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Stade Brestois 29 crestStade Brestois 29
v
Strasbourg crestStrasbourg

Ligue 1 | Wed 13 May, 18:00

Stade Brestois 29 v Strasbourg Stats

Data last updated: Sat 13 Jun 2026, 13:20 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Stade Brestois 29 face Strasbourg in Ligue 1 on Wed 13 May, 18:00. Stade Brestois 29 come in with 2 recent points and 1.4 goals per match, while Strasbourg have 7 points and 1.6 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Strasbourg to Win

  • At 2.4, Strasbourg Win implies roughly 42%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 68%.
  • Strasbourg have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 2 for Stade Brestois 29.
  • Strasbourg have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the Strasbourg Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Stade Brestois 29 sit 12 in the table, while Strasbourg sit 8, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 68% for Strasbourg Win sits against roughly 42% implied by the current price. Strasbourg have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 2 for Stade Brestois 29.

Model chance vs price68% model chance against roughly 42% implied
Strong positive
Strasbourg have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points.Visible data support
Positive
Strasbourg have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Strasbourg Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Strasbourg have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 2 for Stade Brestois 29. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Strasbourg Win evidence

Strasbourg have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 2 for Stade Brestois 29.

Strasbourg have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the Strasbourg Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Stade Brestois 29 sit 12 in the table, while Strasbourg sit 8, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Strasbourg Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Stade Brestois 291.6
    Avg corners for
    Strasbourg4.6
    Stade Brestois 2910.4
    Avg total corners
    Strasbourg10.8
    Stade Brestois 291.8
    Avg yellow cards
    Strasbourg1
    Stade Brestois 296.6
    Avg shots
    Strasbourg12
    Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15.1 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 56%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Stade Brestois 291.4
    Avg goals scored
    Strasbourg1.6
    Stade Brestois 292.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Strasbourg1.8
    Stade Brestois 2960%
    BTTS rate
    Strasbourg80%
    Stade Brestois 2960%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Strasbourg80%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 76%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 46%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickStrasbourg to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 42% · edge +25.8 pts
    2.4
    Check odds @ 2.4
    Load more odds for this section
    Strasbourg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.78
    Check odds @ 1.78
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 56%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Strasbourg to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Stade Brestois 29

    LLDDL
    Last 50W 2D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 2D 5L
    10 May 2026A Paris Saint Germain0-1
    03 May 2026A Paris FC0-4
    24 Apr 2026H Lens3-3
    19 Apr 2026A Nantes1-1
    04 Apr 2026H Rennes3-4

    Strasbourg

    DLWLW
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 4D 2L
    10 May 2026A Angers1-1
    03 May 2026H Toulouse1-2
    26 Apr 2026A Lorient3-2
    19 Apr 2026H Rennes0-3
    04 Apr 2026H Nice3-1
    Market aligned with main pickStrasbourg to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 42% · edge +25.8 pts
    2.4
    Check odds @ 2.4
    Load more odds for this section
    Strasbourg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.78
    Check odds @ 1.78
    Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    4Stade Brestois 29 wins
    4Draws
    2Strasbourg wins
    30 Nov 2025Strasbourg v Stade Brestois 291-2
    23 Feb 2025Strasbourg v Stade Brestois 290-0
    30 Nov 2024Stade Brestois 29 v Strasbourg3-1
    24 Feb 2024Strasbourg v Stade Brestois 290-3
    07 Dec 2023Stade Brestois 29 v Strasbourg1-1
    05 Mar 2023Strasbourg v Stade Brestois 290-1
    Market aligned with main pickStrasbourg to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 42% · edge +25.8 pts
    2.4
    Check odds @ 2.4
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Strasbourg to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Ligue 1

    Stade Brestois 2934
    Played
    Strasbourg34
    Stade Brestois 291.3
    Avg goals for
    Strasbourg1.7
    Stade Brestois 291.6
    Avg goals against
    Strasbourg1.4
    Stade Brestois 299
    Clean sheets
    Strasbourg9
    Market aligned with main pickStrasbourg to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 42% · edge +25.8 pts
    2.4
    Check odds @ 2.4
    Load more odds for this section
    Strasbourg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.78
    Check odds @ 1.78
    Season data supports Strasbourg to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    8Strasbourg53341581111
    12Stade Brestois 29393410915-12
    Stade Brestois 29 sit in position 12, while Strasbourg sit in position 8, so table pressure belongs in the Strasbourg Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Stade Brestois 29 Over 2.5
    80%Strasbourg Over 2.5
    2.4H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Stade Brestois 29 sit at 60% and Strasbourg sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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    Betting context

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