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Sassuolo crestSassuolo
v
Lecce crestLecce

Serie A | Sun 17 May, 19:45

Sassuolo v Lecce Stats

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 3.4, Both Teams to Score is priced at roughly 29% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 60%, so the current line is showing a +30.6-point value edge.
  • Sassuolo have scored in 80% of the recent sample and Lecce have scored in 40%, with BTTS rates of 60% and 40%.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Sassuolo have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Lecce have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 40% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 3.4, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 29% · edge +30.6 pts
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2.7
Bet HERE @ 2.7
Home Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 65%
1.82
Bet HERE @ 1.82
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 49%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Away Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.98
Bet HERE @ 1.98
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.2
Bet HERE @ 3.2
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.62
Bet HERE @ 2.62
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

60%Sassuolo Over 2.5
20%Lecce Over 2.5
2.38H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Sassuolo

LWDWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
08 May 2026A Torino1-2
03 May 2026H AC Milan2-0
26 Apr 2026A Fiorentina0-0
17 Apr 2026H Como2-1
12 Apr 2026A Genoa1-2

Lecce

LWDDL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
09 May 2026H Juventus0-1
01 May 2026A Pisa2-1
25 Apr 2026A Hellas Verona0-0
20 Apr 2026H Fiorentina1-1
12 Apr 2026A Bologna0-2
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 37% · edge +18.9 pts
2.7
Bet HERE @ 2.7
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 82%
1.33
Bet HERE @ 1.33
Home Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 65%
1.82
Bet HERE @ 1.82
Away Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.98
Bet HERE @ 1.98
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.2
Bet HERE @ 3.2
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.62
Bet HERE @ 2.62
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.33
Bet HERE @ 1.33
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Sassuolo1.2
Avg goals scored
Lecce0.6
Sassuolo1
Avg goals conceded
Lecce1
Sassuolo60%
BTTS rate
Lecce40%
Sassuolo60%
Over 2.5 goals
Lecce20%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 29% · edge +30.6 pts
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.33
Bet HERE @ 1.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 49%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 31%
3.75
Bet HERE @ 3.75
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 44%
1.3
Bet HERE @ 1.3
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

4Sassuolo wins
3Draws
1Lecce wins
18 Oct 2025Lecce v Sassuolo0-0
24 Sep 2024Lecce v Sassuolo0-2
21 Apr 2024Sassuolo v Lecce0-3
06 Oct 2023Lecce v Sassuolo1-1
25 Feb 2023Lecce v Sassuolo0-1
20 Aug 2022Sassuolo v Lecce1-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 29% · edge +30.6 pts
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2.7
Bet HERE @ 2.7
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 49%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.2
Bet HERE @ 3.2
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.62
Bet HERE @ 2.62
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Sassuolo3.8
Avg corners for
Lecce3.4
Sassuolo9.8
Avg total corners
Lecce8.4
Sassuolo2.6
Avg yellow cards
Lecce2.4
Sassuolo12.6
Avg shots
Lecce9.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBetfred guide price · Model 64% vs implied 46% · edge +18 pts
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.92
Bet HERE @ 1.92
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleD. Berardi Anytime GoalscorerD. Berardi · 8 goals · 0.95 SOT/90
75/100
Bet HERE
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N. Pierini 1+ Shot On TargetN. Pierini · 1.25 shots on target/90
75/100
Bet HERE
K. N’Dri 2+ ShotsK. N’Dri · 2.48 shots/90
74/100
Bet HERE
C. Volpato To Assist / Key Pass AngleC. Volpato · 4 assists · 1.96 key passes/90
70/100
Bet HERE
A. Fadera To Be FouledA. Fadera · 3.31 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
A. Fadera Card RiskA. Fadera · 5 yellows · 3.31 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
D. Berardi
D. BerardiSassuolo · Attacker
Goal threat60/100
Shots /901.59
SOT /900.95
A. Pinamonti
A. PinamontiSassuolo · Attacker
Goal threat56/100
Shots /901.98
SOT /900.99
A. Laurienté
A. LaurientéSassuolo · Attacker
Goal threat52/100
Shots /901.76
SOT /900.88
N. Pierini
N. PieriniSassuolo · Attacker
Goal threat21/100
Shots /901.88
SOT /901.25
Þ. Helgason
Þ. HelgasonLecce · Midfielder
Goal threat19/100
Shots /901.24
SOT /901.24
K. N’Dri
K. N’DriLecce · Attacker
Goal threat47/100
Shots /902.48
SOT /900.89
L. Moro
L. MoroSassuolo · Attacker
Goal threat19/100
Shots /902.34
SOT /900.39
A. Fadera
A. FaderaSassuolo · Attacker
Goal threat27/100
Shots /900.73
SOT /900.37
Season team stats

Serie A

Sassuolo36
Played
Lecce36
Sassuolo1.2
Avg goals for
Lecce0.7
Sassuolo1.3
Avg goals against
Lecce1.3
Sassuolo8
Clean sheets
Lecce9
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 37% · edge +18.9 pts
2.7
Bet HERE @ 2.7
Load more odds for this section
Home Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 65%
1.82
Bet HERE @ 1.82
Away Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.98
Bet HERE @ 1.98
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.62
Bet HERE @ 2.62
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
11Sassuolo493614715-2
17Lecce32368820-24

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.