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South Korea crestSouth Korea
v
Ecuador crestEcuador

Friendlies | Thu 24 Sep, 12:00

South Korea v Ecuador Stats

Data last updated: Fri 16 Oct 2026, 07:11 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

South Korea face Ecuador in Friendlies on Thu 24 Sep, 12:00. Son Heung-min, Kim Min-jae, Lee Kang-in and Hwang In-beom remain part of the core, but the inclusion of 12 K League players and uncapped Kim Geon-hui, Park Tae-jun and Kim Min-su points towards genuine evaluation rather than cosmetic.

BT4Y best bet

BTTS Yes

  • At 1.83, BTTS Yes implies roughly 55%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 58%.
  • Selection: BTTS Yes.
  • South Korea show a 0% BTTS rate and Ecuador show a 75% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • South Korea average 1.5 goals scored and Ecuador average 1.75, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 58% for BTTS Yes sits against roughly 55% implied by the current price. South Korea show a 0% BTTS rate and Ecuador show a 75% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: BTTS Yes.

Model chance vs price58% model chance against roughly 55% implied
Neutral
South Korea show a 0% BTTS rate and Ecuador show.Visible data support
Positive
South Korea average 1.5 goals scored and Ecuador average 1.75.Visible data support
Positive
Selection: BTTS Yes.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: BTTS Yes. South Korea show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Ecuador show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. South Korea’s World Cup campaign ended badly, but their broader recent record deserves more context.

Main risk

South Korea’s World Cup campaign ended badly, but their broader recent record deserves more context.

Key Data Signals

BTTS Yes evidence

Selection: BTTS Yes.

South Korea show a 0% BTTS rate and Ecuador show a 75% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

South Korea average 1.5 goals scored and Ecuador average 1.75, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

BTTS Yes notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

South Korea1.5
Avg goals scored
Ecuador1.75
South Korea1.25
Avg goals conceded
Ecuador0.75
South Korea0%
BTTS rate
Ecuador75%
South Korea50%
Over 2.5 goals
Ecuador50%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 55% · edge +3.7 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 0% for South Korea and 75% for Ecuador, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

South Korea

WWLL
Last 52W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 2L
04 Jun 2026H El Salvador1-0
31 May 2026H Trinidad and Tobago5-0
31 Mar 2026A Austria0-1
28 Mar 2026H Ivory Coast0-4

Ecuador

WWDD
Last 52W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 0L
07 Jun 2026H Guatemala3-0
31 May 2026H Saudi Arabia2-1
31 Mar 2026A Netherlands1-1
27 Mar 2026A Morocco1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 77% vs implied 62% · edge +15 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Ecuador Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Ecuador to WinBetUK guide price · model 47%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
South Korea Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
South Korea to WinBetMGM guide price · model 30%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15

Continue the research

Useful next reads

more Friendlies analysisfull betting preview for South Korea v Ecuadorcorners trends hubplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 55% · edge +3.7 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Ecuador Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Ecuador to WinBetUK guide price · model 47%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 46%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
South Korea Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
BTTS Yes is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%South Korea Over 2.5
50%Ecuador Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: South Korea sit at 50% and Ecuador sit at 50%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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