San Lorenzo
Deportivo RecoletaCONMEBOL Sudamericana | Wed 27 May, 01:30
San Lorenzo v Deportivo Recoleta Stats
Data last updated: Mon 15 Jun 2026, 12:47 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
San Lorenzo face Deportivo Recoleta in CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Wed 27 May, 01:30. Tension, desperation and one last shot at glory in Group D. Attacking Form: Top Scorer Overall Yield San Lorenzo controlled the physical tempo and generated superior shot volume, though finishing cleanly remained an issue.
Draw
- At 2/1, Draw implies roughly 33%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
- San Lorenzo conceded seven and scored seven across their last six outings, showing a balanced score baseline prior to this showdown.
- San Lorenzo have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for Deportivo Recoleta.
- San Lorenzo have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Draw angle more than a raw possession edge.
Draw is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 33% while the model sits nearer 27% (-6.7 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +51.1 pts edge at 4.5.
Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive
Football case vs market price
The 27% for Draw sits against roughly 33% implied by the current price. San Lorenzo have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for Deportivo Recoleta. San Lorenzo conceded seven and scored seven across their last six outings, showing a balanced score baseline prior to this showdown.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Draw is the preferred angle because san Lorenzo conceded seven and scored seven across their last six outings, showing a balanced score baseline prior to this showdown. San Lorenzo have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for Deportivo Recoleta. On Tuesday night, the Paraguayan side have no choice but to chase something bigger.
On Tuesday night, the Paraguayan side have no choice but to chase something bigger.
Key Data Signals
Draw evidence
San Lorenzo conceded seven and scored seven across their last six outings, showing a balanced score baseline prior.
San Lorenzo have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for Deportivo Recoleta.
San Lorenzo have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Draw angle more than a raw possession edge.
What To Watch In The Data
Draw notes
Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
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Continue the research
Useful next reads
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Recoleta
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Season team stats
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
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League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Recoleta | 8 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | San Lorenzo | 7 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.
