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Sporting Kansas City crestSporting Kansas City
v
FC Dallas crestFC Dallas

Major League Soccer | Sat 31 Oct, 19:00

Sporting Kansas City v FC Dallas Stats

Data last updated: Fri 30 Oct 2026, 08:09 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sporting Kansas City face FC Dallas in a Major League Soccer clash where goal-scoring potential is high. Sporting Kansas City have struggled defensively this season, conceding an average of 3 goals per game, while FC Dallas boast a more solid defense but maintain a strong attack. Dallas currently sit second in the standings with 54 points, contrasting with Sporting Kansas City's 15th place and 22 points. Recent form data shows both teams have been involved in matches with multiple goals, setting the stage for an open and attacking encounter underpinned by tactical intent to exploit defensive vulnerabilities.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Sporting Kansas City concede 3 goals per game on average, indicating defensive frailty.
  • FC Dallas rank 2nd with 54 points, showing strong attacking and defensive balance.
  • Both teams have high over 2.5 goals rates: Sporting Kansas City at 100%, FC Dallas at 60%.
  • H2H average goals per match is 4.2, supporting a high-scoring game.
  • Top attackers like P. Musa and André Luiz have strong shot and goal metrics, increasing scoring chances.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 3.5 Goals with a 58% chance, supported by both teams' attacking profiles and defensive weaknesses. Sporting Kansas City's 100% over 2.5 goals rate and FC Dallas' solid offensive output underpin this. The head-to-head average of 4.2 goals per match further strengthens the case. The price at 2.1 offers positive value with a 10.4% edge, reflecting in a high-scoring encounter. Player-level data highlights prolific attackers like P. Musa and André Luiz, who contribute significantly to shot volume and goal threat, reinforcing the likelihood of multiple goals.

Sporting Kansas City defensive record3 goals conceded per game
Strong positive
FC Dallas attacking strength1.6 goals per game
Positive
H2H average goals4.2 goals per match
Strong positive
Over 2.5 goals rate Sporting Kansas City100%
Strong positive
Model value edge58% model chance vs 47.6% implied (+10.4 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with both sides pushing forward given Sporting Kansas City's defensive struggles and FC Dallas' attacking quality. The high average goals in their past meetings and current form suggest Over 3.5 Goals is a fitting selection, combining tactical openness with statistical backing.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and attacking roles

“This fixture features contrasting defensive records and potent attackers, making a high-scoring game very plausible. The attacking roles of P. Musa and André Luiz, combined with a history of goal-rich encounters, underline the appeal of Over 3.5 Goals.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Sporting Kansas City concede 3 goals per game on average, indicating defensive frailty.

FC Dallas rank 2nd with 54 points, showing strong attacking and defensive balance.

Both teams have high over 2.5 goals rates: Sporting Kansas City at 100%, FC Dallas at 60%.

H2H average goals per match is 4.2, supporting a high-scoring game.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 4.2, indicating a trend toward high-scoring games.
  • This sample suggests a fast tempo and open play, with both teams contributing to goal opportunities, reinforcing the Over 2.5 Goals trend and supporting the Over 3.5 Goals bet.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sporting Kansas City1.2
Avg goals scored
FC Dallas1.6
Sporting Kansas City3
Avg goals conceded
FC Dallas1.4
Sporting Kansas City80%
BTTS rate
FC Dallas40%
Sporting Kansas City100%
Over 2.5 goals
FC Dallas60%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 58% vs implied 48% · edge +10.4 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 73%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Both teams show contrasting BTTS rates, with Sporting Kansas City at 80% and FC Dallas at 40%, but their combined attacking output and defensive vulnerabilities suggest multiple goals are likely. The high average goals per match in their head-to-head history (4.2) supports a game with several scoring events.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionFC Dallas to WinBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
FC Dallas Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 73%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Sporting Kansas City Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Sporting Kansas City to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
The 58% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 47.6% implied by the current price (+10.4 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Sporting Kansas City and 60% for FC Dallas, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sporting Kansas City

LLLLD
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 7L
29 Oct 2026A Minnesota United FC1-3
25 Oct 2026H Austin1-2
18 Oct 2026H Real Salt Lake1-3
15 Oct 2026A Nashville SC0-4
11 Oct 2026H Portland Timbers3-3

FC Dallas

LWDWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 2D 2L
29 Oct 2026H Columbus Crew0-2
25 Oct 2026H San Jose Earthquakes3-0
18 Oct 2026A Houston Dynamo2-2
15 Oct 2026H Seattle Sounders1-0
11 Oct 2026A Charlotte2-3
Best odds for this sectionFC Dallas to WinBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
FC Dallas Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Sporting Kansas City Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Sporting Kansas City to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 19%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Sporting Kansas City's recent matches have all gone over 2.5 goals, reflecting defensive frailty and attacking intent. FC Dallas also show a 60% over 2.5 rate, indicating a propensity for open games. This recent form data aligns well with the Over 3.5 Goals selection, suggesting continued high-scoring encounters.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Sporting Kansas City Over 2.5
60%FC Dallas Over 2.5
4.2H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 4.2, indicating a trend toward high-scoring games. This sample suggests a fast tempo and open play, with both teams contributing to goal opportunities, reinforcing the Over 2.5 Goals trend and supporting the Over 3.5 Goals bet.

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