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La Liga | Sat 09 May, 15:15

Sevilla v Espanyol Stats

Data last updated: Thu 25 Jun 2026, 09:15 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sevilla face Espanyol in La Liga on Sat 09 May, 15:15. With Espanyol scoring just once in their last five league games, Sevilla keeping a clean sheet looks like a statistically strong angle. Sevilla boast a formidable home record against Espanyol, remaining unbeaten in 14 matches at the Sánchez Pizjuán.

BT4Y best bet

Sevilla Win

  • At 10/11, Sevilla Win implies roughly 52%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 65%.
  • Defensive Stability: Goals Conceded per Game
  • Sevilla have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 2 for Espanyol.
  • Sevilla have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Sevilla Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Sevilla sit 13 in the table, while Espanyol sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 65% for Sevilla Win sits against roughly 52% implied by the current price. Sevilla have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 2 for Espanyol. Defensive Stability: Goals Conceded per Game

Model chance vs price65% model chance against roughly 52% implied
Positive
Sevilla have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points.Visible data support
Positive
Sevilla have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Defensive Stability: Goals Conceded per GameArticle support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Sevilla Win is the preferred angle because defensive Stability: Goals Conceded per Game Sevilla have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 2 for Espanyol. That history alone does not decide matches, of course, but these psychological patterns can become very real when pressure intensifies.

Main risk

That history alone does not decide matches, of course, but these psychological patterns can become very real when pressure intensifies.

Key Data Signals

Sevilla Win evidence

Defensive Stability: Goals Conceded per Game

Sevilla have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 2 for Espanyol.

Sevilla have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Sevilla Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Sevilla sit 13 in the table, while Espanyol sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Sevilla Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Sevilla5.6
    Avg corners for
    Espanyol4.4
    Sevilla9.8
    Avg total corners
    Espanyol9.8
    Sevilla3
    Avg yellow cards
    Espanyol3.8
    Sevilla10.8
    Avg shots
    Espanyol11.8
    Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 60% · edge +8.1 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 58%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 5.5 CardsBetMGM guide price
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 4.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    La Liga hubfull betting preview for Sevilla v Espanyolcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Sevilla0.8
    Avg goals scored
    Espanyol0.2
    Sevilla1.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Espanyol1.4
    Sevilla40%
    BTTS rate
    Espanyol20%
    Sevilla40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Espanyol20%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 60% · edge -0.6 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 63%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 47%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 27%
    4.33
    Check odds @ 4.33
    Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 40% for Sevilla and 20% for Espanyol, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickSevilla to WinBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 49% · edge +16.5 pts
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Load more odds for this section
    Sevilla Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 73%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 47%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Sevilla to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Sevilla

    WLLWL
    Last 52W 0D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 2D 5L
    04 May 2026H Real Sociedad1-0
    26 Apr 2026A Osasuna1-2
    23 Apr 2026A Levante0-2
    11 Apr 2026H Atletico Madrid2-1
    05 Apr 2026A Oviedo0-1

    Espanyol

    LDLLD
    Last 50W 2D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 4D 6L
    03 May 2026H Real Madrid0-2
    27 Apr 2026H Levante0-0
    23 Apr 2026A Rayo Vallecano0-1
    11 Apr 2026A Barcelona1-4
    04 Apr 2026A Real Betis0-0
    Market aligned with main pickSevilla to WinBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 49% · edge +16.5 pts
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Load more odds for this section
    Sevilla Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 73%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    6Sevilla wins
    3Draws
    1Espanyol wins
    24 Nov 2025Espanyol v Sevilla2-1
    25 Jan 2025Sevilla v Espanyol1-1
    25 Oct 2024Espanyol v Sevilla0-2
    04 May 2023Sevilla v Espanyol3-2
    10 Sep 2022Espanyol v Sevilla2-3
    20 Feb 2022Espanyol v Sevilla1-1
    Market aligned with main pickSevilla to WinBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 49% · edge +16.5 pts
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 47%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Sevilla to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    La Liga

    Sevilla38
    Played
    Espanyol38
    Sevilla1.2
    Avg goals for
    Espanyol1.1
    Sevilla1.6
    Avg goals against
    Espanyol1.4
    Sevilla6
    Clean sheets
    Espanyol10
    Market aligned with main pickSevilla to WinBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 49% · edge +16.5 pts
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Load more odds for this section
    Sevilla Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 73%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Season data supports Sevilla to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    11Espanyol4638121016-12
    13Sevilla433812719-14
    Sevilla sit in position 13, while Espanyol sit in position 11, so table pressure belongs in the Sevilla Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%Sevilla Over 2.5
    20%Espanyol Over 2.5
    2.8H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Sevilla sit at 40% and Espanyol sit at 20% with the H2H average at 2.8 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Sevilla v Espanyol prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Competition and hubs

    La Liga hubLa Liga hubfull betting preview for Sevilla v Espanyolcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football stats

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    Read full prediction View match centre