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Friendlies Clubs | Fri 31 Jul, 19:30

Scunthorpe v Chesterfield Stats

Data last updated: Thu 30 Jul 2026, 04:14 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Scunthorpe hosts Chesterfield in a pre-season friendly where Scunthorpe enters with significantly stronger recent form, having accumulated 10 points compared to Chesterfield's single point. Scunthorpe's attack has been more potent, averaging 3.2 goals per game, while their defense concedes slightly more but remains competitive. Chesterfield's lower scoring and points tally suggest they face an uphill battle. This match offers Scunthorpe a chance to build momentum and test their squad depth against a less consistent opponent, setting an intriguing tactical contest under friendly conditions.

BT4Y best bet

Scunthorpe to Win

  • Scunthorpe has earned 10 points recently versus Chesterfield's 1 point.
  • Scunthorpe averages 3.2 goals scored per game, showing strong attacking form.
  • Chesterfield concedes 1.5 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerability.
  • Recent form heavily favors Scunthorpe as the likely match dominator.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Scunthorpe to win with a 74% chance, reflecting their superior recent form and attacking output. Scunthorpe's ability to score over three goals per game combined with a solid defensive record creates a strong football read for victory. Chesterfield's struggles in recent matches and lower goal-scoring rate further reinforce this selection. The data quality is solid with no limitations, supporting in this pick. The price is standard, matching the model's , making this a straightforward backing based on form and statistical trends.

Recent form pointsScunthorpe 10 vs Chesterfield 1
Strong positive
Goals scored per gameScunthorpe 3.2 vs Chesterfield 1.0
Strong positive
Goals conceded per gameScunthorpe 1.6 vs Chesterfield 1.5
Neutral
Model confidence74% chance for Scunthorpe win
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Scunthorpe's recent attacking prowess and consistent form make them the clear favorite to win this friendly against Chesterfield. The data shows a significant gap in momentum and goal-scoring ability, suggesting Scunthorpe will control the match and capitalize on their offensive strengths.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Scunthorpe's strong recent performances and attacking efficiency position them well to secure victory in this friendly, especially given Chesterfield's struggles to find form and goals.”

Key Data Signals

Scunthorpe to Win evidence

Scunthorpe has earned 10 points recently versus Chesterfield's 1 point.

Scunthorpe averages 3.2 goals scored per game, showing strong attacking form.

Chesterfield concedes 1.5 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerability.

Recent form heavily favors Scunthorpe as the likely match dominator.

What To Watch In The Data

Scunthorpe to Win notes

  • Analysis of the last ten head-to-head meetings shows an average of 3.1 goals per game, indicating a historically open fixture with scoring opportunities.
  • This trend, combined with recent attacking form, suggests a match likely to exceed 2.5 goals, driven by offensive intent and defensive gaps.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Scunthorpe3.2
Avg goals scored
Chesterfield1
Scunthorpe1.6
Avg goals conceded
Chesterfield1.5
Scunthorpe60%
BTTS rate
Chesterfield50%
Scunthorpe60%
Over 2.5 goals
Chesterfield50%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 77% vs implied 86% · edge -8.5 pts
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Scunthorpe's average of 3.2 goals per game and Chesterfield's 1.0 suggest a match likely to feature multiple goals. Both teams have moderate BTTS rates, but Scunthorpe's offensive strength points towards a game with goals scored by at least one side, supporting an expectation of an open game with scoring opportunities.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickScunthorpe to WinBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 27% · edge +15 pts
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
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Scunthorpe Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
The current market for Scunthorpe to win aligns well with the model's 74% , indicating a fair price without significant or warning. This suggests the reflect the strong form and attacking statistics favoring Scunthorpe, making the bet a reasonable choice without price sensitivity concerns.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Scunthorpe

WLDWW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 1L
28 Jul 2026A North Ferriby6-3
21 Jul 2026A Buxton0-2
18 Jul 2026A Spalding United2-2
15 Jul 2026A Skegness Town1-0
07 Jul 2026A Brigg Town7-1

Chesterfield

LD
Last 50W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 1L
14 Jul 2026A FC Halifax Town2-3
11 Jul 2026H Sheffield Utd0-0
Market aligned with main pickScunthorpe to WinBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 27% · edge +15 pts
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
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Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Scunthorpe Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Scunthorpe's recent form is markedly superior, with 10 points gained compared to Chesterfield's 1 point. This disparity reflects Scunthorpe's ability to convert chances and maintain defensive resilience, positioning them as the dominant side likely to dictate the match tempo and outcome.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Scunthorpe wins
2Draws
4Chesterfield wins
02 Aug 2024Scunthorpe v Chesterfield0-3
01 Jan 2023Chesterfield v Scunthorpe4-1
26 Dec 2022Scunthorpe v Chesterfield1-2
17 Apr 2017Scunthorpe v Chesterfield3-1
22 Oct 2016Chesterfield v Scunthorpe0-3
19 Mar 2016Scunthorpe v Chesterfield1-1
Market aligned with main pickScunthorpe to WinBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 27% · edge +15 pts
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
The ten previous meetings between Scunthorpe and Chesterfield have averaged 3.1 goals per game, highlighting a history of open contests. This supports expectations for an attacking game with multiple goals, though recent form data provides a stronger indication of likely control by Scunthorpe.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Scunthorpe6
Played
Chesterfield3
Scunthorpe2.8
Avg goals for
Chesterfield1
Scunthorpe1.5
Avg goals against
Chesterfield1.3
Scunthorpe1
Clean sheets
Chesterfield1
Market aligned with main pickScunthorpe to WinBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 27% · edge +15 pts
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
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Scunthorpe Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Season-long data shows Scunthorpe's attack is significantly more productive, averaging over three goals per game, while their defense concedes moderately. Chesterfield's lower scoring rate and similar defensive concession suggest a less effective offense, reinforcing Scunthorpe's advantage in both creating and preventing goals.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Scunthorpe Over 2.5
50%Chesterfield Over 2.5
3.1H2H avg goals
Analysis of the last ten head-to-head meetings shows an average of 3.1 goals per game, indicating a historically open fixture with scoring opportunities. This trend, combined with recent attacking form, suggests a match likely to exceed 2.5 goals, driven by offensive intent and defensive gaps.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.