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Cyprus crestCyprus

Friendlies | Thu 04 Jun, 17:00

Slovenia v Cyprus Stats

Data last updated: Wed 03 Jun 2026, 04:36 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Slovenia and Cyprus meet in a friendly where both sides have shown balanced recent form, averaging 1.5 goals scored and conceded per game. The match is expected to be competitive with tactical caution but also moments of attacking intent from both teams. Cyprus tends to generate more set-piece opportunities, while Slovenia's defensive discipline could lead to a contest marked by territorial battles and frequent corner situations. This fixture offers a good chance for a lively corner count given the attacking patterns and defensive setups of both teams.

BT4Y best bet

Over 8.5 Corners

  • Cyprus averages 4.5 corners per game, significantly higher than Slovenia's 1 corner per game.
  • Both teams have a 50% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating open play phases.
  • Cyprus attackers like I. Sotiriou generate high shot volumes, often forcing defensive clearances leading to corners.
  • Slovenia's defensive discipline and fouling rates suggest sustained pressure and set-piece chances.
  • Recent form data shows both teams have similar attacking and defensive output, supporting a contested corner market.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 8.5 Corners as a strong chance with a 67.3% probability, driven by Cyprus's high corner average and Slovenia's defensive style that concedes set-piece opportunities. Cyprus's attacking players generate frequent shots and pressure, increasing corner likelihood. Slovenia's fouling and defensive positioning also contribute to corner accumulation. No price warnings apply, making this a standard stake recommendation based on solid football and statistical signals.

Cyprus Corner Average4.5 corners per game
Strong positive
Slovenia Corner Average1 corner per game
Neutral
Attacking PressureHigh shot volume from Cyprus attackers
Strong positive
Defensive FoulingSlovenia averages 3 yellows, indicating pressure and set-piece chances
Positive
Model Confidence67.3% probability for Over 8.5 Corners
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

The Over 8.5 Corners bet is supported by Cyprus's tendency to win numerous corners through active attacking play and Slovenia's defensive fouling profile that often results in set-piece situations. Both teams' balanced recent form and open play style in friendlies suggest a good flow of corners, making this a tactically and statistically sound choice.

Main risk

The main risk is Slovenia's relatively low corner average, which could limit total corners if Cyprus fails to dominate possession or create sustained pressure.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corner market analysis

“Cyprus's attacking trio frequently forces defensive clearances, while Slovenia's disciplined but fouling defense sets the stage for a high corner count in this friendly encounter.”

Key Data Signals

Over 8.5 Corners evidence

Cyprus averages 4.5 corners per game, significantly higher than Slovenia's 1 corner per game.

Both teams have a 50% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating open play phases.

Cyprus attackers like I. Sotiriou generate high shot volumes, often forcing defensive clearances leading to corners.

Slovenia's defensive discipline and fouling rates suggest sustained pressure and set-piece chances.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 8.5 Corners notes

  • In the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals total 2.25, indicating moderately open games.
  • This trend suggests a tempo that can generate set-piece situations and corners, especially as both teams seek to assert control in friendly conditions.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Slovenia1
Avg corners for
Cyprus4.5
Slovenia10
Avg total corners
Cyprus7
Slovenia3
Avg yellow cards
Cyprus1
Slovenia5
Avg shots
Cyprus4

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Slovenia1.5
Avg goals scored
Cyprus1.5
Slovenia1.5
Avg goals conceded
Cyprus1.5
Slovenia50%
BTTS rate
Cyprus50%
Slovenia50%
Over 2.5 goals
Cyprus50%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 42% · edge +24.7 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Both teams have a 50% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals and BTTS, reflecting balanced attacking and defensive output. This openness can lead to more attacking phases and consequently more corners, as teams push for goals in this friendly.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionCyprus Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 52% vs implied 20% · edge +31.5 pts
5
Check odds @ 5
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Cyprus to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%
8.5
Check odds @ 8.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Slovenia Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Slovenia to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
The Over 8.5 Corners market is priced without visible but is supported by a strong model probability of 67.3%, indicating a favorable chance. The absence of price warnings suggests a standard stake approach, with value derived from Cyprus's high corner rate and Slovenia's defensive tendencies.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Slovenia

WL
Last 51W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 1L
31 Mar 2026A Montenegro3-2
28 Mar 2026A Hungary0-1

Cyprus

WL
Last 51W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 1L
30 Mar 2026H Moldova3-2
26 Mar 2026H Belarus0-1
Best odds for this sectionCyprus Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 52% vs implied 20% · edge +31.5 pts
5
Check odds @ 5
Load more odds for this section
Cyprus to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%
8.5
Check odds @ 8.5
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.05
Check odds @ 1.05
Slovenia Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Slovenia to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Recent form data shows both Slovenia and Cyprus averaging 1.5 goals scored and conceded per game, with a 50% over 2.5 goals rate. This balance suggests neither side dominates, but the attacking intent and defensive pressure create conditions conducive to multiple corners.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Slovenia wins
1Draws
2Cyprus wins
14 Nov 2021Slovenia v Cyprus2-1
30 Mar 2021Cyprus v Slovenia1-0
16 Oct 2018Slovenia v Cyprus1-1
09 Sep 2018Cyprus v Slovenia2-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 42% · edge +24.7 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
Cyprus to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%
8.5
Check odds @ 8.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Slovenia to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
The four previous meetings between Slovenia and Cyprus have averaged 2.25 goals per game, showing a moderate scoring rate. While the sample is limited, it suggests neither side dominates, aligning with a balanced contest where corners can accumulate from sustained attacking phases and defensive clearances.
Season team stats

Friendlies

Slovenia2
Played
Cyprus2
Slovenia1.5
Avg goals for
Cyprus1.5
Slovenia1.5
Avg goals against
Cyprus1.5
Slovenia0
Clean sheets
Cyprus0
Best odds for this sectionCyprus Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 52% vs implied 20% · edge +31.5 pts
5
Check odds @ 5
Load more odds for this section
Cyprus to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%
8.5
Check odds @ 8.5
Slovenia Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Slovenia to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Cyprus's season corner average of 4.5 per game contrasts with Slovenia's 1, indicating Cyprus's greater attacking width and crossing frequency. Slovenia's defensive discipline and fouling rate contribute to corner opportunities, supporting the Over 8.5 Corners market from a season-long perspective.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Slovenia Over 2.5
50%Cyprus Over 2.5
2.25H2H avg goals
In the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals total 2.25, indicating moderately open games. This trend suggests a tempo that can generate set-piece situations and corners, especially as both teams seek to assert control in friendly conditions.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.