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Seattle Sounders crestSeattle Sounders
v
CF Montreal crestCF Montreal

Major League Soccer | Sun 18 Oct, 03:30

Seattle Sounders v CF Montreal Stats

Data last updated: Sat 17 Oct 2026, 09:07 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Seattle Sounders host CF Montreal in a crucial Major League Soccer clash where Seattle's solid home form contrasts sharply with Montreal's struggles. Seattle ranks 7th with 41 points, showing defensive resilience by conceding just 0.6 goals per game recently, while Montreal sits 15th with 24 points and a leaky defense allowing 1.8 goals per match. Seattle's attack, averaging 2 goals per game, is significantly more potent than Montreal's 0.8, setting the stage for a match where Seattle aims to capitalize on home advantage and Montreal seeks to arrest a poor run of form.

BT4Y best bet

Seattle Sounders Draw No Bet

  • Seattle Sounders have earned 12 points recently, showing strong form compared to Montreal's 3 points.
  • Seattle averages 14.2 shots per game with 6.2 on target, indicating offensive pressure.
  • Montreal concedes 1.8 goals per game, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Seattle ranks 7th in the league with 41 points, while Montreal is 15th with 24 points.
  • Both teams have a 40% BTTS rate, suggesting a moderate chance of a clean sheet for Seattle.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Seattle Sounders Draw No Bet due to their superior recent form, stronger defensive record, and home advantage. Seattle's attack is more prolific, and their defense is more robust than Montreal's, who have struggled to score and concede frequently. The implied offer positive value with a 25.4% edge, reflecting in Seattle avoiding defeat. This pick balances offensive potential and defensive solidity, making it a strategically sound choice for this fixture.

Recent FormSeattle's 12 points vs Montreal's 3
Strong positive
Defensive StrengthSeattle concedes 0.6 goals/game vs Montreal's 1.8
Strong positive
Offensive OutputSeattle averages 2 goals/game vs Montreal's 0.8
Strong positive
Value Edge67.6% model chance vs 52.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Seattle Sounders' home advantage and recent defensive solidity make the Draw No Bet a sensible choice. Their ability to limit goals against and maintain offensive pressure contrasts with Montreal's struggles, providing a tactical and statistical basis for backing Seattle to avoid defeat in this key MLS fixture.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and tactical balance

“Seattle's disciplined defense and superior attacking metrics position them well to avoid defeat against a struggling Montreal side, making the Draw No Bet a strategically sound selection.”

Key Data Signals

Seattle Sounders Draw No Bet evidence

Seattle Sounders have earned 12 points recently, showing strong form compared to Montreal's 3 points.

Seattle averages 14.2 shots per game with 6.2 on target, indicating offensive pressure.

Montreal concedes 1.8 goals per game, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.

Seattle ranks 7th in the league with 41 points, while Montreal is 15th with 24 points.

What To Watch In The Data

Seattle Sounders Draw No Bet notes

  • Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.6, suggesting a moderate scoring tempo.
  • Both teams have a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals recently, indicating potential for goals but balanced by Seattle's defensive strength.
  • This trend suggests a match with scoring chances but controlled tempo, aligning with a Draw No Bet approach.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Seattle Sounders2
Avg goals scored
CF Montreal0.8
Seattle Sounders0.6
Avg goals conceded
CF Montreal1.8
Seattle Sounders40%
BTTS rate
CF Montreal40%
Seattle Sounders60%
Over 2.5 goals
CF Montreal60%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 39% · edge +6.3 pts
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 77%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 59%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 41%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Both teams have a 40% BTTS rate recently, indicating a moderate likelihood of clean sheets. Seattle's defense concedes only 0.6 goals per game, suggesting controlled scoring opportunities. The goal-scoring disparity and defensive strength point to a low-scoring match with a higher chance of BTTS No, aligning with Seattle's tactical discipline.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickSeattle Sounders Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 53% · edge +15 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Seattle Sounders to WinBetUK guide price · model 74%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 59%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
The 67.6% for Seattle Sounders Draw No Bet sits against roughly 52.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Seattle Sounders have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 3 for CF Montreal.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Seattle Sounders

LWWWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 5D 1L
15 Oct 2026A FC Dallas0-1
11 Oct 2026A New England Revolution3-0
02 Oct 2026H Sporting Kansas City2-1
27 Sep 2026H Minnesota United FC3-1
24 Sep 2026H Real Salt Lake2-0

CF Montreal

LLWLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 7L
15 Oct 2026H Atlanta United FC0-3
10 Oct 2026A Toronto FC1-2
27 Sep 2026H FC Cincinnati3-1
20 Sep 2026H Columbus Crew0-2
13 Sep 2026A Colorado Rapids0-1
Market aligned with main pickSeattle Sounders Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 53% · edge +15 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Load more odds for this section
Seattle Sounders to WinBetUK guide price · model 74%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Seattle Sounders have accumulated 12 points recently, reflecting strong momentum and consistent performances. In contrast, Montreal's 3 points indicate struggles to secure results. Seattle's recent defensive record of 0.6 goals conceded per game further emphasizes their form stability, making them favorites to avoid defeat in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Seattle Sounders Over 2.5
60%CF Montreal Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.6, suggesting a moderate scoring tempo. Both teams have a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals recently, indicating potential for goals but balanced by Seattle's defensive strength. This trend suggests a match with scoring chances but controlled tempo, aligning with a Draw No Bet approach.

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