Football Stats Hub

Scunthorpe crestScunthorpe
v
Woking crestWoking

National League | Sat 24 Oct, 15:00

Scunthorpe v Woking Stats

Data last updated: Sat 24 Oct 2026, 15:46 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This National League clash features Scunthorpe and Woking, with Woking currently holding a stronger position in the league standings and recent form. Woking sits 15th with 15 points, while Scunthorpe is 22nd with 10 points. Woking has gained 7 points in their last matches compared to Scunthorpe's 3, showing better momentum. Both teams have similar tendencies for over 2.5 goals in their games, but Woking's slightly better defensive record and recent performances suggest they have the edge in this encounter. The match promises competitive intensity as both sides seek valuable points.

BT4Y best bet

Woking to Win

  • Woking holds a 15th place league position versus Scunthorpe's 22nd, indicating stronger season performance.
  • Woking has collected 7 points recently compared to Scunthorpe's 3, showing better current form.
  • Both teams have a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, suggesting an open game.
  • Woking concedes fewer goals on average (1.6) than Scunthorpe (1.8), highlighting defensive solidity.
  • Head-to-head matches average 2.75 goals, supporting potential for goal action but Woking's form is superior.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Woking to win based on their superior recent form, league standing, and defensive record. Woking's 66.4% significantly exceeds the implied market chance of 38.2%, indicating strong value. Both teams show similar attacking tendencies, but Woking's ability to concede less and accumulate more points recently underpins in their victory. No data limitations affect the analysis, making this a well-supported selection with a clear statistical and football rationale.

Model Win Probability66.4%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance54.2% model chance vs 39.2% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Recent Form PointsWoking 7 vs Scunthorpe 3
Positive
Goals Against AverageWoking 1.6 vs Scunthorpe 1.8
Positive
Over 2.5 Goals RateBoth 60%
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Woking's stronger recent form and superior defensive record make them the logical choice to secure victory in this National League fixture. Their ability to accumulate points and limit goals conceded provides a tactical and statistical edge over Scunthorpe, who have struggled to maintain consistency this season.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Woking's recent performances and defensive resilience position them well to capitalize on Scunthorpe's vulnerabilities, making their win a compelling prospect in this matchup.”

Key Data Signals

Woking to Win evidence

Woking holds a 15th place league position versus Scunthorpe's 22nd, indicating stronger season performance.

Woking has collected 7 points recently compared to Scunthorpe's 3, showing better current form.

Both teams have a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, suggesting an open game.

Woking concedes fewer goals on average (1.6) than Scunthorpe (1.8), highlighting defensive solidity.

What To Watch In The Data

Woking to Win notes

  • The last four head-to-head matches average 2.75 goals, aligning with both teams' 60% over 2.5 goals rate.
  • This trend suggests a moderately high-scoring fixture with chances for both sides, though Woking's form may help them control the game's flow.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Scunthorpe1
Avg goals scored
Woking2
Scunthorpe1.8
Avg goals conceded
Woking1.6
Scunthorpe40%
BTTS rate
Woking60%
Scunthorpe60%
Over 2.5 goals
Woking60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 64% · edge -0.4 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 47%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 39%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 41%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Both teams have a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating openness in attack. The head-to-head average of 2.75 goals supports the likelihood of multiple goals, though Woking's better defensive record suggests they may control the game tempo to secure a win.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickWoking to WinBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 39% · edge +15 pts
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Load more odds for this section
Woking Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
The 54.2% for Woking to Win sits against roughly 39.2% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Woking have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 3 for Scunthorpe.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Scunthorpe

LLWLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 7L
10 Oct 2026A AFC Fylde0-2
29 Sep 2026A Barrow0-3
26 Sep 2026H Hartlepool4-1
19 Sep 2026A AFC Hornchurch0-1
16 Sep 2026H Boreham Wood1-2

Woking

LWLWD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
10 Oct 2026H Harrogate Town0-1
03 Oct 2026A Eastleigh3-1
29 Sep 2026H Solihull Moors2-4
26 Sep 2026A Carlisle5-2
19 Sep 2026H Kidderminster Harriers0-0
Market aligned with main pickWoking to WinBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 39% · edge +15 pts
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 80%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Woking Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Woking's recent accumulation of 7 points compared to Scunthorpe's 3 highlights a clear momentum advantage. This form difference reflects better tactical execution and squad , which should influence the match outcome positively for Woking.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Scunthorpe Over 2.5
60%Woking Over 2.5
2.75H2H avg goals
The last four head-to-head matches average 2.75 goals, aligning with both teams' 60% over 2.5 goals rate. This trend suggests a moderately high-scoring fixture with chances for both sides, though Woking's form may help them control the game's flow.

Loading deeper match data…