Spezia
Vis PesaroSerie C - Girone B | Mon 21 Sep, 19:30
Spezia v Vis Pesaro Stats
Data last updated: Fri 16 Oct 2026, 21:04 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Spezia face Vis Pesaro in Serie C - Girone B on Mon 21 Sep, 19:30. Spezia have conceded only two goals in five Serie C matches, giving them the league's strongest evidence here of consistent defensive control.
Spezia to win
- At 1/5, Spezia to win implies roughly 83%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 74%.
- Across the seven listed matches in all competitions, they have scored 16 goals and conceded only three, while producing four clean sheets.
- Spezia have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 1 for Vis Pesaro.
- Spezia have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per match, which helps the Spezia to win angle more than a raw possession edge.
- Spezia sit 1 in the table, while Vis Pesaro sit 20, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Spezia to win is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 83% while the model sits nearer 74% (-9.3 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +15 pts edge at 2.25.
Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive
Football case vs market price
The 74% for Spezia to win sits against roughly 83% implied by the current price. Spezia have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 1 for Vis Pesaro. Across the seven listed matches in all competitions, they have scored 16 goals and conceded only three, while producing four clean sheets.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Spezia Win is the preferred angle because across the seven listed matches in all competitions, they have scored that scoring level and conceded only three, while producing four clean sheets. Spezia have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 1 for Vis Pesaro. Risk Factor: An unexpected Vis Pesaro goal or extra Spezia goal beyond two would defeat this exact-score selection.
Risk Factor: An unexpected Vis Pesaro goal or extra Spezia goal beyond two would defeat this exact-score selection.
Key Data Signals
Spezia to win evidence
Across the seven listed matches in all competitions, they have scored 16 goals and conceded only three.
Spezia have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 1 for Vis Pesaro.
Spezia have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per match, which helps the Spezia Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Spezia sit 1 in the table, while Vis Pesaro sit 20, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
What To Watch In The Data
Spezia to win notes
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Useful next reads
Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Spezia
Vis Pesaro
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
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