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Sassuolo crestSassuolo
v
Como crestComo

Serie A | Sun 31 Jan, 17:30

Sassuolo v Como Stats

Data last updated: Fri 06 Nov 2026, 15:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sassuolo face Como in Serie A on Sun 31 Jan, 17:30. Sassuolo's league-high six errors and average two goals conceded per match increase their defensive risk. Como's recent 4 wins in 7 matches contrast with Sassuolo's 2 wins, favouring the home side. Como's strong possession control and sustained attacking workload, averaging 20 attempts and 6.

BT4Y best bet

Como to win

  • At 40/85, Como to win implies roughly 68%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 70%.
  • Their defensive numbers suggest opponents are regularly finding opportunities to shoot, leaving little room for individual mistakes.
  • Como have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 1 for Sassuolo.
  • Como have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per match, which helps the Como to win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Sassuolo sit 17 in the table, while Como sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 70% for Como to win sits against roughly 68% implied by the current price. Como have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 1 for Sassuolo. Their defensive numbers suggest opponents are regularly finding opportunities to shoot, leaving little room for individual mistakes.

Model chance vs price70% model chance against roughly 68% implied
Neutral
Como have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points.Visible data support
Positive
Como have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Their defensive numbers suggest opponents are regularly finding opportunities.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Como Win is the preferred angle because their defensive numbers suggest opponents are regularly finding opportunities to shoot, leaving little room for individual mistakes. Como have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 1 for Sassuolo. The concern is not simply that they concede frequently.

Main risk

The concern is not simply that they concede frequently.

Key Data Signals

Como to win evidence

Their defensive numbers suggest opponents are regularly finding opportunities to shoot, leaving little room for individual mistakes.

Como have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 1 for Sassuolo.

Como have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per match, which helps the Como Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Sassuolo sit 17 in the table, while Como sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Como to win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Sassuolo1.4
    Avg goals scored
    Como1.8
    Sassuolo3.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Como0.4
    Sassuolo80%
    BTTS rate
    Como40%
    Sassuolo60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Como40%

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Sassuolo

    LLLLD
    Last 50W 1D 4L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 2D 6L
    02 Nov 2026H Fiorentina2-4
    27 Oct 2026H Lazio2-6
    24 Oct 2026A Como0-2
    16 Oct 2026A Frosinone2-4
    11 Oct 2026H AC Milan1-1

    Como

    WWWWD
    Last 54W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 107W 2D 1L
    01 Nov 2026H Venezia1-0
    27 Oct 2026A Torino3-1
    24 Oct 2026H Sassuolo2-0
    18 Oct 2026A Fiorentina3-1
    11 Oct 2026H AS Roma0-0

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Sassuolo Over 2.5
    40%Como Over 2.5
    2.5H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Sassuolo sit at 60% and Como sit at 40% with the H2H average at 2.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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