Football Stats Hub

Sierra Leone crestSierra Leone
v
Liberia crestLiberia

Friendlies | Sat 06 Jun, 17:00

Sierra Leone v Liberia Stats

Data last updated: Fri 05 Jun 2026, 05:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sierra Leone face Liberia in Friendlies on Sat 06 Jun, 17:00. Given Liberia's compact 4-4-2 setup and modest goal output, another cagey, low-scoring tactical battle is heavily anticipated at the Samuel Kanyon Doe Stadium.

BT4Y match pick

Under 2

  • At 6/10, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 63%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 58%.
  • Recent meetings between these rivals strictly enforce a tight pattern, with 83% of direct encounters finishing with under 2.5 goals.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 58% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 63% implied by the current price. Recent meetings between these rivals strictly enforce a tight pattern, with 83% of direct encounters finishing with under 2.5 goals.

Model chance vs price58% model chance against roughly 63% implied
Negative
Recent meetings between these rivals strictly enforce a tight.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge -4.8 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because recent meetings between these rivals strictly enforce a tight pattern, with 83% of direct encounters finishing with under 2.5 goals. That tells a clear story: they have not been completely overwhelmed, but they have lacked punch in the final third.

Main risk

That tells a clear story: they have not been completely overwhelmed, but they have lacked punch in the final third.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Recent meetings between these rivals strictly enforce a tight pattern, with 83% of direct encounters finishing with under.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sierra Leone

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Sierra Leone yet.

Liberia

DL
Last 50W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 1L
31 Mar 2026H Libya2-2
27 Mar 2026A Benin0-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 64% · edge +10.2 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Liberia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Liberia Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 55%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3
Check odds @ 3
Sierra Leone Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Sierra Leone to WinBetUK guide price · model 39%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sierra Leone-
Avg goals scored
Liberia1
Sierra Leone-
Avg goals conceded
Liberia1.5
Sierra Leone-
BTTS rate
Liberia50%
Sierra Leone-
Over 2.5 goals
Liberia50%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 67% · edge -9 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 46%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 Goals does not fully support the current price; goals for, goals conceded and recent over rates need to point in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionLiberia to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 30% · edge +14.9 pts
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
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Liberia Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 55%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 46%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3
Check odds @ 3
Sierra Leone Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Sierra Leone to WinBetUK guide price · model 39%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Liberia to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Sierra Leone wins
2Draws
3Liberia wins
01 Nov 2024Liberia v Sierra Leone1-1
27 Oct 2024Sierra Leone v Liberia1-2
27 Mar 2022Liberia v Sierra Leone0-1
08 Sep 2019Sierra Leone v Liberia1-0
04 Sep 2019Liberia v Sierra Leone3-1
22 Jul 2018Liberia v Sierra Leone0-0
Best odds for this sectionLiberia to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 30% · edge +14.9 pts
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 46%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3
Check odds @ 3
Sierra Leone to WinBetUK guide price · model 39%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
The head-to-head sample gives context for Liberia to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies

Sierra Leone2
Played
Liberia4
Sierra Leone1
Avg goals for
Liberia1.3
Sierra Leone1.5
Avg goals against
Liberia1.3
Sierra Leone1
Clean sheets
Liberia0
Best odds for this sectionLiberia to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 30% · edge +14.9 pts
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Load more odds for this section
Liberia Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 55%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Sierra Leone Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Sierra Leone to WinBetUK guide price · model 39%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Season data supports Liberia to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Sierra Leone Over 2.5
50%Liberia Over 2.5
1.71H2H avg goals
Recent meetings between these rivals strictly enforce a tight pattern, with 83% of direct encounters finishing with under 2.5 goals.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.