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Sevilla crestSevilla
v
Real Madrid crestReal Madrid

La Liga | Sun 21 Feb, 16:00

Sevilla v Real Madrid Stats

Data last updated: Wed 21 Oct 2026, 13:23 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sevilla face Real Madrid in La Liga on Sun 21 Feb, 16:00. Madrid's 15 home goals and Sevilla's scoring in all league matches, combined with Madrid's defensive vulnerabilities, support this outcome despite Sevilla's poor historical record at the Bernabéu and Madrid's key absences.

BT4Y best bet

Real Madrid to win and both teams to score

  • At 8/5, Real Madrid to win and both teams to score implies roughly 39%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 48%.
  • Real Madrid vs Sevilla Preview: Mourinho’s Men Look to Extend Perfect Home Record.
  • Real Madrid need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Sevilla on 7 and Real Madrid on 12.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 60% for Sevilla and 80% for Real Madrid.
  • Real Madrid to win and both teams to score needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 1.4 for Sevilla and 2.6 for Real Madrid are central to the read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 48% for Real Madrid to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 39% implied by the current price. Real Madrid need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Sevilla on 7 and Real Madrid on 12. Real Madrid vs Sevilla Preview: Mourinho’s Men Look to Extend Perfect Home Record.

Model chance vs price48% model chance against roughly 39% implied
Positive
Real Madrid need the result edge to pair with scoring.Visible data support
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
Real Madrid vs Sevilla Preview: Mourinho’s Men Look.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Real Madrid Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because real Madrid vs Sevilla Preview: Mourinho’s Men Look to Extend Perfect Home Record. Real Madrid need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Sevilla on 7 and Real Madrid on 12. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Real Madrid to win and both teams to score evidence

Real Madrid vs Sevilla Preview: Mourinho’s Men Look to Extend Perfect Home Record.

Real Madrid need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Sevilla on 7 and Real Madrid on 12.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 60% for Sevilla and 80% for Real Madrid.

Real Madrid Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 1.4 for Sevilla and 2.6 for Real Madrid are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Real Madrid to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sevilla1.4
Avg goals scored
Real Madrid2.6
Sevilla2
Avg goals conceded
Real Madrid1.2
Sevilla60%
BTTS rate
Real Madrid80%
Sevilla60%
Over 2.5 goals
Real Madrid80%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sevilla

LDLWW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 3L
18 Oct 2026A Real Madrid1-4
12 Oct 2026A Levante3-3
19 Sep 2026H Barcelona1-3
16 Sep 2026A Deportivo La Coruna1-0
11 Sep 2026H Valencia1-0

Real Madrid

WWLWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 0D 2L
18 Oct 2026H Sevilla4-1
10 Oct 2026H Villarreal1-0
20 Sep 2026A Atletico Madrid1-2
15 Sep 2026A Elche3-2
12 Sep 2026H Rayo Vallecano4-1

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Sevilla Over 2.5
80%Real Madrid Over 2.5
3.1H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Sevilla sit at 60% and Real Madrid sit at 80% with the H2H average at 3.1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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