Football Stats Hub

Romania crestRomania
v
Wales crestWales

Friendlies | Sat 06 Jun, 18:45

Romania v Wales Stats

Data last updated: Sun 28 Jun 2026, 09:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Romania face Wales in Friendlies on Sat 06 Jun, 18:45. Romania host Wales at Stadionul Steaua on Saturday, June 6, 2026, in an international friendly. Wales enter this match having recorded two consecutive 1-1 draws, highlighting their resilience under Craig Bellamy. But this game is not being played on a ranking table.

BT4Y best bet

Rationale: The Draw (11/5) Wales enter this international friendly showing a highly consistent pattern of competitive stability under Craig Bellamy

  • At 5/1, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 17%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 76%.
  • Their away matches have also seen over 2.5 goals in 40% of those fixtures, so recent away patterns point more towards controlled contests than.
  • Romania show a 50% BTTS rate and Wales show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Romania average 0.5 goals scored and Wales average 1, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 76% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 17% implied by the current price. Romania show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Wales show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Their away matches have also seen over that scoring level in 40% of those fixtures, so recent away patterns point more towards controlled contests than.

Model chance vs price76% model chance against roughly 17% implied
Strong positive
Romania show a 50% BTTS rate and Wales show a.Visible data support
Positive
Romania average 0.5 goals scored and Wales average 1, so.Visible data support
Positive
Their away matches have also seen over 2.5 goals.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because their away matches have also seen over that scoring level in 40% of those fixtures, so recent away patterns point more towards controlled contests than wild scorelines. Romania show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Wales show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Romania arrive with the comfort of home advantage, but also with a recent record that raises questions.

Main risk

Romania arrive with the comfort of home advantage, but also with a recent record that raises questions.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

Their away matches have also seen over 2.5 goals in 40% of those fixtures, so recent away patterns.

Romania show a 50% BTTS rate and Wales show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Romania average 0.5 goals scored and Wales average 1, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Romania0.5
Avg goals scored
Wales1
Romania1.5
Avg goals conceded
Wales1
Romania50%
BTTS rate
Wales100%
Romania0%
Over 2.5 goals
Wales0%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 52% · edge +23.6 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 22%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 52% · edge +23.6 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Wales to WinBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Wales Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Romania Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Romania to WinBetfred guide price · model 33%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Romania-
Avg corners for
Wales5
Romania-
Avg total corners
Wales8
Romania-
Avg yellow cards
Wales0.5
Romania-
Avg shots
Wales15.5
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 58% · edge -4.8 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Romania

DL
Last 50W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 1L
02 Jun 2026A Georgia1-1
31 Mar 2026A Slovakia0-2

Wales

DD
Last 50W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 0L
02 Jun 2026H Ghana1-1
31 Mar 2026H Northern Ireland1-1
Best odds for this sectionWales to WinBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 39% · edge +13 pts
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Wales Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Romania Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Romania to WinBetfred guide price · model 33%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 59%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Romania wins
0Draws
0Wales wins
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 52% · edge +23.6 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Wales to WinBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Romania to WinBetfred guide price · model 33%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for BTTS Yes, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies

Romania3
Played
Wales3
Romania1
Avg goals for
Wales1
Romania1.3
Avg goals against
Wales1.3
Romania0
Clean sheets
Wales0
Best odds for this sectionWales to WinBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 39% · edge +13 pts
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Load more odds for this section
Wales Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Romania Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Romania to WinBetfred guide price · model 33%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Season data supports Wales to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Romania Over 2.5
0%Wales Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Romania sit at 0% and Wales sit at 0%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.