Football Stats Hub

Southend crestSouthend
v
FC Halifax Town crestFC Halifax Town

National League | Sat 24 Oct, 15:00

Southend v FC Halifax Town Stats

Data last updated: Sat 24 Oct 2026, 16:43 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Southend and FC Halifax Town meet in a National League clash where both teams have shown contrasting attacking tendencies this season. Southend, sitting third in the table, have a strong defensive record but a high rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, while FC Halifax Town, ranked tenth, tend to play more conservatively with fewer goals scored and conceded. Recent form suggests a tactical battle with Southend's potent offense facing FC Halifax Town's disciplined defense, setting the stage for a contest likely to be cautious and tactically tight.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Southend have an 80% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals this season, indicating attacking potential.
  • FC Halifax Town's matches exceed 2.5 goals only 40% of the time, showing a more defensive approach.
  • Both teams have high BTTS rates: Southend at 100% and FC Halifax Town at 80%, suggesting goal involvement from both sides.
  • The average goals in their last 10 meetings is 3, but current form and defensive solidity suggest fewer goals this time.
  • Southend's recent form shows 2.8 goals scored per game but also 1.6 conceded, highlighting attacking risk but defensive vulnerability.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 42.2% chance, slightly above the market's implied 38.5%, indicating modest value. Despite Southend's high scoring matches, FC Halifax Town's more cautious style and solid defense reduce the overall goal expectancy. The recent head-to-head average of 3 goals is tempered by current defensive trends and form data. This suggests a tactical game with limited high-scoring opportunities, supporting a lower goal total. No price warnings apply, making this a standard stake recommendation.

Model chance vs Implied chance42.2% model chance vs 38.5% implied (+3.7 pts)
Positive
Southend over 2.5 rate80%
Negative
FC Halifax Town over 2.5 rate40%
Positive
Recent H2H average goals3 goals
Neutral
BTTS rates high for both teamsSouthend 100%, FC Halifax Town 80%
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Under 2.5 Goals is a sensible pick given FC Halifax Town's defensive discipline and Southend's occasional defensive lapses. The data shows a balance between attacking threat and defensive caution, suggesting a match unlikely to produce many goals. Tactical caution and recent form support a lower scoring game, making this a prudent selection.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical defensive control and goal expectancy

“This fixture presents a classic tactical duel where defensive organization will likely stifle attacking flow, making Under 2.5 Goals a logical choice despite Southend's attacking prowess.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

FC Halifax Town's matches exceed 2.5 goals only 40% of the time, showing a more defensive approach.

Both teams have high BTTS rates: Southend at 100% and FC Halifax Town at 80%, suggesting goal involvement from both sides.

The average goals in their last 10 meetings is 3, but current form and defensive solidity suggest fewer goals this time.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last 10 head-to-head matches average 3 goals, indicating a history of open games.
  • However, recent tactical trends and defensive improvements, especially from FC Halifax Town, suggest a slower tempo and fewer goal opportunities this time, tempering expectations for an Over 2.5 Goals outcome.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Southend2.8
Avg goals scored
FC Halifax Town1.8
Southend1.6
Avg goals conceded
FC Halifax Town1
Southend100%
BTTS rate
FC Halifax Town80%
Southend80%
Over 2.5 goals
FC Halifax Town40%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 39% · edge +3.7 pts
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 80%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 44%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Both teams have high BTTS rates, with Southend at 100% and FC Halifax Town at 80%, indicating both sides regularly score and concede. However, FC Halifax Town's lower over 2.5 goals rate and Southend's defensive concessions suggest a match with goals but likely fewer than three, supporting Under 2.5 Goals while still expecting goal involvement from both teams.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 65% · edge +10.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
FC Halifax Town Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Southend Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Southend to WinBetUK guide price · model 56%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
FC Halifax Town to WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
The 42.2% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 38.5% implied by the current price (+3.7 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Southend and 40% for FC Halifax Town, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Southend

WWDLW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
10 Oct 2026A Boston United2-1
03 Oct 2026H AFC Fylde3-1
30 Sep 2026A Eastleigh1-1
26 Sep 2026H Barrow2-4
19 Sep 2026A Gateshead6-1

FC Halifax Town

WWDLD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
10 Oct 2026H Gateshead4-1
03 Oct 2026A Solihull Moors2-0
29 Sep 2026H Boston United1-1
26 Sep 2026A Worthing1-2
19 Sep 2026H Sutton Utd1-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 82% vs implied 82% · edge -0.1 pts
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
FC Halifax Town Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Southend Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Southend to WinBetUK guide price · model 56%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
FC Halifax Town to WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Southend's recent form shows a strong attack averaging 2.8 goals per game but also conceding 1.6, indicating some defensive vulnerability. FC Halifax Town's more conservative scoring and conceding rates reflect a cautious approach. This form balance suggests a tactical game with limited goal-scoring chances, supporting the Under 2.5 Goals pick.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Southend Over 2.5
40%FC Halifax Town Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
The last 10 head-to-head matches average 3 goals, indicating a history of open games. However, recent tactical trends and defensive improvements, especially from FC Halifax Town, suggest a slower tempo and fewer goal opportunities this time, tempering expectations for an Over 2.5 Goals outcome.

Loading deeper match data…