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Sporting Cristal crestSporting Cristal
v
RB Bragantino crestRB Bragantino

CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Thu 23 Jul, 01:30

Sporting Cristal v RB Bragantino Stats

Data last updated: Wed 22 Jul 2026, 05:24 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sporting Cristal face RB Bragantino in CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Thu 23 Jul, 01:30. Sporting Cristal come in with 0 recent points and - goals per match, while RB Bragantino have 10 points and 2.4 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 1.8, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 56%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 66%.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 66% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 56% implied by the current price.

Model chance vs price66% model chance against roughly 56% implied
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +10.4 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sporting Cristal

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Sporting Cristal yet.

RB Bragantino

WDWLW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 2L
28 May 2026H Carabobo FC2-0
21 May 2026A River Plate1-1
08 May 2026A Blooming6-0
01 May 2026H River Plate0-1
17 Apr 2026H Blooming3-2
Best odds for this sectionSporting Cristal Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 41% · edge +3.7 pts
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
RB Bragantino to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Sporting Cristal to WinBetfred guide price · model 30%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
DrawBetUK guide price · model 27%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
RB Bragantino Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2RB Bragantino1063127
CONMEBOL Sudamericana standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sporting Cristal-
Avg goals scored
RB Bragantino2.4
Sporting Cristal-
Avg goals conceded
RB Bragantino0.8
Sporting Cristal-
BTTS rate
RB Bragantino40%
Sporting Cristal-
Over 2.5 goals
RB Bragantino40%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 56% · edge +10.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 37%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 56% · edge +4.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Sporting Cristal Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
RB Bragantino to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Sporting Cristal to WinBetfred guide price · model 30%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
DrawBetUK guide price · model 27%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
RB Bragantino Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 37%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS Yes is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Sporting Cristal wins
0Draws
0RB Bragantino wins
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 56% · edge +4.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
RB Bragantino to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Sporting Cristal to WinBetfred guide price · model 30%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
DrawBetUK guide price · model 27%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 37%
2
Check odds @ 2
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for BTTS Yes, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Sporting Cristal-
Avg corners for
RB Bragantino5
Sporting Cristal-
Avg total corners
RB Bragantino9.2
Sporting Cristal-
Avg yellow cards
RB Bragantino3
Sporting Cristal-
Avg shots
RB Bragantino19.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 58% · edge +10.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 5.5 CardsBetfred guide price
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 4.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Sporting Cristal2
Played
RB Bragantino10
Sporting Cristal0
Avg goals for
RB Bragantino1.5
Sporting Cristal0.5
Avg goals against
RB Bragantino0.8
Sporting Cristal1
Clean sheets
RB Bragantino4
Best odds for this sectionSporting Cristal Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 41% · edge +3.7 pts
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Load more odds for this section
RB Bragantino to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Sporting Cristal to WinBetfred guide price · model 30%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
RB Bragantino Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Season data supports Sporting Cristal Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Sporting Cristal Over 2.5
40%RB Bragantino Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

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Betting context

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