Spezia

Vis Pesaro

Serie C - Girone B | Mon 21 Sep, 19:30

Spezia v Vis Pesaro Stats

Data last updated: Sun 20 Sep 2026, 08:44 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Spezia, currently leading Serie C - Girone B with 13 points, host Vis Pesaro, who sit at the bottom with just 1 point. Spezia have demonstrated solid defensive form, conceding only 0.4 goals per game, while Vis Pesaro have struggled defensively, allowing 2.4 goals per match. Despite the disparity in standings, Vis Pesaro's attacking efforts have resulted in a high rate of matches with both teams scoring, suggesting an open contest where both sides could find the net. This fixture presents a tactical contrast between Spezia's defensive solidity and Vis Pesaro's offensive persistence, setting the stage for a potentially goal-involved match.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

Spezia leads the league with strong defensive stats, conceding only 0.4 goals per game.
Vis Pesaro has a high BTTS rate of 80%, indicating frequent scoring on both sides.
Spezia's BTTS rate is 40%, showing occasional goals conceded despite defensive strength.
Vis Pesaro's poor league position contrasts with their offensive output, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities.
The model estimates a 73.3% chance of both teams scoring, highlighting a strong likelihood of goals at both ends.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 73.3% probability for both teams to score, driven by Vis Pesaro's high BTTS rate of 80% and Spezia's occasional defensive lapses despite their strong form. Spezia's solid defense is offset by Vis Pesaro's attacking persistence, creating a scenario where both sides are likely to find the net. The of 25.7% indicates this market is priced attractively at of 2.1, making it a compelling selection based on current form and statistical trends.

Model Chance73.3%

Strong positive

Vis Pesaro BTTS Rate80%

Strong positive

Spezia Defensive Record0.4 goals conceded per game

Positive

Value Edge25.7%

Strong positive

Spezia BTTS Rate40%

Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams scoring is a tactical possibility given Vis Pesaro's offensive approach despite their league struggles and Spezia's occasional defensive concessions. The data supports a lively match where both sides have the quality and motivation to score, making BTTS a sensible choice for this fixture.

Main risk

Risk Factor: An unexpected Vis Pesaro goal or extra Spezia goal beyond two would defeat this exact-score selection.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS market rationale

“Vis Pesaro's attacking resilience against Spezia's disciplined defense sets up an intriguing contest where goals at both ends are highly plausible, reflecting the statistical BTTS trends and tactical dynamics.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Spezia leads the league with strong defensive stats, conceding only 0.4 goals per game.

Vis Pesaro has a high BTTS rate of 80%, indicating frequent scoring on both sides.

Spezia's BTTS rate is 40%, showing occasional goals conceded despite defensive strength.

Vis Pesaro's poor league position contrasts with their offensive output, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

Over the recent matches, Vis Pesaro has an 80% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals, while Spezia's rate is lower at 40%.
This suggests a trend towards open, higher-scoring games when Vis Pesaro is involved, supporting the potential for a lively encounter with multiple goals and a high tempo.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Spezia1.8

Avg goals scored

Vis Pesaro1

Spezia0.4

Avg goals conceded

Vis Pesaro2.4

Spezia40%

BTTS rate

Vis Pesaro80%

Spezia40%

Over 2.5 goals

Vis Pesaro80%

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%

1.17

Check odds @ 1.17

Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 60%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%

2.35

Check odds @ 2.35

Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%

2.38

Check odds @ 2.38

BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Vis Pesaro's 80% BTTS rate contrasts with Spezia's 40%, suggesting Vis Pesaro's matches frequently see goals at both ends, while Spezia's stronger defense occasionally limits this. The combination points to a match where both teams scoring is probable, supported by Vis Pesaro's offensive tendencies and Spezia's occasional defensive vulnerabilities.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

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Vis Pesaro Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 32%

Check odds @ 6

Vis Pesaro to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%

Check odds @ 10

Spezia to WinBetfred guide price · model 74%

1.22

Check odds @ 1.22

Spezia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%

1.12

Check odds @ 1.12

Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 60%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%

5.25

Check odds @ 5.25

The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively at of 2.1, reflecting a 47.6% implied chance versus the model's 73.3% probability. This significant of 25.7% indicates the market underestimates the likelihood of both sides scoring, making it a positive-value selection without price warnings.

