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SC Bragav
EstrelaPrimeira Liga | Sat 16 May, 18:00
SC Braga v Estrela Stats
BT4Y best bet
Both Teams to Score
- At 1.8, Both Teams to Score is priced at roughly 56% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 70%, so the current line is showing a +14.4-point value edge.
- SC Braga have scored in 100% of the recent sample and Estrela have scored in 40%, with BTTS rates of 80% and 40%.
- The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: SC Braga have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
- The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Estrela have taken 0 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 40% of that sample.
- If the bookmaker is still close to 1.8, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 56% · edge +14.4 pts
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8Load more odds for this section
Key match trends
A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.
60%SC Braga Over 2.5
40%Estrela Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Recent form
Results and scoring shape from recent games.
SC Braga
DDLWD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 recordLast 104W 4D 2L
11 May 2026A Benfica2-2
03 May 2026H Estoril1-1
26 Apr 2026A Santa Clara1-2
23 Apr 2026A Casa Pia1-0
19 Apr 2026H Famalicao2-2
Estrela
DLLLL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 recordLast 101W 3D 6L
11 May 2026H Famalicao0-0
02 May 2026A Moreirense2-3
26 Apr 2026H FC Porto1-2
19 Apr 2026A Arouca0-1
11 Apr 2026H Sporting CP0-1
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 63% · edge +7.5 pts
1.6
Bet HERE @ 1.6Load more odds for this section
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Goal-market data and related prices.
SC Braga1.4
Avg goals scoredEstrela0.6
SC Braga1.4
Avg goals concededEstrela1.4
SC Braga80%
BTTS rateEstrela40%
SC Braga60%
Over 2.5 goalsEstrela40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 56% · edge +14.4 pts
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and related markets.
3SC Braga wins
3Draws
0Estrela wins
03 Jan 2026Estrela v SC Braga3-3
19 Jan 2025Estrela v SC Braga0-1
11 Aug 2024SC Braga v Estrela1-1
02 Mar 2024SC Braga v Estrela3-0
28 Sep 2023Estrela v SC Braga2-4
13 Jul 2021Estrela v SC Braga0-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 56% · edge +14.4 pts
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8Load more odds for this section
Corners, cards and shots
Detailed stat markets where available.
SC Braga3.6
Avg corners forEstrela2.8
SC Braga8
Avg total cornersEstrela9.6
SC Braga3.2
Avg yellow cardsEstrela2.8
SC Braga7.2
Avg shotsEstrela9.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 50% · edge -0.2 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2Player stats
Player props and player-level signals.
Load more player angles
R. ZalazarSC Braga · Midfielder
Goal threat87/100
Shots /902.31
SOT /901.25
Ricardo HortaSC Braga · Attacker
Goal threat81/100
Shots /902.08
SOT /901.34
Roger FernandesSC Braga · Midfielder
Goal threat62/100
Shots /903.03
SOT /902.2
Sandro VidigalSC Braga · Attacker
Goal threat7/100
Shots /901.48
SOT /900
LuisinhoSC Braga · Midfielder
Goal threat4/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
Vitor CarvalhoSC Braga · Defender
Goal threat28/100
Shots /900.76
SOT /900.25
Season team stats
Primeira Liga
SC Braga33
PlayedEstrela33
SC Braga1.9
Avg goals forEstrela1.1
SC Braga1
Avg goals againstEstrela1.6
SC Braga12
Clean sheetsEstrela8
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 63% · edge +7.5 pts
1.6
Bet HERE @ 1.6Load more odds for this section
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | SC Braga | 58 | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 28 |
| 15 | Estrela | 29 | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -18 |
Next step
Betting context
Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.
