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Rio Ave crestRio Ave
v
Guimaraes crestGuimaraes

Friendlies Clubs | Thu 23 Jul, 13:00

Rio Ave v Guimaraes Stats

Data last updated: Wed 22 Jul 2026, 05:25 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Rio Ave face Guimaraes in Friendlies Clubs on Thu 23 Jul, 13:00. Rio Ave come in with 7 recent points and 2.33 goals per match, while Guimaraes have 9 points and 3.33 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Over 2.5 Goals is rated around 72% by the current BT4Y model.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Rio Ave and 67% for Guimaraes, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Guimaraes are carrying more of the scoring load at 3.33 goals per match, with Rio Ave at 2.33.
  • BTTS rates of 67% for Rio Ave and 33% for Guimaraes show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 2.5 Goals around 72% on the latest available numbers. The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Rio Ave and 67% for Guimaraes, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Rio Ave.Visible data support
Positive
Guimaraes are carrying more of the scoring load at 3.33.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityCheck the latest price
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Rio Ave and 67% for Guimaraes, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Rio Ave and 67% for Guimaraes, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Guimaraes are carrying more of the scoring load at 3.33 goals per match, with Rio Ave at 2.33.

BTTS rates of 67% for Rio Ave and 33% for Guimaraes show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Rio Ave2.33
Avg goals scored
Guimaraes3.33
Rio Ave1
Avg goals conceded
Guimaraes0.33
Rio Ave67%
BTTS rate
Guimaraes33%
Rio Ave100%
Over 2.5 goals
Guimaraes67%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Rio Ave

DWW
Last 52W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 0L
19 Jul 2026H Al-Ahli Jeddah2-2
15 Jul 2026A Portimonense3-0
11 Jul 2026H Arouca2-1

Guimaraes

WWW
Last 53W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 0L
18 Jul 2026H Academica2-0
18 Jul 2026H Penafiel5-0
11 Jul 2026H Felgueiras 19323-1

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Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Rio Ave wins
3Draws
5Guimaraes wins
25 Apr 2026Guimaraes v Rio Ave2-0
13 Dec 2025Rio Ave v Guimaraes0-1
27 Apr 2025Guimaraes v Rio Ave3-0
16 Dec 2024Rio Ave v Guimaraes2-2
04 May 2024Rio Ave v Guimaraes2-1
23 Dec 2023Guimaraes v Rio Ave1-0

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Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Rio Ave3
Played
Guimaraes3
Rio Ave2.3
Avg goals for
Guimaraes3.3
Rio Ave1
Avg goals against
Guimaraes0.3
Rio Ave1
Clean sheets
Guimaraes2

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Rio Ave Over 2.5
67%Guimaraes Over 2.5
2.1H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Rio Ave sit at 100% and Guimaraes sit at 67% with the H2H average at 2.1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.