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Salford City crestSalford City
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Grimsby crestGrimsby

League Two | Sat 26 Dec, 15:00

Salford City v Grimsby Stats

Data last updated: Wed 21 Oct 2026, 16:52 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Salford City face Grimsby in League Two on Sat 26 Dec, 15:00. Salford will be without Josh Austerfield and Ollie Turton due to injury, reducing Karl Robinson’s options ahead of such a demanding fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Salford City Win

  • At 11/10, Salford City Win implies roughly 48%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 63%.
  • Salford City have conceded just three goals in their last six matches.
  • Salford City have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 1 for Grimsby.
  • Salford City have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Salford City Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Salford City sit 1 in the table, while Grimsby sit 17, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 63% for Salford City Win sits against roughly 48% implied by the current price. Salford City have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 1 for Grimsby. Salford City have conceded just three goals in their last six matches.

Model chance vs price63% model chance against roughly 48% implied
Strong positive
Salford City have the stronger recent points return, taking 15.Visible data support
Positive
Salford City have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
Salford City have conceded just three goals in their.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Salford City Win is the preferred angle because salford City have conceded just three goals in their last six matches. Salford City have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 1 for Grimsby. spreads quickly when things are going well, but anxiety can creep in just as fast if momentum swings.

Main risk

spreads quickly when things are going well, but anxiety can creep in just as fast if momentum swings.

Key Data Signals

Salford City Win evidence

Salford City have conceded just three goals in their last six matches.

Salford City have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 1 for Grimsby.

Salford City have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Salford City Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Salford City sit 1 in the table, while Grimsby sit 17, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Salford City Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Salford City2.2
    Avg goals scored
    Grimsby0.8
    Salford City0.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Grimsby1.8
    Salford City60%
    BTTS rate
    Grimsby60%
    Salford City60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Grimsby60%

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Salford City

    WWWWW
    Last 55W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 108W 1D 1L
    20 Oct 2026A Bristol Rovers2-1
    17 Oct 2026H Crawley Town2-1
    10 Oct 2026A Cheltenham2-0
    03 Oct 2026H Fleetwood Town1-0
    26 Sep 2026A Oldham4-1

    Grimsby

    DLLLL
    Last 50W 1D 4L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 4D 4L
    20 Oct 2026A Rochdale2-2
    17 Oct 2026H Northampton0-2
    10 Oct 2026A Port Vale0-1
    03 Oct 2026H Shrewsbury1-2
    26 Sep 2026A Newport County1-2

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Salford City Over 2.5
    60%Grimsby Over 2.5
    2.9H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Salford City sit at 60% and Grimsby sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.9 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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