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Sambenedettese crestSambenedettese
v
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 crestGuidonia Montecelio 1937

Serie C - Girone B | Sun 08 Nov, 16:30

Sambenedettese v Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Stats

Data last updated: Sat 07 Nov 2026, 04:44 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sambenedettese and Guidonia Montecelio 1937 meet in Serie C - Girone B with both sides showing attacking intent in recent matches. Sambenedettese averages 1.6 goals scored per game and concedes 1.4, while Guidonia Montecelio 1937 scores 1.2 and concedes 1.2 on average. Both teams have earned 8 points recently, indicating competitive form. The tactical setup suggests open play with opportunities at both ends, making a contest with goals from both sides likely in this mid-table clash.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Sambenedettese scores and concedes over 1.4 goals per game on average.
  • Guidonia Montecelio 1937 has a 60% BTTS rate recently, showing offensive consistency.
  • Sambenedettese’s BTTS rate stands at 80%, indicating frequent mutual scoring.
  • Both teams have similar recent point totals, reflecting balanced competitiveness.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, well above the implied market chance of 57.8%, indicating strong value. Both sides have demonstrated consistent goal-scoring and conceding patterns, with Sambenedettese’s 80% BTTS rate and Guidonia Montecelio 1937’s 60% rate supporting this. The attacking tendencies and defensive vulnerabilities suggest a match where both teams find the net. Data quality is solid, with no limitations affecting the reliability of these trends.

Model chance72.8% model chance vs 57.8% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Sambenedettese BTTS rate80%
Strong positive
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 BTTS rate60%
Positive
Implied market chance72.8% model chance vs 57.8% implied (+15 pts)
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown offensive capabilities and defensive lapses that make a Both Teams to Score outcome plausible. Sambenedettese’s higher BTTS rate combined with Guidonia Montecelio 1937’s steady scoring form supports this pick. The match context suggests an open game where both sides can find the net, making this a tactically and statistically sound selection.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“The attacking profiles and recent scoring patterns of both teams point towards a fixture where goals at both ends are expected. Defensive inconsistencies and balanced recent form enhance the likelihood of a BTTS outcome.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Sambenedettese scores and concedes over 1.4 goals per game on average.

Guidonia Montecelio 1937 has a 60% BTTS rate recently, showing offensive consistency.

Sambenedettese’s BTTS rate stands at 80%, indicating frequent mutual scoring.

Both teams have similar recent point totals, reflecting balanced competitiveness.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last two head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1, a low figure.
  • However, recent form and season stats suggest a higher tempo and more open play, increasing the likelihood of over 2.5 goals in this fixture despite the limited H2H goal sample.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sambenedettese1.6
Avg goals scored
Guidonia Montecelio 19371.2
Sambenedettese1.4
Avg goals conceded
Guidonia Montecelio 19371.2
Sambenedettese80%
BTTS rate
Guidonia Montecelio 193760%
Sambenedettese60%
Over 2.5 goals
Guidonia Montecelio 193720%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2
Check odds @ 2
Sambenedettese’s 80% BTTS rate and Guidonia Montecelio 1937’s 60% rate indicate frequent mutual scoring in recent matches. Both teams average over one goal scored and conceded per game, suggesting open play and defensive vulnerabilities that favor goals from both sides in this fixture.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Sambenedettese Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Sambenedettese to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The 72.8% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 57.8% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Sambenedettese show a 80% BTTS rate and Guidonia Montecelio 1937 show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sambenedettese

LWDDW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
30 Oct 2026A Reggiana0-2
24 Oct 2026H Livorno2-1
17 Oct 2026A Vado2-2
11 Oct 2026H Latina1-1
03 Oct 2026A Grosseto3-1

Guidonia Montecelio 1937

DLWDW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 5D 2L
31 Oct 2026H Perugia1-1
25 Oct 2026A Torres0-2
17 Oct 2026H Forli3-2
12 Oct 2026A Pescara1-1
04 Oct 2026H Pineto1-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 69% · edge +5 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Sambenedettese Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Sambenedettese to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Both teams have collected 8 points recently, reflecting competitive and balanced form. Sambenedettese’s higher BTTS rate of 80% in recent matches contrasts with Guidonia Montecelio 1937’s 60%, but both indicate a trend toward matches where both sides score, reinforcing the pick’s validity based on current momentum.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Sambenedettese Over 2.5
20%Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Over 2.5
1H2H avg goals
Over the last two head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1, a low figure. However, recent form and season stats suggest a higher tempo and more open play, increasing the likelihood of over 2.5 goals in this fixture despite the limited H2H goal sample.

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