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Sassuolo crestSassuolo
v
Como crestComo

Serie A | Sun 31 Jan, 17:30

Sassuolo v Como Stats

Data last updated: Thu 15 Oct 2026, 09:40 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sassuolo face Como in Serie A on Sun 31 Jan, 17:30. Friday evening brings a fascinating Serie A fixture at the Mapei Stadium as Sassuolo try to stop the wobble and Como arrive with real purpose.

BT4Y best bet

Sassuolo Win

  • At 13/2, Sassuolo Win implies roughly 13%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 28%.
  • The problem is Sassuolo’s defensive profile.
  • Como have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 8 for Sassuolo.
  • Como have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Sassuolo Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Sassuolo sit 11 in the table, while Como sit 7, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 28% for Sassuolo Win sits against roughly 13% implied by the current price. Como have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 8 for Sassuolo. The problem is Sassuolo’s defensive profile.

Model chance vs price28% model chance against roughly 13% implied
Strong positive
Como have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points.Visible data support
Positive
Como have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
The problem is Sassuolo’s defensive profile.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Sassuolo Win is the preferred angle because the problem is Sassuolo’s defensive profile. Como have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 8 for Sassuolo. Sassuolo should have moments, but they may spend too much of the night reacting.

Main risk

Sassuolo should have moments, but they may spend too much of the night reacting.

Key Data Signals

Sassuolo Win evidence

The problem is Sassuolo’s defensive profile.

Como have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 8 for Sassuolo.

Como have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Sassuolo Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Sassuolo sit 11 in the table, while Como sit 7, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Sassuolo Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Sassuolo1.8
    Avg goals scored
    Como1.6
    Sassuolo1.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Como1
    Sassuolo100%
    BTTS rate
    Como60%
    Sassuolo80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Como60%

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Sassuolo

    DLWDW
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 2D 2L
    11 Oct 2026H AC Milan1-1
    18 Sep 2026A Monza1-2
    13 Sep 2026H Juventus3-2
    06 Sep 2026A Bologna2-2
    29 Aug 2026H Torino2-1

    Como

    DLWWW
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 2D 1L
    11 Oct 2026H AS Roma0-0
    20 Sep 2026A Frosinone0-2
    14 Sep 2026H Parma2-1
    04 Sep 2026A Genoa4-1
    30 Aug 2026A Napoli2-1

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Sassuolo Over 2.5
    60%Como Over 2.5
    2.67H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Sassuolo sit at 80% and Como sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.67 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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