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Serbia U19 crestSerbia U19
v
Croatia U19 crestCroatia U19

UEFA U19 Championship | Sun 05 Jul, 16:00

Serbia U19 v Croatia U19 Stats

Data last updated: Sun 16 Aug 2026, 15:32 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Serbia U19 face Croatia U19 in UEFA U19 Championship on Sun 05 Jul, 16:00. Serbia U19 face Croatia U19 at The Oval in UEFA European U19 Championship Group B, with Croatia chasing qualification and Serbia playing for pride. Serbia, after two defeats from two, have already seen their semi-final hopes disappear.

BT4Y best bet

Serbia U19 Win

  • At 8/1, Serbia U19 Win implies roughly 11%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 26%.
  • That contrast gives the game its edge: one side are chasing survival in the tournament, the other are chasing a response, pride and a.
  • Croatia U19 have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Serbia U19.
  • Croatia U19 have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.5 conceded per match, which helps the Serbia U19 Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 26% for Serbia U19 Win sits against roughly 11% implied by the current price. Croatia U19 have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Serbia U19. That contrast gives the game its edge: one side are chasing survival in the tournament, the other are chasing a response, pride and a.

Model chance vs price26% model chance against roughly 11% implied
Strong positive
Croatia U19 have the stronger recent points return, taking 1.Visible data support
Positive
Croatia U19 have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.5 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
That contrast gives the game its edge: one side.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Serbia U19 Win is the preferred angle because that contrast gives the game its edge: one side are chasing survival in the tournament, the other are chasing a response, pride and a final statement before heading home. Croatia U19 have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Serbia U19. Serbia cannot progress, but nobody should mistake elimination for indifference.

Main risk

Serbia cannot progress, but nobody should mistake elimination for indifference.

Key Data Signals

Serbia U19 Win evidence

That contrast gives the game its edge: one side are chasing survival in the tournament, the other are.

Croatia U19 have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Serbia U19.

Croatia U19 have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.5 conceded per match, which helps the Serbia U19 Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Serbia U19 Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Serbia U190.5
    Avg goals scored
    Croatia U190.5
    Serbia U192
    Avg goals conceded
    Croatia U191.5
    Serbia U1950%
    BTTS rate
    Croatia U1950%
    Serbia U1950%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Croatia U1950%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 82% · edge -5.6 pts
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 58%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 46%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 1.5 Goals does not fully support the current price: recent Over 2.5 rates are 50% for Serbia U19 and 50% for Croatia U19, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Serbia U19

    LL
    Last 50W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 2L
    02 Jul 2026H Ukraine U191-2
    29 Jun 2026A Italy U190-2

    Croatia U19

    DL
    Last 50W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 1D 1L
    02 Jul 2026H Italy U190-0
    29 Jun 2026H Ukraine U191-3
    Market aligned with main pickSerbia U19 to WinBetUK guide price · Model 36% vs implied 29% · edge +6.9 pts
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
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    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 64%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Serbia U19 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
    2.6
    Check odds @ 2.6
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickSerbia U19 to WinBetUK guide price · Model 36% vs implied 29% · edge +6.9 pts
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
    Load more odds for this section
    Serbia U19 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
    2.6
    Check odds @ 2.6
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 58%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Serbia U19 to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    1Serbia U19 wins
    0Draws
    1Croatia U19 wins
    18 Nov 2025Croatia U19 v Serbia U194-1
    19 Nov 2024Croatia U19 v Serbia U190-3
    Market aligned with main pickSerbia U19 to WinBetUK guide price · Model 36% vs implied 29% · edge +6.9 pts
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 58%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Serbia U19 to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    UEFA U19 Championship

    Serbia U193
    Played
    Croatia U194
    Serbia U190.3
    Avg goals for
    Croatia U191
    Serbia U192.3
    Avg goals against
    Croatia U191.5
    Serbia U190
    Clean sheets
    Croatia U192
    Market aligned with main pickSerbia U19 to WinBetUK guide price · Model 36% vs implied 29% · edge +6.9 pts
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
    Load more odds for this section
    Serbia U19 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
    2.6
    Check odds @ 2.6
    Season data supports Serbia U19 to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    50%Serbia U19 Over 2.5
    50%Croatia U19 Over 2.5
    4H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Serbia U19 sit at 50% and Croatia U19 sit at 50% with the H2H average at 4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.