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Sao Paulo crestSao Paulo
v
Millonarios crestMillonarios

CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Wed 20 May, 01:30

Sao Paulo v Millonarios Stats

BT4Y best bet

Millonarios to Win

  • At 6, Millonarios to Win is priced at roughly 17% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 70%, so the current line is showing a +53.3-point value edge.
  • Sao Paulo have a recent record of 0W-0D-0L, while Millonarios come in at 3W-1D-1L across the same last-five lens.
  • The result profile supports the Millonarios to Win angle: Millonarios have taken 3 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 40% of that sample.
  • The result profile supports the Millonarios to Win angle: The last 1 head-to-head meeting averaged 0 total goals, with over 2.5 goals landing in 0%.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 6, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionAway WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 17% · edge +53.3 pts
6
Bet HERE @ 6
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.75
Bet HERE @ 1.75
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 53%
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
Home Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
3.75
Bet HERE @ 3.75
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

-Sao Paulo Over 2.5
40%Millonarios Over 2.5
0H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Sao Paulo

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Sao Paulo yet.

Millonarios

WDWLW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 1L
07 May 2026A Boston River4-2
29 Apr 2026H Sao Paulo0-0
16 Apr 2026H Boston River1-0
08 Apr 2026A O'Higgins0-2
05 Mar 2026A Atletico Nacional3-1
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 17% · edge +53.3 pts
6
Bet HERE @ 6
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
Away Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.75
Bet HERE @ 1.75
Home Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
3.75
Bet HERE @ 3.75
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.1
Bet HERE @ 1.1
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Sao Paulo-
Avg goals scored
Millonarios1.6
Sao Paulo-
Avg goals conceded
Millonarios1
Sao Paulo-
BTTS rate
Millonarios40%
Sao Paulo-
Over 2.5 goals
Millonarios40%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 62% · edge +4.3 pts
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 53%
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 22%
4.33
Bet HERE @ 4.33
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.57
Bet HERE @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.4
Bet HERE @ 1.4
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

0Sao Paulo wins
1Draws
0Millonarios wins
29 Apr 2026Millonarios v Sao Paulo0-0
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 17% · edge +53.3 pts
6
Bet HERE @ 6
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 53%
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
3.75
Bet HERE @ 3.75
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Sao Paulo-
Avg corners for
Millonarios7
Sao Paulo-
Avg total corners
Millonarios12.6
Sao Paulo-
Avg yellow cards
Millonarios2
Sao Paulo-
Avg shots
Millonarios18
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 50% · edge +19 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Over 5.5 CardsBetMGM guide price
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleB. Castro Anytime GoalscorerB. Castro · 1 goals · 4.35 SOT/90
86/100
Bet HERE
Load more player angles
B. Castro 1+ Shot On TargetB. Castro · 4.35 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
B. Castro 2+ ShotsB. Castro · 5.81 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
J. Angulo To Assist / Key Pass AngleJ. Angulo · 2 assists · 8.37 key passes/90
78/100
Bet HERE
P. dos Santos To Be FouledP. dos Santos · 6 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
R. Falcao Card RiskR. Falcao · 1 yellows · 2.81 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
B. Castro
B. CastroMillonarios · Attacker
Goal threat100/100
Shots /905.81
SOT /904.35
D. Quintero
D. QuinteroMillonarios · Midfielder
Goal threat100/100
Shots /905.51
SOT /903.67
R. Contreras
R. ContrerasMillonarios · Attacker
Goal threat76/100
Shots /902.98
SOT /901.61
P. dos Santos
P. dos SantosSao Paulo · Attacker
Goal threat42/100
Shots /903
SOT /903
R. Falcao
R. FalcaoMillonarios · Attacker
Goal threat6/100
Shots /901.41
SOT /900
Nicolas
NicolasSao Paulo · Defender
Goal threat13/100
Shots /902.9
SOT /900
S. Mosquera
S. MosqueraMillonarios · Defender
Goal threat7/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
Season team stats

CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Sao Paulo4
Played
Millonarios5
Sao Paulo0.8
Avg goals for
Millonarios1.6
Sao Paulo0
Avg goals against
Millonarios1
Sao Paulo4
Clean sheets
Millonarios2
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 17% · edge +53.3 pts
6
Bet HERE @ 6
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.75
Bet HERE @ 1.75
Home Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Sao Paulo842203
3Millonarios742111

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.

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