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Sevilla crestSevilla
v
Real Sociedad crestReal Sociedad

La Liga | Mon 04 May, 20:00

Sevilla v Real Sociedad Stats

Data last updated: Mon 22 Jun 2026, 13:59 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sevilla face Real Sociedad in La Liga on Mon 04 May, 20:00. Real Sociedad have scored in 11 consecutive away trips, and both teams have found the net in 13 of their 16 away league matches this term, suggesting an open contest.

BT4Y best bet

Dom to attack, but flaws remain Their recent 3-3 draw with Rayo Vallecano perfectly encapsulates their season

  • At 8/11, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 58%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 67%.
  • 🎯 Both Teams To Score - Yes Rationale
  • Sevilla show a 40% BTTS rate and Real Sociedad show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Sevilla average 0.6 goals scored and Real Sociedad average 1.8, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 67% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 58% implied by the current price. Sevilla show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Real Sociedad show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. 🎯 Both Teams To Score - Yes Rationale

Model chance vs price67% model chance against roughly 58% implied
Positive
Sevilla show a 40% BTTS rate and Real Sociedad show.Visible data support
Positive
Sevilla average 0.6 goals scored and Real Sociedad average 1.Visible data support
Positive
🎯 Both Teams To Score - Yes RationaleArticle support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because 🎯 Both Teams To Score - Yes Rationale Sevilla show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Real Sociedad show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. With Real Sociedad scoring in almost every away game but struggling to dominate on the road, a stalemate is likely.

Main risk

With Real Sociedad scoring in almost every away game but struggling to dominate on the road, a stalemate is likely.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

🎯 Both Teams To Score - Yes Rationale

Sevilla show a 40% BTTS rate and Real Sociedad show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Sevilla average 0.6 goals scored and Real Sociedad average 1.8, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Sevilla5.2
Avg corners for
Real Sociedad7
Sevilla9.4
Avg total corners
Real Sociedad11.6
Sevilla3
Avg yellow cards
Real Sociedad2.8
Sevilla9.6
Avg shots
Real Sociedad13.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 44% · edge +30.6 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 5.5 CardsBetMGM guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

La Liga fixtures and predictionsfull betting preview for Sevilla v Real Sociedadcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sevilla0.6
Avg goals scored
Real Sociedad1.8
Sevilla1.6
Avg goals conceded
Real Sociedad2
Sevilla40%
BTTS rate
Real Sociedad60%
Sevilla40%
Over 2.5 goals
Real Sociedad60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 31% · edge +35.9 pts
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 31% · edge +35.9 pts
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 75%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Real Sociedad to WinBetMGM guide price · model 57%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Real Sociedad Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Sevilla Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sevilla

LLWLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
26 Apr 2026A Osasuna1-2
23 Apr 2026A Levante0-2
11 Apr 2026H Atletico Madrid2-1
05 Apr 2026A Oviedo0-1
21 Mar 2026H Valencia0-2

Real Sociedad

DLDWL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
26 Apr 2026A Rayo Vallecano3-3
22 Apr 2026H Getafe0-1
11 Apr 2026H Alaves3-3
04 Apr 2026H Levante2-0
20 Mar 2026A Villarreal1-3
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 82% vs implied 64% · edge +17.6 pts
1.56
Check odds @ 1.56
Load more odds for this section
Real Sociedad to WinBetMGM guide price · model 57%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Real Sociedad Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Sevilla Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Sevilla to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Sevilla wins
2Draws
5Real Sociedad wins
24 Oct 2025Real Sociedad v Sevilla2-1
09 Mar 2025Real Sociedad v Sevilla0-1
03 Nov 2024Sevilla v Real Sociedad0-2
02 Mar 2024Sevilla v Real Sociedad3-2
26 Nov 2023Real Sociedad v Sevilla2-1
04 Jun 2023Real Sociedad v Sevilla2-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 31% · edge +35.9 pts
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Load more odds for this section
Real Sociedad to WinBetMGM guide price · model 57%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Sevilla to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

La Liga

Sevilla38
Played
Real Sociedad38
Sevilla1.2
Avg goals for
Real Sociedad1.6
Sevilla1.6
Avg goals against
Real Sociedad1.6
Sevilla6
Clean sheets
Real Sociedad3
Best odds for this sectionReal Sociedad to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 35% · edge +21.8 pts
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Load more odds for this section
Real Sociedad Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Sevilla Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Sevilla to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Season data supports Real Sociedad to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
10Real Sociedad4638111314-2
13Sevilla433812719-14
Sevilla sit in position 13, while Real Sociedad sit in position 10, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Sevilla Over 2.5
60%Real Sociedad Over 2.5
2.3H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Sevilla sit at 40% and Real Sociedad sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Sevilla v Real Sociedad prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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La Liga hubLa Liga fixtures and predictionsfull betting preview for Sevilla v Real Sociedadcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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