Football Stats Hub

Sassuolo crestSassuolo
v
Frosinone crestFrosinone

Coppa Italia | Wed 02 Sep, 14:00

Sassuolo v Frosinone Stats

Data last updated: Tue 01 Sep 2026, 07:40 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sassuolo and Frosinone meet in the Coppa Italia with both sides showing attacking intent in recent matches. Sassuolo have maintained a perfect record for Over 2.5 Goals in their latest outings, while Frosinone also share this trend, suggesting an open game with multiple scoring opportunities. Both teams have demonstrated offensive sharpness but contrasting defensive solidity, setting the stage for a potentially high-scoring cup tie where tactical adjustments and finishing efficiency will be key.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Both teams have a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.
  • Sassuolo have scored 3 goals and conceded none in their last game.
  • Frosinone have netted 4 goals and conceded only once recently.
  • Average shots per game are high: Sassuolo 18, Frosinone 22, indicating attacking pressure.
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.75 over 8 matches, supporting goal potential.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a strong 78% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, reflecting both teams' recent offensive output and open playing styles. Sassuolo's flawless recent Over 2.5 record combined with Frosinone's similar trend and high shot volumes underpin this confident projection. The implied value at 1.9 offers a positive edge of 25.4%, making this a compelling selection. The data quality is solid with no limitations, reinforcing the reliability of these attacking indicators.

Recent Over 2.5 Rate100% for both teams
Strong positive
Average Shots per GameSassuolo 18, Frosinone 22
Strong positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals2.75 goals per match
Positive
Implied Chance vs Model ChanceModel 78% vs Implied 52.6%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open encounter with both sides pushing forward aggressively, as recent form and attacking statistics suggest a lively match. Sassuolo's home attacking prowess combined with Frosinone's willingness to commit players forward should produce multiple goals, making Over 2.5 Goals a tactically and statistically sound choice.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and attacking dynamics

“The attacking momentum of both Sassuolo and Frosinone, coupled with their recent goal-scoring consistency, points to a fixture ripe for goals. Defensive vulnerabilities and high shot volumes further support the likelihood of a high-scoring game.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Both teams have a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.

Sassuolo have scored 3 goals and conceded none in their last game.

Frosinone have netted 4 goals and conceded only once recently.

Average shots per game are high: Sassuolo 18, Frosinone 22, indicating attacking pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last eight head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.75, supporting the trend for multiple goals.
  • The last five matches for both teams show consistent Over 2.5 outcomes, indicating a sustained tempo and attacking approach that favors a high-scoring game.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sassuolo3
Avg goals scored
Frosinone4
Sassuolo0
Avg goals conceded
Frosinone1
Sassuolo0%
BTTS rate
Frosinone100%
Sassuolo100%
Over 2.5 goals
Frosinone100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 53% · edge +15 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 88%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 46%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Both teams have demonstrated a strong tendency towards matches with multiple goals, with Sassuolo scoring 3 and conceding none recently, while Frosinone have scored 4 and conceded once. Frosinone's 100% BTTS rate contrasts with Sassuolo's clean sheets, suggesting at least three goals but possibly uneven scoring distribution.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 53% · edge +15 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Frosinone Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.68
Check odds @ 2.68
Frosinone to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Sassuolo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced attractively at 1.9 with a of 78%, indicating strong value. The implied probability of 52.6% underestimates the likelihood of a high-scoring game, making this a positive value bet with a clear statistical edge.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Sassuolo4
Avg corners for
Frosinone4
Sassuolo9
Avg total corners
Frosinone6
Sassuolo0
Avg yellow cards
Frosinone1
Sassuolo18
Avg shots
Frosinone22
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Over 4.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 38%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
High average shots per game (Sassuolo 18, Frosinone 22) and balanced corner counts (4 each) reflect sustained attacking pressure and territorial battles. Frosinone's slightly higher yellow card average indicates a competitive midfield battle, potentially leading to set-piece opportunities and increased shot volume.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sassuolo

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
17 Aug 2026H Cesena3-0

Frosinone

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
16 Aug 2026H Juve Stabia4-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Frosinone Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.68
Check odds @ 2.68
Frosinone to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 70%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Sassuolo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Sassuolo Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 51%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Recent form strongly supports Over 2.5 Goals, with both teams maintaining a 100% rate in their last matches. Sassuolo's clean sheet in a 3-goal game and Frosinone's 4 goals scored with only 1 conceded highlight attacking efficiency and defensive lapses conducive to multiple goals.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Sassuolo wins
2Draws
2Frosinone wins
13 May 2025Sassuolo v Frosinone0-1
14 Dec 2024Frosinone v Sassuolo1-2
09 Mar 2024Sassuolo v Frosinone1-0
17 Sep 2023Frosinone v Sassuolo4-2
05 May 2019Sassuolo v Frosinone2-2
16 Dec 2018Frosinone v Sassuolo0-2
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 53% · edge +15 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Frosinone to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Sassuolo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
The head-to-head record shows an average of 2.75 goals per match over eight meetings, indicating a historical tendency for this fixture to produce multiple goals. While not overwhelmingly high, this average aligns well with recent attacking trends and supports the Over 2.5 Goals selection.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Coppa Italia

Sassuolo1
Played
Frosinone1
Sassuolo3
Avg goals for
Frosinone4
Sassuolo0
Avg goals against
Frosinone1
Sassuolo1
Clean sheets
Frosinone0
Best odds for this sectionFrosinone Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 52% vs implied 37% · edge +15 pts
2.68
Check odds @ 2.68
Load more odds for this section
Frosinone to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
Sassuolo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Sassuolo Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 51%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Season-long attacking statistics reveal both teams favor offensive play, with high average shots and shots on target per game. Defensive records are mixed, with Sassuolo showing solidity but Frosinone conceding more, aligning with an expectation of at least three goals in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Sassuolo Over 2.5
100%Frosinone Over 2.5
2.75H2H avg goals
Over the last eight head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.75, supporting the trend for multiple goals. The last five matches for both teams show consistent Over 2.5 outcomes, indicating a sustained tempo and attacking approach that favors a high-scoring game.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.