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Real Salt Lake crestReal Salt Lake
v
Burnley crestBurnley

Friendlies Clubs | Thu 16 Jul, 02:30

Real Salt Lake v Burnley Stats

Data last updated: Thu 16 Jul 2026, 13:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Real Salt Lake face Burnley in Friendlies Clubs on Thu 16 Jul, 02:30. Seven home wins from eight: Real Salt Lake have won seven of their eight MLS matches at America First Field in 2026, giving them the joint-best possible home record across the league.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score

  • Both Teams To Score is rated around 76% by the current BT4Y model.
  • Real Salt Lake show a 100% BTTS rate and Burnley show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Real Salt Lake average 2 goals scored and Burnley average 1, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams To Score around 76% on the latest available numbers. Real Salt Lake show a 100% BTTS rate and Burnley show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Real Salt Lake show a 100% BTTS rate and Burnley.Visible data support
Positive
Real Salt Lake average 2 goals scored and Burnley average.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityCheck the latest price
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Real Salt Lake show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Burnley show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. That is the awkward little pre-season dance: everyone wants rhythm, but everyone also wants minutes.

Main risk

That is the awkward little pre-season dance: everyone wants rhythm, but everyone also wants minutes.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

Real Salt Lake show a 100% BTTS rate and Burnley show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Real Salt Lake average 2 goals scored and Burnley average 1, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Real Salt Lake2
Avg goals scored
Burnley1
Real Salt Lake1.67
Avg goals conceded
Burnley2
Real Salt Lake100%
BTTS rate
Burnley100%
Real Salt Lake67%
Over 2.5 goals
Burnley50%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 77% vs implied 85% · edge -8.2 pts
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 59%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Over 1.5 Goals does not fully support the current price: recent Over 2.5 rates are 67% for Real Salt Lake and 50% for Burnley, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionReal Salt Lake Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 53% · edge +15 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
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Real Salt Lake to WinBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 59%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Burnley Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 22%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Burnley to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Real Salt Lake Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Real Salt Lake

DDW
Last 51W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 0L
13 Feb 2026A Los Angeles Galaxy3-3
06 Feb 2026H Orange County SC1-1
22 Jan 2026A Randers FC2-1

Burnley

DL
Last 50W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 1L
12 Jul 2026A Columbus Crew1-1
11 Jul 2026A FC Cincinnati1-3
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 84% vs implied 69% · edge +15 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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Real Salt Lake Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Real Salt Lake to WinBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Burnley Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 22%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Burnley to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Real Salt Lake wins
0Draws
0Burnley wins
Best odds for this sectionReal Salt Lake to WinBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 39% · edge +15 pts
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 59%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 22%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Burnley to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Real Salt Lake to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Real Salt Lake4
Played
Burnley6
Real Salt Lake2.5
Avg goals for
Burnley1
Real Salt Lake1.5
Avg goals against
Burnley2.2
Real Salt Lake0
Clean sheets
Burnley0
Best odds for this sectionReal Salt Lake Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 53% · edge +15 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Load more odds for this section
Real Salt Lake to WinBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Burnley Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Burnley to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Season data supports Real Salt Lake Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

67%Real Salt Lake Over 2.5
50%Burnley Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Real Salt Lake sit at 67% and Burnley sit at 50%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.