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Santos crestSantos
v
Deportivo Cuenca crestDeportivo Cuenca

CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Wed 27 May, 01:30

Santos v Deportivo Cuenca Stats

Data last updated: Sat 18 Jul 2026, 14:39 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Santos face Deportivo Cuenca in CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Wed 27 May, 01:30. Santos have drawn four of their five group matches in this competition, lacking the defensive stability to secure leads. Deportivo Cuenca are unbeaten in seven consecutive matches across all competitions.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score

  • At 6/5, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 46%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 60%.
  • 🎯 Both Teams To Score Rationale
  • Santos show a 80% BTTS rate and Deportivo Cuenca show a 20% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Santos average 1 goals scored and Deportivo Cuenca average 0.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 60% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 46% implied by the current price. Santos show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Deportivo Cuenca show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. 🎯 Both Teams To Score Rationale

Model chance vs price60% model chance against roughly 46% implied
Positive
Santos show a 80% BTTS rate and Deportivo Cuenca show.Visible data support
Positive
Santos average 1 goals scored and Deportivo Cuenca average 0.Visible data support
Positive
🎯 Both Teams To Score RationaleArticle support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because 🎯 Both Teams To Score Rationale Santos show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Deportivo Cuenca show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Santos have often looked capable in spells, but incapable of controlling entire matches.

Main risk

Santos have often looked capable in spells, but incapable of controlling entire matches.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

🎯 Both Teams To Score Rationale

Santos show a 80% BTTS rate and Deportivo Cuenca show a 20% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Santos average 1 goals scored and Deportivo Cuenca average 0.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Santos1
Avg goals scored
Deportivo Cuenca0.6
Santos1.2
Avg goals conceded
Deportivo Cuenca0.8
Santos80%
BTTS rate
Deportivo Cuenca20%
Santos20%
Over 2.5 goals
Deportivo Cuenca20%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 60% vs implied 23% · edge +36.9 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 44%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Santos v Deportivo Cuenca predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 60% vs implied 23% · edge +36.9 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Load more odds for this section
Deportivo Cuenca Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
4.8
Check odds @ 4.8
Deportivo Cuenca to WinBetfred guide price · model 48%
8
Check odds @ 8
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
5
Check odds @ 5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Santos Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Santos4.2
Avg corners for
Deportivo Cuenca4.25
Santos9.4
Avg total corners
Deportivo Cuenca8.25
Santos2
Avg yellow cards
Deportivo Cuenca2.25
Santos14.4
Avg shots
Deportivo Cuenca13
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 44% · edge +21.2 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Over 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 41%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Santos

DDDDL
Last 50W 4D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 4D 1L
20 May 2026H San Lorenzo2-2
06 May 2026A Deportivo Recoleta1-1
28 Apr 2026A San Lorenzo1-1
15 Apr 2026H Deportivo Recoleta1-1
08 Apr 2026A Deportivo Cuenca0-1

Deportivo Cuenca

DDDLW
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 1L
20 May 2026H Deportivo Recoleta2-2
06 May 2026H San Lorenzo0-0
29 Apr 2026A Deportivo Recoleta0-0
17 Apr 2026A San Lorenzo0-2
08 Apr 2026H Santos1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 33% · edge +43.6 pts
3.08
Check odds @ 3.08
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Deportivo Cuenca Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
4.8
Check odds @ 4.8
Deportivo Cuenca to WinBetfred guide price · model 48%
8
Check odds @ 8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
5
Check odds @ 5
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.06
Check odds @ 1.06
Santos Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Santos to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Santos wins
0Draws
1Deportivo Cuenca wins
08 Apr 2026Deportivo Cuenca v Santos1-0
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 60% vs implied 23% · edge +36.9 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Load more odds for this section
Deportivo Cuenca to WinBetfred guide price · model 48%
8
Check odds @ 8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
5
Check odds @ 5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Santos to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Santos6
Played
Deportivo Cuenca7
Santos1.3
Avg goals for
Deportivo Cuenca0.9
Santos1
Avg goals against
Deportivo Cuenca1
Santos1
Clean sheets
Deportivo Cuenca4
Best odds for this sectionDeportivo Cuenca Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 21% · edge +37.3 pts
4.8
Check odds @ 4.8
Load more odds for this section
Deportivo Cuenca to WinBetfred guide price · model 48%
8
Check odds @ 8
Santos Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Santos to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Season data supports Deportivo Cuenca Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Santos761412
4Deportivo Cuenca66132-4
CONMEBOL Sudamericana standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Santos Over 2.5
20%Deportivo Cuenca Over 2.5
1H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Santos sit at 20% and Deportivo Cuenca sit at 20% with the H2H average at 1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Santos v Deportivo Cuenca prediction

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Competition and hubs

Santos v Deportivo Cuenca predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre