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Stade Brestois 29 crestStade Brestois 29
v
Strasbourg crestStrasbourg

Ligue 1 | Wed 13 May, 18:00

Stade Brestois 29 v Strasbourg Stats

Data last updated: Thu 27 Aug 2026, 21:02 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Stade Brestois 29 face Strasbourg in Ligue 1 on Wed 13 May, 18:00. Stade Brestois 29 come in with 2 recent points and 1.4 goals per match, while Strasbourg have 7 points and 1.6 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Over 8.5 Corners

  • At 1.67, Over 8.5 Corners implies roughly 60%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 75%.
  • Strasbourg lead the corner sample at 4.6 per match, with Stade Brestois 29 lower at 1.25.
  • Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots: Stade Brestois 29 average 5.75 and Strasbourg average 12.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 75% for Over 8.5 Corners sits against roughly 60% implied by the current price. Strasbourg lead the corner sample at 4.6 per match, with Stade Brestois 29 lower at 1.25.

Model chance vs price75% model chance against roughly 60% implied
Strong positive
Strasbourg lead the corner sample at 4.6 per match.Visible data support
Positive
Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 8.5 Corners is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Strasbourg lead the corner sample at 4.6 per match, with Stade Brestois 29 lower at 1.25. Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Key Data Signals

Over 8.5 Corners evidence

Strasbourg lead the corner sample at 4.6 per match, with Stade Brestois 29 lower at 1.25.

Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots: Stade Brestois 29 average 5.75 and Strasbourg average 12.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 8.5 Corners notes

  • Use corner averages alongside shot pressure to separate territory from real threat.
  • Check whether wide attacks are producing repeat deliveries rather than harmless possession.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Stade Brestois 291.25
Avg corners for
Strasbourg4.6
Stade Brestois 2910.5
Avg total corners
Strasbourg10.8
Stade Brestois 291.5
Avg yellow cards
Strasbourg1
Stade Brestois 295.75
Avg shots
Strasbourg12
Market aligned with main pickOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Stade Brestois 291.4
Avg goals scored
Strasbourg1.6
Stade Brestois 292.6
Avg goals conceded
Strasbourg1.8
Stade Brestois 2960%
BTTS rate
Strasbourg80%
Stade Brestois 2960%
Over 2.5 goals
Strasbourg80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 46%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Strasbourg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Strasbourg to WinBetMGM guide price · model 57%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Stade Brestois 29 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Over 8.5 Corners is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Stade Brestois 29

LLDDL
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
10 May 2026A Paris Saint Germain0-1
03 May 2026A Paris FC0-4
24 Apr 2026H Lens3-3
19 Apr 2026A Nantes1-1
04 Apr 2026H Rennes3-4

Strasbourg

DLWLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
10 May 2026A Angers1-1
03 May 2026H Toulouse1-2
26 Apr 2026A Lorient3-2
19 Apr 2026H Rennes0-3
04 Apr 2026H Nice3-1
Best odds for this sectionStrasbourg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
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Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Strasbourg to WinBetMGM guide price · model 57%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Stade Brestois 29 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 49%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
DrawBet365 guide price · model 22%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Stade Brestois 29 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Stade Brestois 29 wins
4Draws
2Strasbourg wins
30 Nov 2025Strasbourg v Stade Brestois 291-2
23 Feb 2025Strasbourg v Stade Brestois 290-0
30 Nov 2024Stade Brestois 29 v Strasbourg3-1
24 Feb 2024Strasbourg v Stade Brestois 290-3
07 Dec 2023Stade Brestois 29 v Strasbourg1-1
05 Mar 2023Strasbourg v Stade Brestois 290-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Strasbourg to WinBetMGM guide price · model 57%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
DrawBet365 guide price · model 22%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Stade Brestois 29 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Ligue 1

Stade Brestois 2934
Played
Strasbourg34
Stade Brestois 291.3
Avg goals for
Strasbourg1.7
Stade Brestois 291.6
Avg goals against
Strasbourg1.4
Stade Brestois 299
Clean sheets
Strasbourg9
Best odds for this sectionStrasbourg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Load more odds for this section
Strasbourg to WinBetMGM guide price · model 57%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Stade Brestois 29 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Stade Brestois 29 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Season data supports Strasbourg Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
8Strasbourg53341581111
12Stade Brestois 29393410915-12
Stade Brestois 29 sit in position 12, while Strasbourg sit in position 8, so table pressure belongs in the Over 8.5 Corners assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Stade Brestois 29 Over 2.5
80%Strasbourg Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Stade Brestois 29 sit at 60% and Strasbourg sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.