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SK Beveren crestSK Beveren
v
Union St. Gilloise crestUnion St. Gilloise

Jupiler Pro League | Sat 31 Oct, 19:45

SK Beveren v Union St. Gilloise Stats

Data last updated: Fri 30 Oct 2026, 15:30 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

SK Beveren hosts Union St. Gilloise in a Jupiler Pro League clash where both teams have shown attacking intent and a propensity for set-piece opportunities. SK Beveren's recent matches feature an average of 6.2 corners per game, while Union St. Gilloise averages 8.2, reflecting sustained wing play and territorial pressure. Gilloise sits third in the league with 23 points, pushing for a strong away performance, while SK Beveren, ranked 12th, will seek to leverage home advantage. The fixture promises dynamic wide play and frequent dead-ball situations, setting the stage for a high corner count.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • SK Beveren averages 6.2 corners per game, showing consistent wing pressure at home.
  • Gilloise contributes 8.2 corners per game, indicating active attacking flanks.
  • Both teams have over 2.5 goals rate of 60%, suggesting open play and attacking intent.
  • Model projects a 66.4% chance for over 9.5 corners, with an 11.8% .
  • Recent form and season stats align with a high-corner count scenario.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 9.5 Corners with a 66.4% probability, supported by both teams' attacking styles and corner averages. SK Beveren's 6.2 and Union St. Gilloise's 8.2 corners per game reflect sustained wing play and set-piece creation. The combined pressure and shot volume, especially Union St. Gilloise's 21.2 shots per game, increase corner likelihood. The price offers positive value with an 11.8% edge and no warning flags, making this a solid pick based on tactical and statistical evidence.

SK Beveren avg corners6.2 per game
Strong positive
Union St. Gilloise avg corners8.2 per game
Strong positive
Model chance66.4% model chance vs 54.6% implied (+11.8 pts)
Strong positive
Value edge66.4% model chance vs 54.6% implied (+11.8 pts)
Strong positive
Shots per game (Union St. Gilloise)21.2
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match with active wing play and frequent attacking sequences, as both SK Beveren and Union St. Gilloise generate numerous corners through wide attacks and set-piece pressure. The statistical corner averages and recent form data support a high-corner count, making Over 9.5 Corners a tactically and data-backed choice for this fixture.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“This fixture features two teams that rely heavily on wing play and set-piece deliveries, naturally leading to a high number of corners. The attacking tendencies and shot volumes from Union St. Gilloise especially indicate sustained pressure that should translate into many corner situations.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

SK Beveren averages 6.2 corners per game, showing consistent wing pressure at home.

Gilloise contributes 8.2 corners per game, indicating active attacking flanks.

Both teams have over 2.5 goals rate of 60%, suggesting open play and attacking intent.

Model projects a 66.4% chance for over 9.5 corners, with an 11.8% .

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • The last three head-to-head matches averaged 4.33 goals, indicating open and attacking encounters.
  • Both teams have a 60% rate of over 2.5 goals in recent games, suggesting a tempo and style conducive to multiple goal attempts and set pieces.
  • This trend supports a match environment where corners are frequent due to sustained offensive pressure and transitions.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

SK Beveren2
Avg goals scored
Union St. Gilloise3.2
SK Beveren1.6
Avg goals conceded
Union St. Gilloise1
SK Beveren40%
BTTS rate
Union St. Gilloise60%
SK Beveren60%
Over 2.5 goals
Union St. Gilloise60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 57% · edge +9.6 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 36%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 37%
2
Check odds @ 2
Both teams have a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating open, attacking games that often produce set-piece opportunities. Gilloise's higher goals-for average (3.2) compared to SK Beveren's (2) supports a dynamic match flow conducive to corners. The BTTS rate of 60% for Union St. Gilloise also points to offensive openness.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 57% · edge +9.6 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 72%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
SK Beveren Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 43%
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Union St. Gilloise to WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Union St. Gilloise Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
SK Beveren to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
The 66.4% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 54.6% implied by the current price (+11.8 pts). Gilloise lead the corner sample at 8.2 per match, with SK Beveren lower at 6.2.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

SK Beveren

DLLWW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 5L
24 Oct 2026A KVC Westerlo4-4
09 Oct 2026H Lommel United1-3
20 Sep 2026A Kortrijk0-1
12 Sep 2026H St. Truiden2-0
06 Sep 2026H OH Leuven3-0

Union St. Gilloise

WDWWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 2D 0L
25 Oct 2026H Cercle Brugge5-2
11 Oct 2026H OH Leuven1-1
20 Sep 2026A Antwerp2-0
12 Sep 2026H Lommel United5-0
05 Sep 2026A Charleroi3-2
Best odds for this sectionSK Beveren Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 28% · edge +15 pts
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
Load more odds for this section
Union St. Gilloise to WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Union St. Gilloise Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
SK Beveren to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 19%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Recent form data shows SK Beveren with 7 points and Union St. Gilloise with 13 points from recent matches, both maintaining a 60% over 2.5 goals rate. Their corner averages remain consistent, reflecting ongoing attacking intent and wing control. This form supports the likelihood of surpassing 9.5 corners as both teams continue to press offensively and generate set-piece chances.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%SK Beveren Over 2.5
60%Union St. Gilloise Over 2.5
4.33H2H avg goals
The last three head-to-head matches averaged 4.33 goals, indicating open and attacking encounters. Both teams have a 60% rate of over 2.5 goals in recent games, suggesting a tempo and style conducive to multiple goal attempts and set pieces. This trend supports a match environment where corners are frequent due to sustained offensive pressure and transitions.

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