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Sampdoria crestSampdoria
v
Novara crestNovara

Friendlies Clubs | Sat 01 Aug, 16:00

Sampdoria v Novara Stats

Data last updated: Fri 31 Jul 2026, 04:15 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sampdoria face Novara in Friendlies Clubs on Sat 01 Aug, 16:00. Sampdoria come in with 4 recent points and 1 goals per match, while Novara have 3 points and 2 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Under 2.5 Goals is rated around 62% by the current BT4Y model.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Sampdoria and 100% for Novara, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Novara are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with Sampdoria at 1.
  • BTTS rates of 0% for Sampdoria and 100% for Novara show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Under 2.5 Goals around 62% on the latest available numbers. The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Sampdoria and 100% for Novara, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Sampdoria and 100%.Visible data support
Positive
Novara are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityCheck the latest price
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Novara are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with Sampdoria at 1. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Novara are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with Sampdoria at 1.

BTTS rates of 0% for Sampdoria and 100% for Novara show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sampdoria1
Avg goals scored
Novara2
Sampdoria0
Avg goals conceded
Novara1
Sampdoria0%
BTTS rate
Novara100%
Sampdoria0%
Over 2.5 goals
Novara100%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sampdoria

DW
Last 51W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 0L
23 Jul 2026H Cagliari0-0
18 Jul 2026H Taverne2-0

Novara

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
26 Jul 2026H Inter U232-1

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Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Sampdoria wins
0Draws
0Novara wins
06 Aug 2023Novara v Sampdoria0-1

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Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Sampdoria3
Played
Novara2
Sampdoria1
Avg goals for
Novara2
Sampdoria0.7
Avg goals against
Novara1
Sampdoria2
Clean sheets
Novara0

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Sampdoria Over 2.5
100%Novara Over 2.5
1H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Sampdoria sit at 0% and Novara sit at 100% with the H2H average at 1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.