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Sarpsborg 08 FF crestSarpsborg 08 FF
v
Viking crestViking

Eliteserien | Sun 12 Jul, 18:15

Sarpsborg 08 FF v Viking Stats

Data last updated: Sun 02 Aug 2026, 14:59 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sarpsborg 08 FF face Viking in Eliteserien on Sun 12 Jul, 18:15. Sarpsborg 08 FF come in with 9 recent points and 1.6 goals per match, while Viking have 15 points and 3 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Viking to Win

  • At 1.75, Viking to Win implies roughly 57%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 70%.
  • Viking have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 9 for Sarpsborg 08 FF.
  • Viking have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Viking to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Sarpsborg 08 FF sit 6 in the table, while Viking sit 2, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 70% for Viking to Win sits against roughly 57% implied by the current price. Viking have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 9 for Sarpsborg 08 FF.

Model chance vs price70% model chance against roughly 57% implied
Positive
Viking have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points.Visible data support
Positive
Viking have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Viking Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Viking have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 9 for Sarpsborg 08 FF. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Viking to Win evidence

Viking have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 9 for Sarpsborg 08 FF.

Viking have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Viking Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Sarpsborg 08 FF sit 6 in the table, while Viking sit 2, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Viking to Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Sarpsborg 08 FF4.2
    Avg corners for
    Viking7
    Sarpsborg 08 FF10
    Avg total corners
    Viking10.25
    Sarpsborg 08 FF1.8
    Avg yellow cards
    Viking2
    Sarpsborg 08 FF11.4
    Avg shots
    Viking13.5
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 67% · edge -3.5 pts
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
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    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 69%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Useful next reads

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    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Sarpsborg 08 FF1.6
    Avg goals scored
    Viking3
    Sarpsborg 08 FF2
    Avg goals conceded
    Viking1
    Sarpsborg 08 FF80%
    BTTS rate
    Viking60%
    Sarpsborg 08 FF100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Viking80%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +9.3 pts
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 71%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickViking to WinBetUK guide price · Model 70% vs implied 57% · edge +12.9 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Viking Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 71%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 69%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    Viking to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Sarpsborg 08 FF

    WWLWL
    Last 53W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 2D 5L
    29 May 2026A Brann2-1
    25 May 2026H Molde2-1
    16 May 2026A Valerenga2-3
    09 May 2026H Fredrikstad2-1
    03 May 2026A Lillestrom0-4

    Viking

    WWWWW
    Last 55W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 109W 0D 1L
    24 May 2026A Kristiansund BK2-1
    16 May 2026H Start6-3
    10 May 2026A KFUM Oslo2-0
    01 May 2026H Rosenborg3-0
    25 Apr 2026A Fredrikstad2-1
    Market aligned with main pickViking to WinBetUK guide price · Model 70% vs implied 57% · edge +12.9 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Viking Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    2Sarpsborg 08 FF wins
    2Draws
    6Viking wins
    01 Mar 2026Viking v Sarpsborg 08 FF2-0
    27 Sep 2025Sarpsborg 08 FF v Viking3-3
    09 Jul 2025Sarpsborg 08 FF v Viking1-0
    04 May 2025Viking v Sarpsborg 08 FF0-0
    27 Oct 2024Sarpsborg 08 FF v Viking1-2
    01 Apr 2024Viking v Sarpsborg 08 FF1-0
    Market aligned with main pickViking to WinBetUK guide price · Model 70% vs implied 57% · edge +12.9 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 71%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Viking to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Eliteserien

    Sarpsborg 08 FF14
    Played
    Viking15
    Sarpsborg 08 FF1.1
    Avg goals for
    Viking2.5
    Sarpsborg 08 FF1.1
    Avg goals against
    Viking0.9
    Sarpsborg 08 FF4
    Clean sheets
    Viking5
    Market aligned with main pickViking to WinBetUK guide price · Model 70% vs implied 57% · edge +12.9 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Viking Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Season data supports Viking to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    2Viking3715121223
    6Sarpsborg 08 FF2114635-1
    Sarpsborg 08 FF sit in position 6, while Viking sit in position 2, so table pressure belongs in the Viking to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Sarpsborg 08 FF Over 2.5
    80%Viking Over 2.5
    2.2H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Sarpsborg 08 FF sit at 100% and Viking sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2.2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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    Betting context

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