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Real Sociedad crestReal Sociedad
v
Valencia crestValencia

La Liga | Sun 17 May, 18:00

Real Sociedad v Valencia Stats

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 3.25, Both Teams to Score is priced at roughly 31% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 73%, so the current line is showing a +42.5-point value edge.
  • Real Sociedad have scored in 60% of the recent sample and Valencia have scored in 80%, with BTTS rates of 60% and 60%.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Real Sociedad have taken 0 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Valencia have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 60% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 3.25, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 31% · edge +42.5 pts
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 64%
3.2
Bet HERE @ 3.2
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 72%
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Home Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.65
Bet HERE @ 1.65
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

40%Real Sociedad Over 2.5
20%Valencia Over 2.5
1.5H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Real Sociedad

DDLDL
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
14 May 2026A Girona1-1
09 May 2026H Real Betis2-2
04 May 2026A Sevilla0-1
26 Apr 2026A Rayo Vallecano3-3
22 Apr 2026H Getafe0-1

Valencia

DWLWD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
14 May 2026H Rayo Vallecano1-1
10 May 2026A Athletic Club1-0
02 May 2026H Atletico Madrid0-2
25 Apr 2026H Girona2-1
21 Apr 2026A Mallorca1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 31% · edge +32.2 pts
3.2
Bet HERE @ 3.2
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 72%
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
1.4
Bet HERE @ 1.4
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Home Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.65
Bet HERE @ 1.65
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.25
Bet HERE @ 1.25
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Real Sociedad1.2
Avg goals scored
Valencia1
Real Sociedad1.6
Avg goals conceded
Valencia1
Real Sociedad60%
BTTS rate
Valencia60%
Real Sociedad40%
Over 2.5 goals
Valencia20%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 31% · edge +42.5 pts
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
3.2
Bet HERE @ 3.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.28
Bet HERE @ 1.28
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%
1.33
Bet HERE @ 1.33
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

3Real Sociedad wins
5Draws
2Valencia wins
16 Aug 2025Valencia v Real Sociedad1-1
19 Jan 2025Valencia v Real Sociedad1-0
28 Sep 2024Real Sociedad v Valencia3-0
16 May 2024Real Sociedad v Valencia1-0
27 Sep 2023Valencia v Real Sociedad0-1
25 Feb 2023Valencia v Real Sociedad1-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 31% · edge +42.5 pts
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 64%
3.2
Bet HERE @ 3.2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Real Sociedad4
Avg corners for
Valencia3.8
Real Sociedad8.2
Avg total corners
Valencia10.2
Real Sociedad3.6
Avg yellow cards
Valencia1.8
Real Sociedad10.4
Avg shots
Valencia10.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 51% vs implied 58% · edge -6.6 pts
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleO. Óskarsson Anytime GoalscorerO. Óskarsson · 7 goals · 1.84 SOT/90
84/100
Bet HERE
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O. Óskarsson 1+ Shot On TargetO. Óskarsson · 1.84 shots on target/90
83/100
Bet HERE
Jon Karrikaburu 2+ ShotsJon Karrikaburu · 3.31 shots/90
81/100
Bet HERE
Barrenetxea To Assist / Key Pass AngleBarrenetxea · 5 assists · 2.24 key passes/90
72/100
Bet HERE
T. Kubo To Be FouledT. Kubo · 2.98 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Gorka Carrera Card RiskGorka Carrera · 1 yellows · 2.77 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
O. Óskarsson
O. ÓskarssonReal Sociedad · Attacker
Goal threat88/100
Shots /902.49
SOT /901.84
Mikel Oyarzabal
Mikel OyarzabalReal Sociedad · Attacker
Goal threat73/100
Shots /902.05
SOT /901.21
L. Ramazani
L. RamazaniValencia · Attacker
Goal threat69/100
Shots /902.32
SOT /901.35
Gorka Carrera
Gorka CarreraReal Sociedad · Attacker
Goal threat20/100
Shots /901.38
SOT /901.38
Jon Karrikaburu
Jon KarrikaburuReal Sociedad · Attacker
Goal threat27/100
Shots /903.31
SOT /901.32
Brais Méndez
Brais MéndezReal Sociedad · Midfielder
Goal threat53/100
Shots /901.39
SOT /900.89
Season team stats

La Liga

Real Sociedad36
Played
Valencia36
Real Sociedad1.5
Avg goals for
Valencia1.1
Real Sociedad1.6
Avg goals against
Valencia1.4
Real Sociedad3
Clean sheets
Valencia9
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 31% · edge +32.2 pts
3.2
Bet HERE @ 3.2
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 72%
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2
Home Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.65
Bet HERE @ 1.65
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
8Real Sociedad4536111213-1
11Valencia4336111015-12

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.