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Useful next reads

full betting preview for Spezia v Vis Pesaro player stats betting angles football stats hub football hub football predictions hub best bets research acca fixture filtering

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Spezia

WWWWD

Last 54W 1D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 104W 1D 0L

16 Sep 2026A Perugia3-0

12 Sep 2026H Livorno2-0

06 Sep 2026A Sambenedettese2-1

29 Aug 2026H Campobasso FC1-0

23 Aug 2026A Grosseto1-1

Vis Pesaro

LLLDL

Last 50W 1D 4L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 1D 4L

16 Sep 2026H Reggiana1-4

12 Sep 2026A Forli1-2

05 Sep 2026H Ostia Mare1-2

30 Aug 2026H Perugia2-2

22 Aug 2026A Pescara0-2

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 28% · edge +15 pts

3.6

Check odds @ 3.6

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Vis Pesaro Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 32%

Check odds @ 6

Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%

1.03

Check odds @ 1.03

Vis Pesaro to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%

Check odds @ 10

Spezia to WinBetfred guide price · model 74%

1.22

Check odds @ 1.22

Spezia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%

1.12

Check odds @ 1.12

DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%

5.25

Check odds @ 5.25

Spezia's recent form shows strong defensive output with only 0.4 goals conceded per game and a moderate BTTS rate of 40%, reflecting occasional goals against. Vis Pesaro's form is weaker overall but features an 80% BTTS rate, indicating their matches often involve goals from both sides, highlighting their offensive threat despite defensive frailties.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Spezia wins

0Draws

0Vis Pesaro wins

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

Load more odds for this section

Vis Pesaro to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%

Check odds @ 10

Spezia to WinBetfred guide price · model 74%

1.22

Check odds @ 1.22

Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 60%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%

5.25

Check odds @ 5.25

No previous meetings exist between Spezia and Vis Pesaro, so head-to-head data offers no direct insight. The analysis must rely on current form and season statistics, emphasizing Vis Pesaro's offensive tendencies and Spezia's defensive strength to anticipate match dynamics.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie C - Girone B

Spezia5

Played

Vis Pesaro5

Spezia1.8

Avg goals for

Vis Pesaro1

Spezia0.4

Avg goals against

Vis Pesaro2.4

Spezia3

Clean sheets

Vis Pesaro0

Best odds for this sectionVis Pesaro Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 32% vs implied 17% · edge +15 pts

Check odds @ 6

Load more odds for this section

Vis Pesaro to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%

Check odds @ 10

Spezia to WinBetfred guide price · model 74%

1.22

Check odds @ 1.22

Spezia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%

1.12

Check odds @ 1.12

Season-long statistics reveal Spezia as a defensively solid team conceding few goals, while Vis Pesaro struggles defensively but maintains a high BTTS rate. This contrast underpins the likelihood of both teams scoring, as Vis Pesaro's attacking efforts challenge Spezia's defense, creating opportunities at both ends.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
3	Spezia	13	5	4	1	0	7
20	Vis Pesaro	1	5	0	1	4	-7

Spezia's top position with 13 points contrasts sharply with Vis Pesaro's bottom placement and single point. While standings highlight the gulf in quality, Vis Pesaro's offensive BTTS trend suggests they remain capable of scoring, and Spezia's occasional defensive lapses open the door for goals from both sides in this matchup.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Spezia Over 2.5

80%Vis Pesaro Over 2.5

-H2H avg goals

Over the recent matches, Vis Pesaro has an 80% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals, while Spezia's rate is lower at 40%. This suggests a trend towards open, higher-scoring games when Vis Pesaro is involved, supporting the potential for a lively encounter with multiple goals and a high tempo.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Spezia v Vis Pesaro Stats

Match Report

Both Teams to Score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Spezia

Vis Pesaro

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Football Stats Hub

Spezia v Vis Pesaro Stats

Match Report

Both Teams to Score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Spezia

Vis Pesaro

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