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Standard Liege crestStandard Liege
v
Kortrijk crestKortrijk

Jupiler Pro League | Sat 31 Oct, 17:15

Standard Liege v Kortrijk Stats

Data last updated: Fri 30 Oct 2026, 15:30 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Standard Liege hosts Kortrijk in a Jupiler Pro League clash where both teams seek to improve their standings. Standard Liege, positioned mid-table, have struggled defensively, conceding 1.8 goals per game, while Kortrijk, near the bottom, have shown resilience despite limited scoring. Recent form data reveals both sides have earned three points in their last five matches, but Kortrijk's defensive solidity and ability to avoid defeat make them a tough opponent. Tactical caution and the importance of points for Kortrijk suggest a match where avoiding loss is a priority, setting the stage for a competitive encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Kortrijk or Draw

  • Kortrijk has a strong defensive record with 1.8 goals conceded per game, matching Standard Liege's defensive struggles.
  • Standard Liege averages 14.6 shots per game but has a lower conversion rate, indicating attacking inefficiency.
  • Kortrijk or Draw offers a 16.6% with a of 63.1%, reflecting Kortrijk's resilience.
  • Head-to-head matches average 1.6 goals, suggesting a tight contest with limited scoring.
  • Kortrijk ranks 17th with only 3 points, motivating a cautious approach to secure at least a draw.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Kortrijk or Draw due to their defensive resilience and ability to avoid defeat against a Standard Liege side that struggles to convert chances despite higher shot volumes. Kortrijk's recent form and tactical approach focus on containment, which aligns with the model's 63.1% chance estimate. The offer positive value, reflecting the likelihood of Kortrijk securing at least a draw in this tightly contested fixture. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Defensive SolidityKortrijk concedes 1.8 goals per game, matching Standard Liege's defensive record
Positive
Attacking EfficiencyStandard Liege averages 14.6 shots but low goal output
Positive
Recent FormBoth teams have 3 points in last five matches, Kortrijk showing resilience
Positive
Value Edge35% model chance vs 21.1% implied (+13.9 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Kortrijk's defensive discipline and recent form make them a solid choice to avoid defeat against Standard Liege, who have struggled to finish chances despite territorial advantage. The data supports a cautious game where Kortrijk's resilience is likely to earn at least a draw, making Kortrijk or Draw a tactically and statistically sound selection.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Defensive resilience and tactical discipline

“Kortrijk's ability to absorb pressure and limit quality chances against a more aggressive Standard Liege side underpins the value in backing them to avoid defeat in this matchup.”

Key Data Signals

Kortrijk or Draw evidence

Kortrijk has a strong defensive record with 1.8 goals conceded per game, matching Standard Liege's defensive struggles.

Standard Liege averages 14.6 shots per game but has a lower conversion rate, indicating attacking inefficiency.

Kortrijk or Draw offers a 16.6% with a of 63.1%, reflecting Kortrijk's resilience.

Head-to-head matches average 1.6 goals, suggesting a tight contest with limited scoring.

What To Watch In The Data

Kortrijk or Draw notes

  • Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals total is 1.6, indicating a trend toward low-scoring games.
  • This suggests a tempo favoring defensive solidity and limited attacking breakthroughs, aligning with the expectation of a tight match with few goals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Standard Liege1
Avg goals scored
Kortrijk0.2
Standard Liege1.8
Avg goals conceded
Kortrijk1.8
Standard Liege60%
BTTS rate
Kortrijk0%
Standard Liege60%
Over 2.5 goals
Kortrijk40%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 48% · edge +5.6 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 33%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
The average of 1.6 goals in the last 10 head-to-head matches and Kortrijk's 40% over 2.5 goals rate suggest a low-scoring game. Standard Liege's 60% BTTS rate contrasts with Kortrijk's 0%, indicating Kortrijk's defense limits opponent scoring opportunities, supporting a cautious goals market.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionKortrijk to WinBetUK guide price · Model 35% vs implied 21% · edge +13.9 pts
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
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Kortrijk Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Standard Liege Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Standard Liege to WinBetfred guide price · model 49%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
The 35% for Kortrijk or Draw sits against roughly 21.1% implied by the current price (+13.9 pts).
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Standard Liege

LLLLW
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 4L
25 Oct 2026A Genk1-2
11 Oct 2026H Charleroi0-1
18 Sep 2026A Gent1-2
12 Sep 2026A KVC Westerlo2-4
05 Sep 2026H Antwerp1-0

Kortrijk

LWLLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 7L
10 Oct 2026A Genk0-3
20 Sep 2026H SK Beveren1-0
13 Sep 2026A RAAL La Louvière0-3
06 Sep 2026H Zulte Waregem0-2
03 Sep 2026A Anderlecht0-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
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Kortrijk to WinBetUK guide price · model 35%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Kortrijk Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 77%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Standard Liege Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Standard Liege to WinBetfred guide price · model 49%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Both teams have earned three points in their last five matches, but Kortrijk's form shows greater defensive stability, conceding fewer goals and managing to avoid losses. Standard Liege's recent scoring struggles contrast with Kortrijk's ability to keep games tight, favoring Kortrijk or Draw.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Standard Liege Over 2.5
40%Kortrijk Over 2.5
1.6H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals total is 1.6, indicating a trend toward low-scoring games. This suggests a tempo favoring defensive solidity and limited attacking breakthroughs, aligning with the expectation of a tight match with few goals.

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