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Schott Mainz crestSchott Mainz
v
Borussia Mönchengladbach crestBorussia Mönchengladbach

DFB Pokal | Sun 23 Aug, 14:30

Schott Mainz v Borussia Mönchengladbach Stats

Data last updated: Sat 22 Aug 2026, 07:37 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Schott Mainz face Borussia Mönchengladbach in DFB Pokal on Sun 23 Aug, 14:30. A 4-1 score fits Gladbach's high pre-season scoring and Schott's strong league attack. Gladbach's forwards have shown capacity to score four, while Schott's cup history and recent form justify a single goal.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Borussia Monchengladbach to win and Over 3

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 56%, above the 41% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 4/5, Borussia Monchengladbach to win and Over 3 implies roughly 56%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 41%.
  • Despite Gladbach's poor away record last season, their attacking momentum and Schott's history of conceding heavily in cup ties support this combined outcome.
Price warning

Borussia Monchengladbach to win and Over 3 is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 56% while the model sits nearer 41% (-14.6 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Draw shows a +15 pts edge at 21.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 41% for Borussia Monchengladbach to win and Over 3 sits against roughly 56% implied by the current price. Despite Gladbach's poor away record last season, their attacking momentum and Schott's history of conceding heavily in cup ties support this combined outcome.

Model chance vs price41% model chance against roughly 56% implied
Negative
Despite Gladbach's poor away record last season, their attacking.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge -14.6 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Borussia Mönchengladbach Win is the preferred angle because despite Gladbach's poor away record last season, their attacking momentum and Schott's history of conceding heavily in cup ties support this combined outcome. The gulf in level remains obvious, but the more useful question is whether Schott’s strong start can survive the sharp increase in attacking quality.

Main risk

The gulf in level remains obvious, but the more useful question is whether Schott’s strong start can survive the sharp increase in attacking quality.

Key Data Signals

Borussia Monchengladbach to win and Over 3 evidence

Despite Gladbach's poor away record last season, their attacking momentum and Schott's history of conceding heavily in cup.

What To Watch In The Data

Borussia Monchengladbach to win and Over 3 notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickBorussia Mönchengladbach to WinBet365 guide price · Model 41% vs implied 98% · edge -57 pts
    1.02
    Check odds @ 1.02
    Borussia Mönchengladbach to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Schott Mainz-
    Avg goals scored
    Borussia Mönchengladbach-
    Schott Mainz-
    Avg goals conceded
    Borussia Mönchengladbach-
    Schott Mainz-
    BTTS rate
    Borussia Mönchengladbach-
    Schott Mainz-
    Over 2.5 goals
    Borussia Mönchengladbach-

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

    Check odds

    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Schott Mainz

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Schott Mainz yet.

    Borussia Mönchengladbach

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Borussia Mönchengladbach yet.

    Market aligned with main pickBorussia Mönchengladbach to WinBet365 guide price · Model 41% vs implied 98% · edge -57 pts
    1.02
    Check odds @ 1.02
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Schott Mainz wins
    0Draws
    0Borussia Mönchengladbach wins
    Market aligned with main pickBorussia Mönchengladbach to WinBet365 guide price · Model 41% vs implied 98% · edge -57 pts
    1.02
    Check odds @ 1.02
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Borussia Mönchengladbach to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Season team stats

    DFB Pokal

    Schott Mainz0
    Played
    Borussia Mönchengladbach0
    Schott Mainz0
    Avg goals for
    Borussia Mönchengladbach-
    Schott Mainz0
    Avg goals against
    Borussia Mönchengladbach-
    Schott Mainz0
    Clean sheets
    Borussia Mönchengladbach-
    Market aligned with main pickBorussia Mönchengladbach to WinBet365 guide price · Model 41% vs implied 98% · edge -57 pts
    1.02
    Check odds @ 1.02
    Season data supports Borussia Mönchengladbach to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -Schott Mainz Over 2.5
    -Borussia Mönchengladbach Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    Despite Gladbach's poor away record last season, their attacking momentum and Schott's history of conceding heavily in cup ties support this combined outcome.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.