Open the main stats hub for the latest fixture dashboards.

    Competition and hubs

    corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictions

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    View match centre