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Stade Brestois 29 crestStade Brestois 29
v
Toulouse crestToulouse

Ligue 1 | Sat 29 Aug, 19:45

Stade Brestois 29 v Toulouse Stats

Data last updated: Fri 28 Aug 2026, 08:29 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Stade Brestois 29 hosts Toulouse in a Ligue 1 clash where both teams have contrasting corner and attacking profiles. Stade Brestois 29, ranked 6th, have shown aggressive wing play and sustained pressure, averaging 10 corners per game, while Toulouse, sitting 15th, contribute a moderate 6 corners per match. The fixture promises territorial battles and set-piece opportunities, with Stade Brestois 29's offensive style likely to generate numerous corner situations. Recent matches suggest a dynamic encounter with Stade Brestois 29 pushing forward and Toulouse aiming to disrupt and counterattack, setting the stage for a corner-rich game.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Stade Brestois 29 average 10 corners per game, significantly higher than Toulouse's 6
  • Model estimates a 69% chance for Over 9.5 Corners, indicating strong statistical support
  • Recent form shows Stade Brestois 29's matches consistently exceed 9.5 corners
  • Both teams' styles create sustained pressure and wing attacks, increasing corner likelihood
  • The market offers positive value with a 19.5% edge over implied

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 9.5 Corners as a value bet with a 69% chance against a 49.5% implied probability, reflecting strong corner-taking tendencies from Stade Brestois 29 combined with Toulouse's defensive pressure leading to frequent corners. Stade Brestois 29's high average corners and Toulouse's moderate count create a combined total that regularly surpasses 9.5. The level of 88% reinforces the reliability of this prediction, supported by recent form and season-long corner statistics. No price warnings apply, making this a solid corner market selection.

Stade Brestois 29 average corners10 per game
Strong positive
Toulouse average corners6 per game
Positive
Model corner chance69%
Strong positive
Market implied chance49.5%
Positive
Confidence level88%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a game dominated by Stade Brestois 29's attacking width and pressure, generating numerous corners. Toulouse's defensive resilience may limit some chances but their tendency to concede corners under pressure supports the Over 9.5 Corners selection. The statistical data and tactical outlook align well for a corner-heavy match.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“Stade Brestois 29's aggressive wing play combined with Toulouse's defensive style creates a fertile ground for corners. The statistical edge and tactical patterns strongly favor a high corner count in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Stade Brestois 29 average 10 corners per game, significantly higher than Toulouse's 6

Model estimates a 69% chance for Over 9.5 Corners, indicating strong statistical support

Recent form shows Stade Brestois 29's matches consistently exceed 9.5 corners

Both teams' styles create sustained pressure and wing attacks, increasing corner likelihood

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • Over the last ten matches, the average goals per game between these teams is 3.2, indicating open play and attacking tempo.
  • This pace often leads to more corners as defenses are tested.
  • The trend suggests a match with multiple goal and corner opportunities, reinforcing the likelihood of Over 9.5 Corners.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Stade Brestois 2910
Avg corners for
Toulouse6
Stade Brestois 2911
Avg total corners
Toulouse11
Stade Brestois 291
Avg yellow cards
Toulouse1
Stade Brestois 2926
Avg shots
Toulouse17
Market aligned with main pickOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 44%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Stade Brestois 29 averages 10 corners and 26 shots per game, showing sustained attacking pressure and wing play that forces defensive clearances into corners. Toulouse's 6 corners and lower shot volume reflect a more defensive posture, but fouls and yellow cards are balanced, indicating a competitive match with set-piece opportunities driving the corner count.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Stade Brestois 292
Avg goals scored
Toulouse0
Stade Brestois 292
Avg goals conceded
Toulouse2
Stade Brestois 29100%
BTTS rate
Toulouse0%
Stade Brestois 29100%
Over 2.5 goals
Toulouse0%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 57% · edge +9.6 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 56%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2
Check odds @ 2
Although the focus is on corners, goal trends provide context: Stade Brestois 29's matches have a 100% over 2.5 goals rate and 100% BTTS rate, indicating open play that often leads to attacking pressure and corners. Toulouse's defensive record and low scoring suggest they absorb pressure, likely conceding corners rather than goals, supporting the corner market.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionStade Brestois 29 Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Stade Brestois 29 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 56%
2
Check odds @ 2
Toulouse Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
The Over 9.5 Corners market is priced attractively at 2.02, reflecting a 49.5% implied chance, while the model estimates a 69% probability. This 19.5% indicates a positive betting opportunity with strong statistical backing and no price warnings, suggesting the market underestimates the likelihood of a high corner count.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Stade Brestois 29

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
22 Aug 2026A Le Mans2-2

Toulouse

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
22 Aug 2026H Lyon0-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 84% vs implied 69% · edge +15 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Stade Brestois 29 Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Stade Brestois 29 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Toulouse Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Toulouse to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Recent form data shows Stade Brestois 29's matches consistently exceed 9.5 corners, reflecting their aggressive attacking style and territorial control. Toulouse's matches have fewer corners but combined with Stade Brestois 29's high numbers, the total often surpasses the threshold. This trend supports the Over 9.5 Corners bet with strong recent evidence.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Stade Brestois 29 wins
3Draws
2Toulouse wins
25 Jan 2026Stade Brestois 29 v Toulouse0-2
24 Aug 2025Toulouse v Stade Brestois 292-0
30 Mar 2025Toulouse v Stade Brestois 292-4
22 Sep 2024Stade Brestois 29 v Toulouse2-0
19 May 2024Toulouse v Stade Brestois 290-3
08 Oct 2023Stade Brestois 29 v Toulouse1-1
Best odds for this sectionStade Brestois 29 to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 56%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Toulouse to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
The last ten meetings between Stade Brestois 29 and Toulouse average 3.2 goals per game, indicating open contests that generate attacking pressure and set-piece situations. While corner-specific data is limited, the goal trends imply a dynamic match environment conducive to a high corner count, supporting the Over 9.5 Corners selection.
Season team stats

Ligue 1

Stade Brestois 291
Played
Toulouse1
Stade Brestois 292
Avg goals for
Toulouse0
Stade Brestois 292
Avg goals against
Toulouse2
Stade Brestois 290
Clean sheets
Toulouse0
Best odds for this sectionStade Brestois 29 Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Stade Brestois 29 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Toulouse Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Toulouse to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Season-long statistics confirm Stade Brestois 29's high corner average of 10 per game, driven by their offensive tactics and wing play. Toulouse's 6 corners per game add to the total, making Over 9.5 Corners a realistic outcome. The teams' styles and season data align to suggest a corner-rich fixture.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
7Stade Brestois 29110100
15Toulouse01001-2
Stade Brestois 29's 6th place standing reflects their strong home form and attacking approach, which correlates with high corner counts. Toulouse's 15th place and defensive struggles suggest they will face pressure, increasing corner opportunities. While standings are background, they support the narrative of an attacking home side versus a pressured away team.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Stade Brestois 29 Over 2.5
0%Toulouse Over 2.5
3.2H2H avg goals
Over the last ten matches, the average goals per game between these teams is 3.2, indicating open play and attacking tempo. This pace often leads to more corners as defenses are tested. The trend suggests a match with multiple goal and corner opportunities, reinforcing the likelihood of Over 9.5 Corners.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.