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Shakhtar Donetsk crestShakhtar Donetsk
v
Crystal Palace crestCrystal Palace

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 30 Apr, 20:00

Shakhtar Donetsk v Crystal Palace Stats

BT4Y best bet

Shakhtar Donetsk or Crystal Palace to Win

  • At 1.73, Shakhtar Donetsk or Crystal Palace to Win is priced at roughly 58% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 82%, so the current line is showing a +24.2-point value edge.
  • Shakhtar Donetsk have a recent record of 2W-2D-1L, while Crystal Palace come in at 3W-1D-1L across the same last-five lens.
  • The result profile supports the Shakhtar Donetsk or Crystal Palace to Win angle: Shakhtar Donetsk have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1 conceded.
  • The result profile supports the Shakhtar Donetsk or Crystal Palace to Win angle: Crystal Palace have taken 3 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 40% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 1.73, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 25% · edge +35 pts
4
Bet HERE @ 4
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 70%
2.3
Bet HERE @ 2.3
Away Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 59%
1.78
Bet HERE @ 1.78
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 34%
4.2
Bet HERE @ 4.2
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.02
Bet HERE @ 2.02
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

80%Shakhtar Donetsk Over 2.5
60%Crystal Palace Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Shakhtar Donetsk

DWLWD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 2D 2L
16 Apr 2026A AZ Alkmaar2-2
09 Apr 2026H AZ Alkmaar3-0
19 Mar 2026H Lech Poznan1-2
12 Mar 2026A Lech Poznan3-1
18 Dec 2025H HNK Rijeka0-0

Crystal Palace

LWWDW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
16 Apr 2026A Fiorentina1-2
09 Apr 2026H Fiorentina3-0
19 Mar 2026A AEK Larnaca2-1
12 Mar 2026H AEK Larnaca0-0
26 Feb 2026H Zrinjski2-0
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 59% vs implied 56% · edge +3.2 pts
1.78
Bet HERE @ 1.78
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 34%
4.2
Bet HERE @ 4.2
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 77%
1.17
Bet HERE @ 1.17
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.4
Bet HERE @ 1.4
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.02
Bet HERE @ 2.02
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Shakhtar Donetsk1.8
Avg goals scored
Crystal Palace1.6
Shakhtar Donetsk1
Avg goals conceded
Crystal Palace0.6
Shakhtar Donetsk60%
BTTS rate
Crystal Palace40%
Shakhtar Donetsk80%
Over 2.5 goals
Crystal Palace60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 25% · edge +35 pts
4
Bet HERE @ 4
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 70%
2.3
Bet HERE @ 2.3
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.4
Bet HERE @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
4
Bet HERE @ 4
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.6
Bet HERE @ 1.6
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 44%
1.22
Bet HERE @ 1.22
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

0Shakhtar Donetsk wins
0Draws
0Crystal Palace wins
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 25% · edge +35 pts
4
Bet HERE @ 4
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 70%
2.3
Bet HERE @ 2.3
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 34%
4.2
Bet HERE @ 4.2
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Shakhtar Donetsk2.8
Avg corners for
Crystal Palace5
Shakhtar Donetsk6.2
Avg total corners
Crystal Palace7.8
Shakhtar Donetsk2.4
Avg yellow cards
Crystal Palace2.2
Shakhtar Donetsk12.2
Avg shots
Crystal Palace16.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBetfred guide price · Model 61% vs implied 49% · edge +12.1 pts
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleE. Nketiah Anytime GoalscorerE. Nketiah · 2 goals · 2.93 SOT/90
86/100
Bet HERE
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B. Casey 1+ Shot On TargetB. Casey · 11.25 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
B. Casey 2+ ShotsB. Casey · 11.25 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
Yeremy Pino To Assist / Key Pass AngleYeremy Pino · 2 assists · 3.19 key passes/90
74/100
Bet HERE
B. Casey To Be FouledB. Casey · 11.25 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
B. Casey Card RiskB. Casey · 0 yellows · 11.25 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
E. Nketiah
E. NketiahCrystal Palace · Attacker
Goal threat100/100
Shots /904.89
SOT /902.93
B. Casey
B. CaseyCrystal Palace · Attacker
Goal threat100/100
Shots /9011.25
SOT /9011.25
I. Sarr
I. SarrCrystal Palace · Attacker
Goal threat81/100
Shots /902.69
SOT /901.31
Kevin
KevinShakhtar Donetsk · Midfielder
Goal threat53/100
Shots /904.21
SOT /902.11
Y. Konoplya
Y. KonoplyaShakhtar Donetsk · Defender
Goal threat4/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
B. Sosa
B. SosaCrystal Palace · Midfielder
Goal threat21/100
Shots /901.29
SOT /900.55
Season team stats

UEFA Europa Conference League

Shakhtar Donetsk13
Played
Crystal Palace15
Shakhtar Donetsk1.8
Avg goals for
Crystal Palace1.6
Shakhtar Donetsk1.2
Avg goals against
Crystal Palace0.7
Shakhtar Donetsk4
Clean sheets
Crystal Palace7
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 59% vs implied 56% · edge +3.2 pts
1.78
Bet HERE @ 1.78
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 34%
4.2
Bet HERE @ 4.2
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.02
Bet HERE @ 2.02
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6Shakhtar Donetsk1364115
10Crystal Palace1063125

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.