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Sassuolo crestSassuolo
v
Como crestComo

Serie A | Fri 17 Apr, 17:30

Sassuolo v Como Stats

Data last updated: Thu 16 Apr 2026, 22:30 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sassuolo face Como in Serie A on Fri 17 Apr, 17:30. Friday evening brings a fascinating Serie A fixture at the Mapei Stadium as Sassuolo try to stop the wobble and Como arrive with real purpose.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Sassuolo Win

  • At 8/13, Sassuolo Win implies roughly 62%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
  • The problem is Sassuolo’s defensive profile.
  • Como have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 4 for Sassuolo.
  • Como have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Sassuolo Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Sassuolo sit 11 in the table, while Como sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Price warning

Sassuolo Win is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 62% while the model sits nearer 27% (-34.9 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 27% for Sassuolo Win sits against roughly 62% implied by the current price. Como have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 4 for Sassuolo. The problem is Sassuolo’s defensive profile.

Model chance vs price27% model chance against roughly 62% implied
Negative
Como have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points.Visible data support
Positive
Como have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
The problem is Sassuolo’s defensive profile.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Sassuolo Win is the preferred angle because the problem is Sassuolo’s defensive profile. Como have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 4 for Sassuolo. Sassuolo should have moments, but they may spend too much of the night reacting.

Main risk

Sassuolo should have moments, but they may spend too much of the night reacting.

Key Data Signals

Sassuolo Win evidence

The problem is Sassuolo’s defensive profile.

Como have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 4 for Sassuolo.

Como have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Sassuolo Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Sassuolo sit 11 in the table, while Como sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Sassuolo Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Sassuolo4.4
    Avg corners for
    Como4
    Sassuolo8.6
    Avg total corners
    Como6.2
    Sassuolo2.2
    Avg yellow cards
    Como1.8
    Sassuolo9.4
    Avg shots
    Como16

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    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Sassuolo1
    Avg goals scored
    Como2.4
    Sassuolo1.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Como1.2
    Sassuolo80%
    BTTS rate
    Como60%
    Sassuolo60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Como80%

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    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Sassuolo

    LWDLL
    Last 51W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 1D 4L
    12 Apr 2026A Genoa1-2
    04 Apr 2026H Cagliari2-1
    21 Mar 2026A Juventus1-1
    15 Mar 2026H Bologna0-1
    09 Mar 2026A Lazio1-2

    Como

    LDWWW
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 3D 2L
    12 Apr 2026H Inter3-4
    06 Apr 2026A Udinese0-0
    22 Mar 2026H Pisa5-0
    15 Mar 2026H AS Roma2-1
    07 Mar 2026A Cagliari2-1

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Sassuolo wins
    0Draws
    2Como wins
    28 Nov 2025Como v Sassuolo2-0
    24 Sep 2025Como v Sassuolo3-0

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    Season team stats

    Serie A

    Sassuolo38
    Played
    Como38
    Sassuolo1.2
    Avg goals for
    Como1.7
    Sassuolo1.3
    Avg goals against
    Como0.8
    Sassuolo8
    Clean sheets
    Como19

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    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    4Como71382011736
    11Sassuolo493814717-4
    Sassuolo sit in position 11, while Como sit in position 4, so table pressure belongs in the Sassuolo Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Sassuolo Over 2.5
    80%Como Over 2.5
    2.5H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Sassuolo sit at 60% and Como sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.